Yes, but the paper ignores the structural issues that stifle the U.S.: - only banks have access to the ACH rails and they operate as a gating mechanism killing participation by others unless permission is granted -- limiting innovation - Money transmission regulation has not been pre-empted by federal oversight. Thus moving money is the fiefdom of small minded state regulators with no overall view or authority - The law lets payors decide how they want to pay (i.e. using checks) rather than allowing payees dictate how they will accept being paid - The U.S. has subsidized legacy systems for years (check clearing). Rather than investing ahead of the curve, the U.S. mis-calculates the costs (i.e. fixed and variable) associated with preserving the status quo
2. Are you in general agreement with the desired outcomes for payment system improvements over the next 10 years? Please explain, if desired.
Yes. But I was at the Fed 10 years ago, and the same tone / attitude was taken then as now. The U.S. was behind the world then, and is more behind now.
2i. What other outcomes should be pursued?
IP rails should be allowed as a parallel processing environment to the legacy systems. That means breathing room for digital currencies. The assumption that sovereign governments should have a monopoly on the money supply and payments infrastructure needs to be re-examined. Alternate money systems based around the internet should be given a chance.
UBIQUITIOUS NEAR-REAL-TIME PAYMENTS
4. In discussions with industry participants, some have stated that implementing a system for near-real-time payments with the features described in the second desired outcome (ubiquitous participation;sender doesn’t need to know the bank account number of the recipient; confirmation of good funds is made at the initiation of the payment; sender and receiver receive timely notification that the payment has been made; funds debited from the payer and made available in near real time to the payee) will require coordinated action by a public authority or industry group. Others have stated that current payment services are evolving toward this outcome and no special action by a public authority or industry group is required.
4i. Which of these perspectives is more accurate, and why?
These systems exist (i.e. Ripple). Banks are just afraid to work with them because of compliance concerns and the uncertainty of the regulatory enviroment. State oversight of money transmission makes the above goals impossible to practically pursue when there are 50 different regimes with 50 different opinions of what's allowable.
4ii. What other perspective(s) should be considered?
Allow a dual set of IP payment rails. Give a hands off like Amazon enjoyed on sales tax for a decade. See what the internet can produce before you choke it with the same strictures on the legacy rails
6iii. Is it sufficient for a solution to be limited to near-real-time authorization and confirmation that good funds are on their way, or must end user funds availability and/or interbank settlement take place in near-real time as well?
funds don't have to arrive in real time, but it’s actually simpler if they do (i.e. a stateless system). The internet already "gets" this but it’s not being given a chance to breath.
6iv. Which payment scenarios are most and least suitable for near real-time payments? (B2B, P2P, P2B, POS, etc.)
all are suitable. This should have occurred 20 years ago
10. What would be the implication if the industry and/or the Federal Reserve Banks do not take any action to implement faster payments?
2023 will look a lot like 2013 just as 2013 looks a lot like 2003 (when I was at the Fed). The U.S. should lead rather than lag other countries by opening up options rather than sitting on top of the status quo with the current stifling regulatory environment and uncertainty.
10i. What is the cost, including the opportunity cost, of not implementing faster payments in the United States?
The rest of the world out innovates us and has a lower structural cost of business
11i. What is the likely timeframe for any such modernization?
For the legacy system -- possibly never. Too many protected interest and too much fear that change might have negative consequences along the way to finding positive outcomes. Best hope is a parallel track based on IP rails
12. Some industry participants suggest that a new, centralized directory containing account numbers and routing information for businesses and/or consumers, to which every bank and other service providers are linked, will enable more electronic payments. A sender using this directory would not need to know the account or routing information of the receiver.
12i. What are the merits and drawbacks of this suggestion?
