Author

Topic: how overbought is bitcoin? (Read 1664 times)

hero member
Activity: 533
Merit: 500
November 26, 2013, 11:40:39 AM
#11
it seems like some of the people who actually know what they are doing... their consensus is that we are seriously overbought right now and a storm is coming.

 Smiley

It is just wishfull thinking, otherwise you wouldnt know about the storm beffore it actually happened.
full member
Activity: 181
Merit: 100
November 26, 2013, 11:32:57 AM
#10
and only moving on mtgox
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
November 26, 2013, 11:25:53 AM
#9
Because of less data or less figures, its very difficult to say that. Because right now it is only moving on emotions...
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 502
November 26, 2013, 11:20:57 AM
#8
It is not overbought at all

We will look back and it will seem cheap

Due to their very nature, they are always cheap.
hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 500
November 26, 2013, 11:04:58 AM
#7
It is not overbought at all

We will look back and it will seem cheap
full member
Activity: 200
Merit: 100
November 26, 2013, 10:51:46 AM
#6
Forget Bitcoin being overbought, you should check out the crazy cryptocurrency boom. Novacoin, seriously?  Cheesy

My 100 namecoins I bought for 0,4 USD weeks ago is certainly worth a lot more now Smiley
full member
Activity: 280
Merit: 102
November 26, 2013, 06:10:00 AM
#5
Forget Bitcoin being overbought, you should check out the crazy cryptocurrency boom. Novacoin, seriously?  Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 501
in defi we trust
November 26, 2013, 06:07:31 AM
#4
Well , until now bitcoin doesn't give a damn about technical indicators.
So until we really hit mass adoption and price swings based on every damn news stop , indicators will be off most of the times.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
November 26, 2013, 03:53:08 AM
#3
RSI and other oscillators work best when the market cap is stable. since this is entirely not the case, the best estimate would be the RSI data transformed by a factor related to the rate of change of the market cap. this type of indicator, however, needs calibration.

that being said, the raw RSI data is hard to interpret because there has been a massive influx of money going on since we launched from <$20 last year. while capital naturally enters and exits a market with the movement of the price, the exponential gains in the price of bitcoin are due to the fact that the influx is large in proportion to the market cap.

this will invariably cause the RSI to be biased in the direction of the market, hence the "overbought" interpretation. it is difficult to tell how overbought we are exactly, right now.

--arepo
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000
November 26, 2013, 03:38:51 AM
#2
MtGox and btcchina are actually oversold on the 1d chart, and that usually is a signal that a rally is brewing. A storm is coming alright, but not the one you expect. Tongue
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
November 26, 2013, 03:33:34 AM
#1
what exactly is bitcoins rsi?  i have no clue how to calculate it.  it seems like some of the people who actually know what they are doing... their consensus is that we are seriously overbought right now and a storm is coming.
Jump to: