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Topic: How and why Bitcoin will plummet in price (Read 6830 times)

hero member
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'All that glitters is not gold'
legendary
Activity: 4466
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31 U.S. Code § 5103 - Legal tender
United States coins and currency (including Federal reserve notes and circulating notes of Federal reserve banks and national banks) are legal tender for all debts, public charges, taxes, and dues. Foreign gold or silver coins are not legal tender for debts.

This statute means that all United States money as identified above are a valid and legal offer of payment for debts when tendered to a creditor. There is, however, no Federal statute mandating that a private business, a person or an organization must accept currency or coins as for payment for goods and/or services. Private businesses are free to develop their own policies on whether or not to accept cash unless there is a State law which says otherwise.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
It's Money 2.0| It’s gold for nerds | It's Bitcoin
Probably - Scottish (and Northern Irish) notes seem to me to be, in effect, IOUs for Bank of England notes. My understanding was that "legal tender" applied to debts, so if I have a meal in a restaurant and settle up afterwards - the restaurant can't refuse my payment if I offer legal tender (obviously restaurants in Scotland are more concerned with receiving payment in any form than with the legal niceties Smiley ). I don't know at what point my Council Tax obligations become a "debt" - when I've paid in cash I've been paying in advance - but it's certainly a duty or obligation (or, at least, regarded as such by our city fathers...)

But what if it is made known to you before you take a meal that the restaurant won't accept what is "legal tender" there, will you be able to insist on paying the "debt" with it alluding to its being a legal tender?
I honestly don't know - it's never happened to me! I think businesses tend to be pragmatic - money's money, so as long as they can check it's not counterfeit then they're usually willing to accept it. The problem tends to be the other way round, using Scottish notes in England - though even that I've not found to be much of a problem recently.
A restaurant, or any other business is not able to decline to accept any form of legal tender, at least in the US. Businesses may accept additional forms of payment as well, however if they are in the US then they must accept US dollars.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 526
Probably - Scottish (and Northern Irish) notes seem to me to be, in effect, IOUs for Bank of England notes. My understanding was that "legal tender" applied to debts, so if I have a meal in a restaurant and settle up afterwards - the restaurant can't refuse my payment if I offer legal tender (obviously restaurants in Scotland are more concerned with receiving payment in any form than with the legal niceties Smiley ). I don't know at what point my Council Tax obligations become a "debt" - when I've paid in cash I've been paying in advance - but it's certainly a duty or obligation (or, at least, regarded as such by our city fathers...)

But what if it is made known to you before you take a meal that the restaurant won't accept what is "legal tender" there, will you be able to insist on paying the "debt" with it alluding to its being a legal tender?
I honestly don't know - it's never happened to me! I think businesses tend to be pragmatic - money's money, so as long as they can check it's not counterfeit then they're usually willing to accept it. The problem tends to be the other way round, using Scottish notes in England - though even that I've not found to be much of a problem recently.

My personal take on this is that the legal obligation here refers only to a state, which is bound to accept what is declared as a legal tender in payment for taxes, debts and whatnot. Businesses are free to choose which money they are willing to accept (unless it is directly prohibited by law indeed). Thus Bitcoin is made legal in California (together with other electronic moneys), but this doesn't in the least mean that you can pay taxes with it.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 503
Probably - Scottish (and Northern Irish) notes seem to me to be, in effect, IOUs for Bank of England notes. My understanding was that "legal tender" applied to debts, so if I have a meal in a restaurant and settle up afterwards - the restaurant can't refuse my payment if I offer legal tender (obviously restaurants in Scotland are more concerned with receiving payment in any form than with the legal niceties Smiley ). I don't know at what point my Council Tax obligations become a "debt" - when I've paid in cash I've been paying in advance - but it's certainly a duty or obligation (or, at least, regarded as such by our city fathers...)

But what if it is made known to you before you take a meal that the restaurant won't accept what is "legal tender" there, will you be able to insist on paying the "debt" with it alluding to its being a legal tender?
I honestly don't know - it's never happened to me! I think businesses tend to be pragmatic - money's money, so as long as they can check it's not counterfeit then they're usually willing to accept it. The problem tends to be the other way round, using Scottish notes in England - though even that I've not found to be much of a problem recently.
full member
Activity: 224
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THE GAME OF CHANCE. CHANGED.
We need constantly infusion of "new" money to keep the price going up.

China, India and many countries are out of the question. Wall Street and pension fund are our last hope to pump it to new high.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 526

...and, there are even countries where legal tender doesn't really exist. In Scotland, for example, coins are legal tender (limited amounts in most cases, but £1 and £2 coins are valid for any amount), but no bank notes have been legal tender since 1946 (Scottish bank notes, and Bank of England 10 shilling and £1 notes). There are current Scottish bank notes (issues by three commercial banks), and Bank of England notes are widely used - but none are legal tender.

Does Scotland collect their own taxes, and if it does, what money is accepted as payment for them?

Local authorities ("councils") collect "Council Tax" to pay for local services; they accept Scottish notes (and, presumably, though I've never tested it, Bank of England notes).

The Scottish Government has (limited - a few percentage points above the UK-wide tax rate) tax-raising powers, though to date hasn't exercised that power.

Thanx for the info. Could we then consider Scottish and Bank of England notes as legal tender (even if the notion is not formally defined)? To me, legal tender in the first place is what government accepts as payment for the taxes and duties it imposes on their citizens.
Probably - Scottish (and Northern Irish) notes seem to me to be, in effect, IOUs for Bank of England notes. My understanding was that "legal tender" applied to debts, so if I have a meal in a restaurant and settle up afterwards - the restaurant can't refuse my payment if I offer legal tender (obviously restaurants in Scotland are more concerned with receiving payment in any form than with the legal niceties Smiley ). I don't know at what point my Council Tax obligations become a "debt" - when I've paid in cash I've been paying in advance - but it's certainly a duty or obligation (or, at least, regarded as such by our city fathers...)

But what if it is made known to you before you take a meal that the restaurant won't accept what is "legal tender" there, will you be able to insist on paying the "debt" with it alluding to its being a legal tender?
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 503

...and, there are even countries where legal tender doesn't really exist. In Scotland, for example, coins are legal tender (limited amounts in most cases, but £1 and £2 coins are valid for any amount), but no bank notes have been legal tender since 1946 (Scottish bank notes, and Bank of England 10 shilling and £1 notes). There are current Scottish bank notes (issues by three commercial banks), and Bank of England notes are widely used - but none are legal tender.

Does Scotland collect their own taxes, and if it does, what money is accepted as payment for them?

Local authorities ("councils") collect "Council Tax" to pay for local services; they accept Scottish notes (and, presumably, though I've never tested it, Bank of England notes).

The Scottish Government has (limited - a few percentage points above the UK-wide tax rate) tax-raising powers, though to date hasn't exercised that power.

Thanx for the info. Could we then consider Scottish and Bank of England notes as legal tender (even if the notion is not formally defined)? To me, legal tender in the first place is what government accepts as payment for the taxes and duties it imposes on their citizens.
Probably - Scottish (and Northern Irish) notes seem to me to be, in effect, IOUs for Bank of England notes. My understanding was that "legal tender" applied to debts, so if I have a meal in a restaurant and settle up afterwards - the restaurant can't refuse my payment if I offer legal tender (obviously restaurants in Scotland are more concerned with receiving payment in any form than with the legal niceties Smiley ). I don't know at what point my Council Tax obligations become a "debt" - when I've paid in cash I've been paying in advance - but it's certainly a duty or obligation (or, at least, regarded as such by our city fathers...)

hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 526

...and, there are even countries where legal tender doesn't really exist. In Scotland, for example, coins are legal tender (limited amounts in most cases, but £1 and £2 coins are valid for any amount), but no bank notes have been legal tender since 1946 (Scottish bank notes, and Bank of England 10 shilling and £1 notes). There are current Scottish bank notes (issues by three commercial banks), and Bank of England notes are widely used - but none are legal tender.

Does Scotland collect their own taxes, and if it does, what money is accepted as payment for them?

Local authorities ("councils") collect "Council Tax" to pay for local services; they accept Scottish notes (and, presumably, though I've never tested it, Bank of England notes).

