Author

Topic: How high the spike will go this time? (Read 4490 times)

newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
April 23, 2013, 04:02:31 PM
#39
6 USD, 7 USD, maybe even 8 USD until it breaks down again?


Amazing what 12 months can do. Smiley

160 USD, 165 USD, maybe even 170 USD until it breaks down again.
420
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
April 23, 2013, 03:24:22 PM
#38
Bitcoin is the ultimate Black swan. It will change everything.

black swan to the masses. pocket monster to us
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
April 23, 2013, 03:22:43 PM
#37
Bitcoin is the ultimate Black swan. It will change everything.
full member
Activity: 184
Merit: 100
April 23, 2013, 03:12:00 PM
#36
Bitcoin will be black swan even for most of bitcoiners who use it today

Like... a black swan as in a sudden upward spike or a sudden crash?

whatever you're not expecting. thats what a black swan is

so if you want it to go up, expect it to go down, convince yourself Wink

I am not sure if you are using the term "black swan" correctly. A black swan is not just something unexpected, but something which is believed impossible because every other example is different. Something which can not happen because it has never happened before. Until it does happen, which proves everybody wrong.

you miss the point ...and point is what happens after fact !

The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that is a surprise (to the observer), has a major effect, and after the fact is often inappropriately rationalized with the benefit of hindsight.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory
A little late to reply, are we?  Smiley
full member
Activity: 242
Merit: 104
April 23, 2013, 03:04:04 PM
#35
Bitcoin will be black swan even for most of bitcoiners who use it today

Like... a black swan as in a sudden upward spike or a sudden crash?

whatever you're not expecting. thats what a black swan is

so if you want it to go up, expect it to go down, convince yourself Wink

I am not sure if you are using the term "black swan" correctly. A black swan is not just something unexpected, but something which is believed impossible because every other example is different. Something which can not happen because it has never happened before. Until it does happen, which proves everybody wrong.

you miss the point ...and point is what happens after fact !

The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that is a surprise (to the observer), has a major effect, and after the fact is often inappropriately rationalized with the benefit of hindsight.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory
420
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
November 28, 2012, 05:39:32 PM
#34
Bitcoin will be black swan even for most of bitcoiners who use it today

Like... a black swan as in a sudden upward spike or a sudden crash?

whatever you're not expecting. thats what a black swan is

so if you want it to go up, expect it to go down, convince yourself Wink

I am not sure if you are using the term "black swan" correctly. A black swan is not just something unexpected, but something which is believed impossible because every other example is different. Something which can not happen because it has never happened before. Until it does happen, which proves everybody wrong.

yup I deliberately changed the definition as I wrote
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
November 28, 2012, 09:19:38 AM
#33
Bitcoin will be black swan even for most of bitcoiners who use it today

Like... a black swan as in a sudden upward spike or a sudden crash?

whatever you're not expecting. thats what a black swan is

so if you want it to go up, expect it to go down, convince yourself Wink

I am not sure if you are using the term "black swan" correctly. A black swan is not just something unexpected, but something which is believed impossible because every other example is different. Something which can not happen because it has never happened before. Until it does happen, which proves everybody wrong.
420
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
November 28, 2012, 02:17:33 AM
#32
Bitcoin will be black swan even for most of bitcoiners who use it today

Like... a black swan as in a sudden upward spike or a sudden crash?

whatever you're not expecting. thats what a black swan is

so if you want it to go up, expect it to go down, convince yourself Wink
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1000
November 27, 2012, 12:27:21 PM
#31
Bitcoin will be black swan even for most of bitcoiners who use it today

Like... a black swan as in a sudden upward spike or a sudden crash?
hero member
Activity: 699
Merit: 500
Your Minion
November 27, 2012, 12:20:45 PM
#30
Buy  Huh    Wink
full member
Activity: 242
Merit: 104
November 27, 2012, 12:18:11 PM
#29
Bitcoin will be black swan even for most of bitcoiners who use it today
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
November 27, 2012, 10:50:29 AM
#28
Remember when $8 seemed outrageous?


Yep.  8 was like adamstshghsghsdbit's favorite number for the longest time.

