Close is what I'm looking for. I think 28% of total production for 2013 will be pretty close. Then add or deduct any big movement of coins in and out of China and attempt to estimate what they were holding before 2013
The objective is to try to understand what they are doing with the coins...selling for profit or holding for speculation, hedging savings or circumventing restrictions on money movement outside of China. They are surely not buying goods with them yet as the opportunities are few.
If we know what they are doing with them we can help "predict" where the price will go, how long it will take to get there and how big is the danger of sudden price collapse.
i assume that they are holding them for speculation, and maybe some of them are big holders