The Scottish Government has (limited - a few percentage points above the UK-wide tax rate) tax-raising powers, though to date hasn't exercised that power.

Thanx for the info. Could we then consider Scottish and Bank of England notes as legal tender (even if the notion is not formally defined)? To me, legal tender in the first place is what government accepts as payment for the taxes and duties it imposes on their citizens.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 503

...and, there are even countries where legal tender doesn't really exist. In Scotland, for example, coins are legal tender (limited amounts in most cases, but £1 and £2 coins are valid for any amount), but no bank notes have been legal tender since 1946 (Scottish bank notes, and Bank of England 10 shilling and £1 notes). There are current Scottish bank notes (issues by three commercial banks), and Bank of England notes are widely used - but none are legal tender.

Does Scotland collect their own taxes, and if it does, what money is accepted as payment for them?

Local authorities ("councils") collect "Council Tax" to pay for local services; they accept Scottish notes (and, presumably, though I've never tested it, Bank of England notes).

The Scottish Government has (limited - a few percentage points above the UK-wide tax rate) tax-raising powers, though to date hasn't exercised that power.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 526
Now that Califorina has legalized Bitcoin, it will not plummet in price.

It is still not a legal tender though.


Federal government can no longer stop companies from accepting bitcoin in California.

This doesn't make bitcoin into a legal tender yet. You won't be able to pay, for example, taxes or public charges and duties with it. Don't let yourself get fooled about it.
In order for something to be legal tender, any company must be forced to accept it for payment. In the US this is only true for the Dollar as it is "Legal tender for all debts, public and private"

Everyone seems to forget that all currencies fail to be legal tender outside its borders.

So if all currencies are foreign currencies in most of the places on the planet what makes them so different than Bitcoin?

...and, there are even countries where legal tender doesn't really exist. In Scotland, for example, coins are legal tender (limited amounts in most cases, but £1 and £2 coins are valid for any amount), but no bank notes have been legal tender since 1946 (Scottish bank notes, and Bank of England 10 shilling and £1 notes). There are current Scottish bank notes (issues by three commercial banks), and Bank of England notes are widely used - but none are legal tender.

Does Scotland collect their own taxes, and if it does, what money is accepted as payment for them?
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 503
Now that Califorina has legalized Bitcoin, it will not plummet in price.

It is still not a legal tender though.


Federal government can no longer stop companies from accepting bitcoin in California.

This doesn't make bitcoin into a legal tender yet. You won't be able to pay, for example, taxes or public charges and duties with it. Don't let yourself get fooled about it.
In order for something to be legal tender, any company must be forced to accept it for payment. In the US this is only true for the Dollar as it is "Legal tender for all debts, public and private"

Everyone seems to forget that all currencies fail to be legal tender outside its borders.

So if all currencies are foreign currencies in most of the places on the planet what makes them so different than Bitcoin?

...and, there are even countries where legal tender doesn't really exist. In Scotland, for example, coins are legal tender (limited amounts in most cases, but £1 and £2 coins are valid for any amount), but no bank notes have been legal tender since 1946 (Scottish bank notes, and Bank of England 10 shilling and £1 notes). There are current Scottish bank notes (issues by three commercial banks), and Bank of England notes are widely used - but none are legal tender.

I'm not sure what the situation is in Northern Ireland, but I gather it's similar - Northern Irish banks also issue their own notes, though I don't know if they're legal tender there or not.

(For the sake of completeness I should add that Bank of England notes are legal tender in England and Wales, and accepted in Scotland without question - since they enjoy the same non-legal tender status as their Scottish equivalents).
legendary
Activity: 2884
Merit: 1115
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
Let's say you have a car rental company named "Hertz" and it is willing to rent you a car for $100. Then suppose that another car rental company named "Avis" comes along and is willing to rent you a car for $90. And then yet another car rental company named "Enterprise" comes along and is willing to rent you a  car for $80. And to make matters worse, there are now hundreds of other car rental companies.

That guy is saying that "Hertz" should have gone bankrupt decades ago.

Nice

I was reading it as
For purposes of argument, let’s say that a year from now Bitcoin is priced at $500. Then you want some Bitcoin, let’s say to buy some drugs.  And you find someone willing to sell you Bitcoin for about $500.