I remember that  Cheesy

We are headed back to $8.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
November 27, 2012, 10:02:24 AM
#27
Remember when $8 seemed outrageous?


Yep.  8 was like adamstshghsghsdbit's favorite number for the longest time.

I remember that  Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Shame on everything; regret nothing.
November 27, 2012, 10:01:08 AM
#26
Remember when $8 seemed outrageous?


Yep.  8 was like adamstshghsghsdbit's favorite number for the longest time.
420
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
November 27, 2012, 12:42:43 AM
#25
Remember when $8 seemed outrageous?


no
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
November 27, 2012, 12:21:32 AM
#24
Remember when $8 seemed outrageous?
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 500
You're fat, because you dont have any pics on FB
April 21, 2012, 01:46:01 PM
#23
Looks like it was a good I moved my bids down.  Expecting more downward movement.

 Huh   Are you actually Jim Cramer?

No.

Are you actually Jesus ?
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311
April 21, 2012, 12:31:17 PM
#22
Looks like it was a good I moved my bids down.  Expecting more downward movement.

 Huh   Are you actually Jim Cramer?

No.
legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1003
April 21, 2012, 09:20:43 AM
#21
Looks like it was a good I moved my bids down.  Expecting more downward movement.

 Huh   Are you actually Jim Cramer?
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311
April 21, 2012, 08:47:58 AM
#20
Looks like it was a good I moved my bids down.  Expecting more downward movement.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 250
April 21, 2012, 08:33:38 AM
#19
Once all the drug dealers have to sell their money from the SR sale the price will go down. I know most of you think that SR isnt the #1 reason for bitcoins success but after this huge spike for 4/20 I dont know how you can deny it any more.
lol

wouldn't you think they would buy b4 4/20?


Stoners?  nope

I have strong doubts SR had much to do with today's rally since most of people trading there don't use the 100% by the book give us your ID info or we keep your money mtgox.
You'd be surprised.
And regardless, one way or another, if there's a surge in demand for BTC on other exchanges it'll push the mtgox price up too.
Market dynamics at work  Tongue
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
April 21, 2012, 07:17:01 AM
#18


So they must be extremely dumb or extremely bad businessmen. Not even. They must be irrational customers. In any case, this speaks against using SR, not from a moral point of view, but an economic. I wouldn't want to deal with people who are so dumb to deliberately hurt themselves economically.

Except there was a huge sale on SR that started like 12 hours ago, no commision so around 7% of the cost right off the bat. Then a lot of vendors also reduced prices on top of that. The sale ends in 1 day 5 hours watch the sell off Smiley

Also, of course drug users are irrational customers. It's been shown over time most drug use does not go down even when the price of them goes up exponentially. There's a somewhat fixed demand regardless of the price.

legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
April 20, 2012, 07:42:59 PM
#17
I think ~$5.50 will be the top for a while, but we'll see.  Still waiting for a re-entry point and still planning on it being below $5.00.

I don't understand what you are doing there exactly. So, you go all out only to get back in the game later? Is this just to get some kicks out of it, or is this actually a working strategy?

I am a miner with a little more than 3Ghash/s, and my goal is to sell as high as possible obviously, but I would never sell all of my coins unless Vlad reaches 30%+ of the network rate or something horrible happens. Maybe so, if I needed to break even to pay for my initial investment. But other than that...

Say you buy in again at just below 5, and the price never reaches 5 again, which is unlikely, but as far as I can tell from many forum posts, bitcoin is a very risky thing and far from a safe investment.

That's speculation!
Hold (long) on the way up, sell (short) as close to the top as possible, only to buy back more at a lower price.
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 1001
April 20, 2012, 07:36:11 PM
#16
I think ~$5.50 will be the top for a while, but we'll see.  Still waiting for a re-entry point and still planning on it being below $5.00.

I don't understand what you are doing there exactly. So, you go all out only to get back in the game later? Is this just to get some kicks out of it, or is this actually a working strategy?

I am a miner with a little more than 3Ghash/s, and my goal is to sell as high as possible obviously, but I would never sell all of my coins unless Vlad reaches 30%+ of the network rate or something horrible happens. Maybe so, if I needed to break even to pay for my initial investment. But other than that...