Centralized has to be global -- doing this for one country is just more head in the ground thinking. Look to how the internet solved similar problems for domain names, email servers, etc. The solutions are there --but the description above shows the same tunnel vision as has characterized this discourse for years
14. Business-to-business payments have remained largely paper-based due to difficulties with handling remittance information. Consumer bill payments also are heavily paper-based due to the lack of comfort some consumers have with electronic alternatives. In addition, many small businesses have not adopted ACH for recurring payments due to technical challenges and/or cost constraints. The payment industry has multiple efforts underway to address these issues.
14i. To what extent are these efforts resulting in migration from checks to other payment types?
Gosh, has no one looked to see how well and easily these issues are solved in other countries. This is a lack of will. Let the payees determine how they will be paid (rather than the payees). Biasing law to favor payor rights over payee means we are mired in the past. Check 21 showed just how timid we are/were
14ii. What other barriers need to be addressed to accelerate migration of these payments?
Stop punishing banks who would partner with players offering alternative payment rails. How many bitcoin friendly U.S. banks are there? Zero not because they are not curious, but because they are afraid of their regulators and regulation and law enforcement
14iii. What other tactics, including incentives, will effectively persuade businesses and consumers to migrate to electronic payments?
Reducing the risk of trying alternative systems. Allowing failures to happen rather than having a zero tolerance for failure of financial payment networks. Its ok to have failures in payments systems. We learn from those.
CROSS-BORDER PAYMENTS
Ugh, this has been dribbling along for 20 years. Just accept that the internet is more efficient than these incremental half measures
16. What strategies and tactics do you think will help move the industry toward desired outcome four -consumers and businesses have greater choice in making convenient, cost-effective, and timely cross-border payments?
Allowing internet based innovation as a parallel track to legacy channels. Resistance to lobby groups that make digital payments alternatives look too scary to be integrated through gateways to the traditional payment system
SAFETY
17i. Among the issues listed above, or others, what are the key threats to payment system securitytoday and in the future?
The main risk is the arrogance of the NSA and other Federal bodies that have shown a lack of respect for privacy and have made a mockery of encryption. If the Federal government has no credibility on this front, how can they be seen as an honest broker of future progress in this arena. The Federal Government has to follow the same rules it asks others to live by otherwise all of the above are just speed bumps to bad actors.
17ii. Which of these threats are not adequately being addressed?
The double standard of the national government’s own actions and the silence from other authorities on whether such violations of privacy are warranted for national security.
17iii. What operational or technology changes could be implemented to further mitigate cyber threats?
Stop the Federal Government from compromising the very standards that are built to protect us from cyber threats. It is ridiculous to believe that the Feds have a monopoly on managing cyber threat technology. By weakening the internet, they weaken the future system that is best positioned to carry payments of the future.
ADDITIONAL
The banks fears that they will get on the wrong side of their regulators reinforces a stagnant dynamic that makes the U.S. a terrible laggard relative to the innovation and cost structures being achieved elsewhere in the world. Accepting risks and that there will be payment systems failures needs to be an ok outcome. This requires a fundamental change in thinking from the fear ridden, status-quo oriented perspective that I saw when working at the Fed. It’s ok to have payment system failures, just like its ok to have bank failures. Once you start thinking otherwise, then you've left the objective world of experimentation and are living in a self-referential bubble. The internet shows an alternative that the Fed has done almost zero to open itself to. I watched this during the horrific process of doing something as simple as making it easier to submit an ACH file over the web.What a nightmare and how indicative of Fed reticence. A great place to start would be federal pre-emption of state money transmission licenses. This process is so universally acknowledged as stupidly obtuse by everyone .... yet nothing ever changes here. It’s two years and several million dollars just to get a seat at the table. And when you get there, it’s a hodge podge shakedown as PayPal and Square can well relate. The Fed could step up to the plate and show that regulation could/should be rational, fair, and pragmatic. But it never steps up to the plate, and the consequential lag in our country's competitive position continues to stretch. I see it in the figures of money moving through our network via China versus the U.S. We are missing out.
Excerpts from this pdf response
Manu Sporny of the W3C also delivered a lot of great insight