So lets say your thinking in 2011 your Silk Road and the only thing on the market and then the Black Market Reloaded comes along and then another drug exchange and another that does youtube advertising *_*.
Basically more than one can exist (- the youtube advertising one)

hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 526
Now that Califorina has legalized Bitcoin, it will not plummet in price.

It is still not a legal tender though.


Federal government can no longer stop companies from accepting bitcoin in California.

This doesn't make bitcoin into a legal tender yet. You won't be able to pay, for example, taxes or public charges and duties with it. Don't let yourself get fooled about it.
In order for something to be legal tender, any company must be forced to accept it for payment. In the US this is only true for the Dollar as it is "Legal tender for all debts, public and private"

Everyone seems to forget that all currencies fail to be legal tender outside its borders.

So if all currencies are foreign currencies in most of the places on the planet what makes them so different than Bitcoin?

As I see it, in most places on the planet, Bitcoin is not even considered as a foreign currency. If not directly prohibited from settling accounts in (as in China or Russia), then it is treated as digital property. Thus payment in bitcoins will be viewed as barter (which is frowned upon in most countries if not outright banned).
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 526
Now that Califorina has legalized Bitcoin, it will not plummet in price.

It is still not a legal tender though.


Federal government can no longer stop companies from accepting bitcoin in California.

This doesn't make bitcoin into a legal tender yet. You won't be able to pay, for example, taxes or public charges and duties with it. Don't let yourself get fooled about it.
In order for something to be legal tender, any company must be forced to accept it for payment. In the US this is only true for the Dollar as it is "Legal tender for all debts, public and private"

I may be mistaken about this, but are the U.S. companies (in the U.S. territory indeed) actually forced to accept the US dollar? As I know, you (as a company owner) are free what currency to choose in payment for your goods or services, and if a contract stipulates payment in, say, euros, you (as a counter-party) can't ignore this clause and pay in dollars instead.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
Now that Califorina has legalized Bitcoin, it will not plummet in price.

It is still not a legal tender though.


Federal government can no longer stop companies from accepting bitcoin in California.

This doesn't make bitcoin into a legal tender yet. You won't be able to pay, for example, taxes or public charges and duties with it. Don't let yourself get fooled about it.
In order for something to be legal tender, any company must be forced to accept it for payment. In the US this is only true for the Dollar as it is "Legal tender for all debts, public and private"

Everyone seems to forget that all currencies fail to be legal tender outside its borders.

So if all currencies are foreign currencies in most of the places on the planet what makes them so different than Bitcoin?
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
Now that Califorina has legalized Bitcoin, it will not plummet in price.

It is still not a legal tender though.


Federal government can no longer stop companies from accepting bitcoin in California.

This doesn't make bitcoin into a legal tender yet. You won't be able to pay, for example, taxes or public charges and duties with it. Don't let yourself get fooled about it.
In order for something to be legal tender, any company must be forced to accept it for payment. In the US this is only true for the Dollar as it is "Legal tender for all debts, public and private"
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
★☆★ 777Coin - The Exciting Bitco
I think the author of this article was dropped on his head shortly after birth or something.  My 12 year old nephew could've written a better article.

I move that we apply QuitCoin to this entire thread and particularly that article.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 526
Now that Califorina has legalized Bitcoin, it will not plummet in price.

It is still not a legal tender though.


Federal government can no longer stop companies from accepting bitcoin in California.

This doesn't make bitcoin into a legal tender yet. You won't be able to pay, for example, taxes or public charges and duties with it. Don't let yourself get fooled about it.
full member
Activity: 166
Merit: 100
Now that Califorina has legalized Bitcoin, it will not plummet in price.

It is still not a legal tender though.


Federal government can no longer stop companies from accepting bitcoin in California.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 526
Now that Califorina has legalized Bitcoin, it will not plummet in price.

