Zerg once asserted that i was probably the first venture capitalist to invest in Bitcoin back in 2011. i believe he is right.
what i saw in Bitcoin was the ultimate SOV sound money system that had the potential to replace gold and silver and consume fiat currencies worldwide. everybody knows i went out and acted on that belief by selling all my silver startingat its peak of 49 (avg out 44) in May 2011 and then almost all my gold in Aug 2011 (avg out around 1750). i started buying BTC @ 1.60 the day before Easter Apr 2011 and for the rest of 2011 mostly into the bottom @1.98. this vision has been more than fulfilled.
I'll vouch for Cypher's influence during that time. I remained a bull through that drawn-out bust, and Cypher helped me and others continue to stay on track with that position. Those not involved in the community during that period might be tempted to think "oh, it was just another bear market like today, easy enough to wait through if you see bitcoin's potential." Well, yes and no. Bitcoin was a toy in 2011. We were all fascinated with the technology and talked about how it could change the world, but *nobody* else cared. We believed what we were saying, but the disconnect between what we saw in this community and the rest of world was ridiculous. There was no VC money, the 3 or 4 mainstream news stories that happened that entire year were negative and treated bitcoin as a brief curiosity, the ecosystem sucked, people were scammed and hacked right and left, everything was a giant pain to use, and it was really difficult to talk about bitcoin in polite company without seeming like a total freak show. Couple that with a 90%+ drop in price from your first purchases (my case, anyways), and a total market-cap deflating to less than the value of some people's houses, and it really seemed like bitcoin might just go away. Granted, it was clear that the technology was important and would eventually, somehow, be influential, but it was very much rational at the time to think that the probability of bitcoin, as it stood, to succeed was pretty low.
Contrast that to the present bear market. We have more VC money than the internet in 1995 being pumped into the space. Bitcoin is being debated by top officials at major financial institutions, central banks, and all sorts of government bodies. We have some of the smartest people in the world, with reputations to protect, advocating for it publicly. Even the hard-line skeptics now mostly ack that at least the technology is potentially world-changing. And while we still get our fair share of terrible media pieces, we also get good ones, with no shortage of coverage in general. *This* bear market is a breeze.
So to Cypher's point... It doesn't take much vision to be excited by cool technology; "devs gonna dev". But in the environment we had in late 2011, it did take vision to see that this stuff is world-changing, and to put a significant portion of your net-worth where your mouth is.
http://web.archive.org/web/20120403154846/http://bitcoinmedia.com/bitcoin-vs-metals
now i see an existential threat to the whole concept of Bitcoin as Money with this spvp. it breaks the linkage btwn the BTC currency unit and its ultrasecure blockchain. this will dilute the entire money function and potential for Bitcoin as Money. expect the price of BTC to drop if this is implemented. you will no longer be able to describe Bitcoin as digital cash or digital gold or even as "apolitcal" money. that's b/c of Blockstream control and the conversion of Bitcoin to a WoW trading platform. you will have to say that Bitcoin is a trading platform that now offers stocks, bonds, insurance, contracts, Truthcoin, and oh, btw, currency. this will cause confusion and dilution.
what a shame. we had a chance to change the world.
I honestly don't know where I land on this stuff yet. I see that there's potential for a number of economic dynamics which we do not understand at first glance, and I personally need to think about how this all plays out with merged-mining a lot more. The spv op-code addition itself, though, I see as more a potential governance precedent issue than a technical problem (since OT can implement sidechains with the same economic implications (assuming that assertion is correct)).
However the idea you note above, that sidechains potentially changes the narrative from sound-money to something else, is a new viewpoint for me in this debate. I would hope, as do sidechains supporters, that the new narrative is *additive* to the old, not mutually exclusive, but I don't know yet.