Disclaimer: The information's contained in this explanation is the result of my understanding of Fibonacci Retracement and may contain some errors. Search and confirm about it.
Table of contents 1.
What is Fibonacci retracement? 2.
How to use Fibonacci retracement 3.
The Difference Between Fibonacci Retracements and Fibonacci Extensions 4.
LimitationsWhat is Fibonacci retracement?We talked about in the last article Elliott Waves, and today we will start learning what you can expect when the market begins with a corrective phase, one of the most important tools that we will learn is how to use Fibonacci retracement.
It is about using Fibonacci ratios as percentages to predict areas of interest. These ratios are:
0%
23.6%
38.2%
61.8%
78.6%
100%
It is not fixed percentages, as percentages higher than 100% such as 261.8% or 423.6% can be used.
The important point that we will be looking for is 50%.
How to use Fibonacci retracementIf we take into account that the Fibonacci series are numbers
1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, etc.
If you divide a number by the number that follows it, you will get a percentage close to 0.61, and if we take the number that precedes it, we get 0.38, and thus it can be used to chart levels within the range if we put two important price points, and then this range is drawn according to the basic trend.
Hence some type of price movement is expected, either a reversal or a break.
Suppose the price rises from $20 to $35, and you want to draw the retracement indicator.
23.6% level will be (35- (15*0.236)) = $31.46
50% level will be (35- (15*.5)) = $27.5
61.8% level will be (35- (15*.618)) = $25.73
we can use it on charts as 5-wave move on the chart of the S&P 500 (Wave 2 flat. Wave 4 zigzag)
The Difference Between Fibonacci Retracements and Fibonacci ExtensionsFibonacci retracements apply percentages to a pullback
Fibonacci extensions apply percentages to a move in the trending direction
if the price rise from $5000 to $10,000 then back to 6000. the move from 10,000 to 6000 is retracements and rally to 14,000 is extension.
LimitationsAlthough it indicates where the price might find support or resistance, there is no certainty of that, so the price may reverse or bounce back. Therefore, it should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators and should not be relied upon entirely.
Sources
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/fibonacciretracement.asp
https://comparic.com/learn-apply-fibonacci-retracements-trading/