It is still not a legal tender though.
full member
Activity: 167
Merit: 100
Now that Califorina has legalized Bitcoin, it will not plummet in price.
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
VocalPlatform.com
So far, network effect is working well for bitcoin. But that doesn't mean there won't be another coin more suitable for payment gateway in the future.
Until that happens i just have to sit and wait for Bitcoin prices going vertical, when another better coin appears maybe i'm already buried in

my own mortuary business...
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
Don't let facts get in the way of an agenda. Build your straw man, beat it, repeat ad nauseum.
full member
Activity: 153
Merit: 100
So far, network effect is working well for bitcoin. But that doesn't mean there won't be another coin more suitable for payment gateway in the future.
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
Network Effect.

+1

Metcalfe's law, every time I read some dumbass talk about network values, Metcalfe's Law.
legendary
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1007
How many people didn't realise this was a necro.....?
I have no idea who bumped it, but carpe diem!

I read this, and I have to say it was the stupidest thing I have read. Correction; the stupidest thing I had read before this, multiplied by cancer.

This person understand absolutely nothing about Bitcoin, and I still have to understand why he wrote that. Did he not have a story for a column and decided to say something is bad, even though he's done seemingly no research?

And no variables were taken into effect.

Yeesh.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 526
Yeah, just noticed (though it was not me who bumped it)! Cheesy

But such questions are always topical and can be asked at any time about virtually anything.
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1000
How many people didn't realise this was a necro.....?
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 526
Funny thing is people immediately reject this argument because it works against Bitcoin, yet many use the same principle to predict increase costs of mining and rigs pushes up Bitcoin value.  I dont buy it myself, but you cant simply reject the premise that the value of Bitcoin could be reduced by supply side pressure.

Sure you can.  As long as demand is greater than supply, the notion that supply side pressure will reduce trading price in aggregate is absurd.

It seems that you don't fully understand how supply and demand work jointly. When demand increases, it almost instantaneously gets balanced through price adjustment, so most of the time supply and demand are mutually offsetting each other (read are equal). Thus, if we have supply side pressure, it also gets balanced immediately through the corresponding price adjustment. Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
Funny thing is people immediately reject this argument because it works against Bitcoin, yet many use the same principle to predict increase costs of mining and rigs pushes up Bitcoin value.  I dont buy it myself, but you cant simply reject the premise that the value of Bitcoin could be reduced by supply side pressure.

Sure you can.  As long as demand is greater than supply, the notion that supply side pressure will reduce trading price in aggregate is absurd.

Also absurd is the idea that a coin with no network constitutes an alternative to a coin with a network on the scale of bitcoin.
newbie
Activity: 7
Merit: 0
There is just too much faith in bitcoin now and as more adopt btc as a method of payment the faith increases, as faith in fiat currency and the traditional banking system decreases.. btc faith increases

VC interest in bitcoin based businesses has soared this year, they have the capital and with the right strategy over time these companies will grow, as the companies grow... faith increases.
newbie
Activity: 2
Merit: 0
This author just ignores the network effect of the most popular cryptocurrency.  He assumes that each crypotocurrency is a good substitute for any other cryptocurrency.

By analogy, we can assume that the value of the US dollar will fall sharply soon because Vietnamese Dong is much "cheaper" to buy.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 526
He seems to have completely missed the point that Bitcoins utility and thus value lies in its use as a method of currency transfer.

As far as I can figure out, he sees Bitcoin as a simple commodity whose price in a competitive market will fall to cover the cost of manufacture + a small profit margin. Just like cars or toilet seats.

So he seems to be basing his assumptions on the labor theory of value (no subjective value, i.e. utility), which had been proven wrong right at its inception in the 19th century.
newbie
Activity: 20
Merit: 0
One of the strengths of crypto-currencies is that if someone tries to corner the market on one of them people can simply change to a different one
newbie
Activity: 27
Merit: 0
I mostly agree with this forum member's that the author of the article is incompetent to tell about BTC, had never read such stupid things before
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
The author is an idiot. He obviously knows nothing about the overall altcoin markets.
legendary
Activity: 4466
Merit: 3391
Bitcoin will fail because adoption will be limited:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.5718375

Limited adoption does not mean failure. It means limited success. AnonyMint seems to believe that Bitcoin will die unless it replaces every currency.

