Author

Topic: Great article on valuation methodologies for coins (Read 437 times)

sr. member
Activity: 686
Merit: 320
I'm very sure this ICO craze will not end well and alot of these developers will end up in jail, it is just a matter of time
Exactly. It's going to be a very entertaining time. Not to mention so many "coins" that are going to have to decide between shutting themselves off or becoming part of the mainstream financial system.
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
I'm very sure this ICO craze will not end well and alot of these developers will end up in jail, it is just a matter of time, developers are getting greedy and can see this trend continue for years, what is surprising is the level of money that has entered into the space this year alone taking advantage of the space.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1000
https://blog.sia.tech/want-to-deflate-the-token-bubble-fix-the-market-cap-indicator-d50f7f1e1ec4

Quote
The token world is getting crazy, but last week’s Gnosis ICO pushed us over the edge. Gnosis investors bought up approximately 4.2% of the total GNO token supply for $12.5 million (250,000 ETH), giving the project a market capitalization of $298 million (as of April 24).
To be clear: this means ICO investors valued Gnosis — an unproven platform that is yet to be launched — at about $300 million. Moreover, the GNO token does not have any actual purpose except to exchange for WIZ tokens at some point in the future.
We at Sia feel that this ICO insanity cannot continue in its current form — something must give. If the bubble bursts, it will inflict damage on every token, including those that are most reputable.
Many in the community want to slow and eventually stop this trend. We think that, while investors are by no means rational, they need access to the best possible information in order to make informed decisions. However, it is clear that investors are completely misvaluing most tokens. So what gives?
Our hypothesis: the market cap indicator is highly flawed.
Market cap is so powerful because it allows investors to quickly assess total valuation of an asset. A flawed market cap calculation means that investors are not able to properly value a token without doing extensive research.
There are two major inputs to market cap: total supply, which is required to properly calculate present market cap, and inflation, which can be used to predict future total supply and therefore future market cap.

unproven tech, heck, this happen before they even have a working wallet.
any scam with ethoreium is going to be to big to fail now. everyone can be instant millionaire.
full member
Activity: 144
Merit: 100
https://blog.sia.tech/want-to-deflate-the-token-bubble-fix-the-market-cap-indicator-d50f7f1e1ec4

Quote
The token world is getting crazy, but last week’s Gnosis ICO pushed us over the edge. Gnosis investors bought up approximately 4.2% of the total GNO token supply for $12.5 million (250,000 ETH), giving the project a market capitalization of $298 million (as of April 24).
To be clear: this means ICO investors valued Gnosis — an unproven platform that is yet to be launched — at about $300 million. Moreover, the GNO token does not have any actual purpose except to exchange for WIZ tokens at some point in the future.
We at Sia feel that this ICO insanity cannot continue in its current form — something must give. If the bubble bursts, it will inflict damage on every token, including those that are most reputable.
Many in the community want to slow and eventually stop this trend. We think that, while investors are by no means rational, they need access to the best possible information in order to make informed decisions. However, it is clear that investors are completely misvaluing most tokens. So what gives?
Our hypothesis: the market cap indicator is highly flawed.
Market cap is so powerful because it allows investors to quickly assess total valuation of an asset. A flawed market cap calculation means that investors are not able to properly value a token without doing extensive research.
There are two major inputs to market cap: total supply, which is required to properly calculate present market cap, and inflation, which can be used to predict future total supply and therefore future market cap.

Good points, I always calculate marketcap using total outstanding coins when I assess the current price of a coin.

The greater problem with marketcap though, is market manipulation of price and volume, but there's nothing anyone can do about that. So many top 40 coins today are really house of cards, and the best advice to noobies is read, study, learn as much as you can, don't believe the market, do the hard work and investigate coins yourself.
sr. member
Activity: 454
Merit: 250
This industry is pure fiction
Nah. Too complicated.

Something needs to be done but that's not it.

This is about stupid scammy ICO's, not marketcaps. Investors (at least here on BCT) do not care to research anything. They couldn't care less what the marketcap might be, wants to be, shouldn't be, maybe might not be. How many coins, emissions, block times, transaction scaling... They don't care

They want their crappy tokens on the exchange and they want their profit (but hardly ever get it). That's why GNOSIS made so much money. Sia devs should not throw blame the wrong way.
legendary
Activity: 1190
Merit: 1000
https://blog.sia.tech/want-to-deflate-the-token-bubble-fix-the-market-cap-indicator-d50f7f1e1ec4

Quote
The token world is getting crazy, but last week’s Gnosis ICO pushed us over the edge. Gnosis investors bought up approximately 4.2% of the total GNO token supply for $12.5 million (250,000 ETH), giving the project a market capitalization of $298 million (as of April 24).
To be clear: this means ICO investors valued Gnosis — an unproven platform that is yet to be launched — at about $300 million. Moreover, the GNO token does not have any actual purpose except to exchange for WIZ tokens at some point in the future.
We at Sia feel that this ICO insanity cannot continue in its current form — something must give. If the bubble bursts, it will inflict damage on every token, including those that are most reputable.
Many in the community want to slow and eventually stop this trend. We think that, while investors are by no means rational, they need access to the best possible information in order to make informed decisions. However, it is clear that investors are completely misvaluing most tokens. So what gives?
Our hypothesis: the market cap indicator is highly flawed.
Market cap is so powerful because it allows investors to quickly assess total valuation of an asset. A flawed market cap calculation means that investors are not able to properly value a token without doing extensive research.
There are two major inputs to market cap: total supply, which is required to properly calculate present market cap, and inflation, which can be used to predict future total supply and therefore future market cap.
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