I wonder if this thread from 2019 will become relevent in hindsight:
Central Bank: If The Entire System Collapses, Gold Will Be Needed To Start Overhttps://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.52775202As mentioned, these bailouts and stimulus programs are funded through expansion of the monetary supply. The trend will inflate and weaken fiat currency as deficits rise.
Institutions like the federal reserve not being transparent or audited, it will remain a conspiracy theory whether these bailouts helped the US economy, foreign economies or even china. There was a day a few weeks back when china's stock market was +1 point while markets of other nations were negative by significant margins. Which could indicate at least some of federal reserve bailouts are being directed to prop up china's failing economy.
There is a conspiracy theory which states that trade war and everything is a compromise between China and the United States with the following assumptions.
The debt of the United States as of February 2020 is around USD 23.4 trillion, most of which is debt to its own people while the remaining balance of 6.2 Trillion is foreign debt. Debts to its people are more like recycling, ie debt is paid off, while what is used as fuel for the US economy comes from foreign debt and the majority is held by Japan and China. US debt to GDP ratios 2020 is 110%.
https://www.thebalance.com/who-owns-the-u-s-national-debt-3306124We will discuss two long-term simulations of economic relations between the United States and China.
First simulation,
China releases or rushes the debt securities it holds, under current conditions the US cannot possibly pay. If the US withdraws new debt to repay a debt to China, US debt will flood the market. The value of debt securities will fall on the market and the yield will be higher. then the dollar value will fall. So that US companies have difficulty getting investment funds in the market.
On the other hand, the RMB currency will strengthen further so that the cost of production in China is high and reduces the competitiveness of Chinese goods in America. The ending is the threat of layoffs in China.
Second Simulation,
China holds US debt and will not rush US bonds. But China will buy dollars on the market by printing RMB, meaning China devalues the RMB so that the dollar strengthens. At the same time, excess dollars are used to buy US bonds. Thus the US indirectly owes China from the RMB money printed by China. Which ends Chinese factories continue to operate because of competitive selling prices.
So far, China has always threatened the US with the first simulation but actually China is practicing the second simulation. Trump, who is an economic man, understands the situation and condition of the American nation which lives on debt. So the simple language of China is helping the US to print money by being in debt to China so that the humiliating US can be bought by debt. So both China and the US will both maintain the system because they both benefit. The losers are those who still think about money and exchange rates and the smart ones are those who continue to produce and store assets in the form of gold, not money.