Why on earth do people insist on spending > $1k on GPU's for mining? Has no one been paying attention? Do people like to lose money?
This model will be a bit simplistic, but follow along...
Let's say you overclock and get the high-end production out of each GPU.. 600 MH/s. So you get 1800 MH/s total.
(reference here:
https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Mining_hardware_comparison)
Each card uses 200W of power. That's 600W just for the cards. Figure 80% efficiency PSU (if you even have an 80% PSU) means you're burning a minimum of 750W, not counting CPU, RAM, HD, motherboard circuitry...
Conservatively you're going to spend at least $1100 on hardware. Now head over to here and plugin those numbers:
http://www.bitcoinx.com/profit/Wow, it looks like you're going to "profit" $9.43 USD per day! Wait.. but over on the "net profit" side, it says you've *lost* $304.30 USD over the first 3 months.
Now look at how quickly the difficulty is going up:
http://bitcoindifficulty.com/And think about just how long you're going to be "profiting" anything near $9.43 per day with the difficulty going up like that. Every two weeks, you will make less. The prediction of only being in the hole $300 after the first 3 months is a vast understatement. The maximum value of a share dropped 14% at the last adjustment. Let's see how that makes the numbers work:
Starting at an "Income" of $12.13 USD/day and power cost of $2.70 USD/day. For simplicity I'll just put $37.80 each 2 weeks for power, since this doesn't change.
After 2 weeks: ($12.13 * 14) - ($37.80) = $132.02
After 4 weeks: ($10.43 * 14 - ($37.80) = $108.22
After 6 weeks: ($8.97 * 14) - ($37.80) = $87.78
After 8 weeks: ($7.71 * 14) - ($37.80) = $70.14
After 10 weeks: ($6.63 * 14) - ($37.80) = $55.02
After 12 weeks: ($5.70 * 14) - ($37.80) = $42.00
After 14 weeks: ($4.90 * 14) - ($37.80) = $30.80
Grand total "profit" after 14 weeks: $525.98
Minus Cost of system: $525.98 - $1100 = -$574.02
EVEN IF you don't pay for electricity, you're still in the hole $309.42 after 14 weeks.
And that's assuming BTC is still at $120 USD in three months...
The calculator estimates you'll make 0.1009 BTC per day at current network difficulty. This will of course drop every 2 weeks also.
0.1009 * 14 = 1.4126
0.086774 * 14 = 1.214836
0.07462564 * 14 = 1.04475896
0.06417805 * 14 = 0.8984927
0.05519312 * 14 = 0.77270368
0.04746608 * 14 = 0.66452512
0.04082083 * 14 = 0.57149162
Total BTC after 14 weeks: 6.57940808
Total BTC if you just spent $1100 on BTC (at current rate of $121 USD): 9.090909
If you've got $1100 burning a hole in your pocket, invest in an ASIC miner, an ASIC mining contract, or straight up buy some BTC. Buying GPUs to make BTC is the worst possible investment.