I don't think that anyone expects Bitcoin to gain un-limited adoption. The adoption will most likely be limited by something, and the real question is when.
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
Bitcoin will fail because adoption will be limited:

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.5718375

What exactly is your link showing that indicates limited adoption?  Adoption will be predicated on ease of use, improved infrastructure, amongst other things.  Price is mostly irrelevant since Bitcoin can be divisible to multiple decimal places making it easy to use for anyone.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 521
Bitcoin will fail because adoption will be limited:

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.5718375
sr. member
Activity: 354
Merit: 250
I doubt he is right... I sure hope he isn't !

http://www.dailydot.com/opinion/how-why-bitcoin-will-fail/

He completely ignores variables brought in by the vendor, buyer, and market as a whole. He also doesn't understand the difference between price and value. And since when are altcoin prices arbitrarily decided by whoever made them lol?

This article screams of college freshman who took a few economics classes and now goes around spewing 'wisdom' like he's an expert.

Also, wtf is up with his vocabulary. Far too many awkward or incorrect word placements to be taken seriously. The guy's a native English speaker, so there's no excuse. Don't writers proofread anymore?

legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1053
Please do not PM me loan requests!
Yen is to USD as USD is to an insignificant chunk of a bitcoin. Yeah, we be way above society Cool
Let's spend the next twenty minutes insulting the author of that article now.
sr. member
Activity: 321
Merit: 250
It takes $630 to buy just 1 Bitcoin lol USD is worthless.
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
non-sense, lack of real econ - keynesians never got it working anyways
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1014
I doubt he is right... I sure hope he isn't !

http://www.dailydot.com/opinion/how-why-bitcoin-will-fail/

Has to be the dumbest article i have ever read. I am now more stupid than I was 10 minutes ago.

hehe, just felt the same way

the fact that altcoin market cap is much lower than bitcoin market cap is proof that it doesn't work that way

if this guy was right, ltc would be 0.25 btc, and so on, but BTC is a major, senior coin and the others are copycats. Owning the altcoins like in the article, is risky because they are more likely to vanish than BTC and thus BTC has more value than others. Why should a coin that has less purchase power but more risk, be preferred?

The article assumes that coins are ONLY for payment NEVER a store of value.

In fact why are people not using Zimbabwe dollars? They are much cheaper so any reasonable person would swap USD into Zimbabwe dollars right? Wow such nonsense!!

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zimbabwean_dollar

The 0.1 Satoshi currency  Grin
sr. member
Activity: 338
Merit: 253
It is fundamentally true that multiple competing coins will divide the total capitalization of the market.

But, it would be a mistake to think that all the coins will have the same value, or that someone would value say, a dogecoin the same as a bitcoin.

The different coins will take on different values, exponentially different values, in fact.

The dominant coins can be expected to command the lion's share of the capital and capital growth.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
I doubt he is right... I sure hope he isn't !

http://www.dailydot.com/opinion/how-why-bitcoin-will-fail/

unfortunately for the author, he seems to assume that the attractiveness of a cryptocurrency is tied in a major way to the value in traditional currencies of its base unit. the selling point for all cryptos is its utility, regardless of its market value...
legendary
Activity: 961
Merit: 1000
Article makes a point but it isn't necessarily on point.

Perhaps I like Coca Cola more than Bobs Cola.

I like the taste. I am influenced by the 'brand'. Bobs Cola may be cheaper but Coca Cola is what I drink.

Many of these new cola drinks, I don't trust them. Not many people stock them, but they are cheaper.

Maybe when the market accepts them and they are branded better it will appeal to me more.

Maybe when they are more mainstream their price will rise to meet that of Coca Cola because Coca Cola is a market leader for cola drinks.

Why would Coca Cola drop their price because their is more competition?

Why isn't Pepsi priced lower than Coca Cola?

hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 521
The article is well written and he makes a strong point.

This is why I believe the open source code base for a successful crypto-currency needs the commit control given to a Benevolent Dictator, and all users should run the official client, so that the currency can be continually innovated to keep interest in competitors weak.

With constant innovation, the market will favor the one with the most developers contributing.