Say you buy in again at just below 5, and the price never reaches 5 again, which is unlikely, but as far as I can tell from many forum posts, bitcoin is a very risky thing and far from a safe investment.
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
April 20, 2012, 07:34:58 PM
#15
I don't know, I'm not very high right now...
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1003
April 20, 2012, 07:34:35 PM
#14
Once all the drug dealers have to sell their money from the SR sale the price will go down. I know most of you think that SR isnt the #1 reason for bitcoins success but after this huge spike for 4/20 I dont know how you can deny it any more.
lol

wouldn't you think they would buy b4 4/20?


Stoners?  nope

I have strong doubts SR had much to do with today's rally since most of people trading there don't use the 100% by the book give us your ID info or we keep your money mtgox.
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
April 20, 2012, 07:27:13 PM
#13
Yep 5.5 is the next resistance, but taking that buying volume into account, I dont think itll last long. Maybe till tomorrow. Re-entry around 5.20-5.30. Next stop 6 USD!
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311
April 20, 2012, 07:17:35 PM
#12
I think ~$5.50 will be the top for a while, but we'll see.  Still waiting for a re-entry point and still planning on it being below $5.00.
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 1001
April 20, 2012, 07:11:35 PM
#11
Once all the drug dealers have to sell their money from the SR sale the price will go down. I know most of you think that SR isnt the #1 reason for bitcoins success but after this huge spike for 4/20 I dont know how you can deny it any more.
lol

wouldn't you think they would buy b4 4/20?


Stoners?  nope

So they must be extremely dumb or extremely bad businessmen. Not even. They must be irrational customers. In any case, this speaks against using SR, not from a moral point of view, but an economic. I wouldn't want to deal with people who are so dumb to deliberately hurt themselves economically.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Shame on everything; regret nothing.
April 20, 2012, 06:01:27 PM
#10
Once all the drug dealers have to sell their money from the SR sale the price will go down. I know most of you think that SR isnt the #1 reason for bitcoins success but after this huge spike for 4/20 I dont know how you can deny it any more.
lol

wouldn't you think they would buy b4 4/20?


Stoners?  nope
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1038
Trusted Bitcoiner
April 20, 2012, 05:50:14 PM
#9
Once all the drug dealers have to sell their money from the SR sale the price will go down. I know most of you think that SR isnt the #1 reason for bitcoins success but after this huge spike for 4/20 I dont know how you can deny it any more.
lol

wouldn't you think they would buy b4 4/20?
sr. member
Activity: 1008
Merit: 250
April 20, 2012, 05:39:48 PM
#8
Once all the drug dealers have to sell their money from the SR sale the price will go down. I know most of you think that SR isnt the #1 reason for bitcoins success but after this huge spike for 4/20 I dont know how you can deny it any more.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
|Argus| Accounting and Auditing on the Blockchain
April 20, 2012, 05:38:30 PM
#7
You both are probably right. It will go up and down a good bit. I just liked the irony of this post being made practically the same minute as when the price went from 5.44 down to like 5.26. It was just to perfect.
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1047
April 20, 2012, 05:35:51 PM
#6
Jinxed!  Tongue
Most surely jinxed. Somebody pumped and dumped it seems. Or something like that.

The "bid-ask spread" volume is low.

Therefore even low volume transactions can triger wild swings in price. This is and will be commonplace untill the ask/bid catch up.
legendary
Activity: 2184
Merit: 1056
Affordable Physical Bitcoins - Denarium.com
April 20, 2012, 05:35:20 PM
#5
That was one of those "just a matter of time" kind of sells. This is far from over I think, there is low depth close to the price. It will fluctuate for a good while yet.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
|Argus| Accounting and Auditing on the Blockchain
April 20, 2012, 05:32:07 PM
#4
Jinxed!  Tongue
Most surely jinxed. Somebody pumped and dumped it seems. Or something like that.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
hero member
Activity: 809
Merit: 501
Always verify deals with me through my public key!
April 20, 2012, 05:30:50 PM
#2
Jinxed!  Tongue
full member
Activity: 203
Merit: 122
Gir: I'm gonna sing the Doom Song now..
April 20, 2012, 05:28:05 PM
#1
6 USD, 7 USD, maybe even 8 USD until it breaks down again?
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