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Topic: How 'Provably Fair' Games Could Conceivably Be Manipulate (Read 147 times)

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Sig/Bounty Campaign Manager 4 hire AskGamblers COO
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I'm pretty sure you meant to write 'provably fair'. Provably and probably have different meanings, and the difference is important here.

Hey thank you for pointing that out!! I really appreciate it. I'll fix and edit. Thanks!
member
Activity: 123
Merit: 49
Sig/Bounty Campaign Manager 4 hire AskGamblers COO
Greetings, Bitcointalk members especially to gamblers!

Let's dive into a topic that might challenge our faith in the integrity of gaming systems: the ways in which a "provably fair" game could potentially be manipulated. While the term "provably fair" is meant to assure transparency and randomness, there are still conceivable scenarios where even these systems might be prone to cheating or rigging.

1. Seed Generation Exploits:
In a "provably fair" system, the game's outcome often hinges on the generation of a random seed. However, if there's a flaw in the seed generation process, malicious actors could exploit it to predict or control outcomes. Any vulnerability in this critical step could open the door to manipulation.

2. Predictable Patterns in Pseudo-Randomness:
Pseudo-randomness, though it appears random, can sometimes exhibit patterns. If a player or attacker is able to discern these patterns, they might anticipate future outcomes and gain an unfair advantage. This situation is particularly risky if the pseudo-random number generator (PRNG) isn't well-designed.

3. Exploiting External Factors:
Sometimes, external factors like network lag, hardware glitches, or server vulnerabilities can inadvertently influence game outcomes. If a player discovers a way to exploit these factors, they could manipulate results to their favor, creating an uneven playing field.

4. Insider Collusion:
The trust placed in "provably fair" games can lead to complacency among players and developers. If someone with access to the game's code or systems colludes with players, they could manipulate outcomes without raising suspicion. Insider collusion, while rare, is a concern.

5. Smart Bots and Automation:
Automated bots that can play the game at superhuman speeds might identify patterns or exploit weaknesses much faster than human players. If these bots are undetectable, they could effectively rig outcomes, especially in games that involve speed and timing.

6. Bias in Game Design:
Even with provably fair algorithms, the game design itself can introduce bias. If certain features or mechanics inadvertently favor a specific outcome, players who understand these biases could exploit them for their gain.

7. Time-Shifted Attack:
In some cases, attackers might not manipulate the game in real-time but could record sequences of outcomes and analyze them offline. This retrospective analysis could help them identify patterns and predict future results.

Conclusion
While "provably fair" systems aim to uphold transparency, the potential for manipulation reminds us that no system is entirely foolproof. Vigilance and continuous improvement in algorithm design, seed generation, and game mechanics are necessary to counteract these threats. As a community of gamers, it's essential that we foster conversations about these vulnerabilities to ensure that our beloved games remain as fair as possible.

What are your thoughts? Do you believe these vulnerabilities could undermine the integrity of "provably fair" games, or are you confident in their resilience? Let's engage in a respectful discussion and share our insights on this complex issue.
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