Please note, the author wasn't dismissing network effects. His point is that the natural desire for profit, will drive interest to invest in the undervalued thing. This will pull Bitcoin down if there aren't more novices coming in that are afraid of the altcoins. I believe there is sufficient supply of newcomers who will buy Bitcoin before any altcoin, thus his scenario isn't entirely valid.
member
Activity: 112
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Cryptocurrencies Exchange
"But then the QuitCoin company comes along, with its algorithm, offering to sell you QuitCoin for $400. Will you ever accept such an offer? " no, I probably wont. This dude has no point at his theory.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
Funny thing is people immediately reject this argument because it works against Bitcoin, yet many use the same principle to predict increase costs of mining and rigs pushes up Bitcoin value.  I dont buy it myself, but you cant simply reject the premise that the value of Bitcoin could be reduced by supply side pressure.

I can certainly reject the idea that any altcoin can supply the same need.  How are you going to acquire an altcoin?  There's only one way that is practical for 99.9% of the people:  Buy it with bitcoin.  Given that you already bought bitcoin, why would you pay with a different coin?  Bitcoin already met your need.  It's not like you want more slippage, and less security, and less people willing to accept your money, and the risk of using some fly-by-night pump-n-dump, and much more volatility, and massive inflation -- in short the things that always come with altcoins.

sr. member
Activity: 245
Merit: 250
Funny thing is people immediately reject this argument because it works against Bitcoin, yet many use the same principle to predict increase costs of mining and rigs pushes up Bitcoin value.  I dont buy it myself, but you cant simply reject the premise that the value of Bitcoin could be reduced by supply side pressure.
newbie
Activity: 6
Merit: 0
yeah that works in a perfect model word at the university and even there you know the theory has weak spots....nobody can tell you wheater the btc prices will rise or fall. the world is just to irrational to understand it. in addition to that you cannot think of an transparent world where information is shared perfectly.

interesting article but way to theoretical
legendary
Activity: 4466
Merit: 3391
Let's say you have a car rental company named "Hertz" and it is willing to rent you a car for $100. Then suppose that another car rental company named "Avis" comes along and is willing to rent you a car for $90. And then yet another car rental company named "Enterprise" comes along and is willing to rent you a  car for $80. And to make matters worse, there are now hundreds of other car rental companies.

That guy is saying that "Hertz" should have gone bankrupt decades ago.
hero member
Activity: 595
Merit: 500
interesting article, but the guy seems to not be able to think about value in other than dogmatic view. He is wrong btw.  Wink
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1029
January 02, 2014, 08:30:43 PM
#9
He has no idea what bitcoin is and what's driving it. It's like me writing about ballet or something like that.
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 1001
January 02, 2014, 07:21:54 PM
#8
He seems to have completely missed the point that Bitcoins utility and thus value lies in its use as a method of currency transfer.

As far as I can figure out, he sees Bitcoin as a simple commodity whose price in a competitive market will fall to cover the cost of manufacture + a small profit margin. Just like cars or toilet seats.

Miss the point much ?

(And he's got tenure, I don't bloody believe it.)
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 255
January 02, 2014, 06:21:06 PM
#7
"Professor of Economics"

That's everything you need to know about his analysis of actual economics in the real world.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
January 02, 2014, 12:47:49 PM
#6
He actually makes a good point however, his analysis is flawed.

One of the strengths of crypto-currencies is that if someone tries to corner the market on one of them people can simply change to a different one...no different than what currency traders do with fiat.

Where his analysis is flawed is assuming the value will go to zero...the value of the crypto-currency under attack will simply transfer to a different one.
legendary
Activity: 1639
Merit: 1006
January 02, 2014, 12:43:42 PM
#5
I doubt he is right... I sure hope he isn't !

http://www.dailydot.com/opinion/how-why-bitcoin-will-fail/

Has to be the dumbest article i have ever read. I am now more stupid than I was 10 minutes ago.
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 1060
January 02, 2014, 12:26:15 PM
#4
This guy is retarded or something
newbie
Activity: 17
Merit: 0
December 31, 2013, 07:07:27 AM
#3
Network Effect.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
December 31, 2013, 06:01:26 AM
#2
From the first two paragraphs, I would have guessed the author is a seventh-grader.

It is strangely written indeed
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
December 31, 2013, 04:59:44 AM
#1
I doubt he is right... I sure hope he isn't !

http://www.dailydot.com/opinion/how-why-bitcoin-will-fail/
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