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Topic: How to Explode the Price of Bitcoin OVERNIGHT! (Read 6575 times)

hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 500
the price of bitcoin is stagnating because all of these IPOs are liquidating people's bitcoins for fiat to begin operations. These are the largest traders right now.
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
^It was doomed from the very beginning, the US dollar has failed (a few times) in the past.

1779, 1862, 1934, 1979(?), 201X(?)


sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
When the dollar collapses, the price of bitcoin will explode overnight Smiley

 Roll Eyes SMH....IF the dollar collapses, we won't have any need for Bitcoin because everyone will be broke.

Secondly, Bitcoins are not "worth" $100.  $30-$50 is still extremely high for something you can't spend.

If? Writing is the wall for the fiat..
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
Making it easier for merchants to integrate Bitcoin into their payment options, such as an automated exchange into USD or fiat currencies using the best current exchange rates at the time of transaction, would really light a fire under the price. It's as simple as that, when you really think about it.

That's a pretty good advertisement for Ripple.   Grin

Would prefer a more KISS approach. Ripple kind of misses the point with its approach. Wink

Either way, making it easier to be used for other forms of online payment in a way that's more akin to Paypal is really what's needed.

I agree it needs to be simpler.  I'd lookout for upcoming gateways to provide these simpler feature sets, more akin to Paypal. 
sr. member
Activity: 388
Merit: 250
Making it easier for merchants to integrate Bitcoin into their payment options, such as an automated exchange into USD or fiat currencies using the best current exchange rates at the time of transaction, would really light a fire under the price. It's as simple as that, when you really think about it.

That's a pretty good advertisement for Ripple.   Grin

Would prefer a more KISS approach. Ripple kind of misses the point with its approach. Wink

Either way, making it easier to be used for other forms of online payment in a way that's more akin to Paypal is really what's needed.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
strawman, i never made the claim that life would go on as normal after a dollar collapse.

It's not a strawman as that's exactly what you insinuated.  The dollar will collapse and Bitcoin will be used as a "proxy for the same value", as if no big deal  Easy as changing underwear.  Notice you ignored the Achilles heel too.  Typical.  Bottomline, I think Bitcoin is awesome but it's not ready to be a world currency.  
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
Making it easier for merchants to integrate Bitcoin into their payment options, such as an automated exchange into USD or fiat currencies using the best current exchange rates at the time of transaction, would really light a fire under the price. It's as simple as that, when you really think about it.

That's a pretty good advertisement for Ripple.   Grin
sr. member
Activity: 388
Merit: 250
Making it easier for merchants to integrate Bitcoin into their payment options, such as an automated exchange into USD or fiat currencies using the best current exchange rates at the time of transaction, would really light a fire under the price. It's as simple as that, when you really think about it.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
Bitcoin is only as good as the fiat it can be converted into.  Remember that.  Wink
Bitcoin is as good as the items it can exchanged for.


Drugs and miners.
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1217
When the dollar collapses, the price of bitcoin will explode overnight Smiley

 Roll Eyes SMH....IF the dollar collapses, we won't have any need for Bitcoin because everyone will be broke.

Secondly, Bitcoins are not "worth" $100.  $30-$50 is still extremely high for something you can't spend.

money isnt value its self, its simply a proxy for value. having money become worthless doesnt make the vegetables in your garden worthless, or the furniture in your house, or your car. those things will still exist and a new medium of exchange will rise to facilitate trade. That medium will act as a proxy for the same value that the dollar used to act as a proxy for.

The thinking that life will go on as normal if the dollar was to collapse, is just silly.

strawman, i never made the claim that life would go on as normal after a dollar collapse.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
When the dollar collapses, the price of bitcoin will explode overnight Smiley

 Roll Eyes SMH....IF the dollar collapses, we won't have any need for Bitcoin because everyone will be broke.

Secondly, Bitcoins are not "worth" $100.  $30-$50 is still extremely high for something you can't spend.

money isnt value its self, its simply a proxy for value. having money become worthless doesnt make the vegetables in your garden worthless, or the furniture in your house, or your car. those things will still exist and a new medium of exchange will rise to facilitate trade. That medium will act as a proxy for the same value that the dollar used to act as a proxy for.

The thinking that life will go on as normal if the dollar was to collapse, is just silly.  Things go bad for the dollar, they go bad for everything else, including Bitcoin.  Even if Bitcoin had the chance to fill a void as big as the dollar would leave, it still couldn't remotely handle the task, given its extremely low transaction/second rate.  Thats the Bitcoin Achilles heel, that everyone pretends doesn't exist. Bitcoin can't even compete with Visa's transaction capabilities.  How do you expect it to replace the dollar?
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1217
When the dollar collapses, the price of bitcoin will explode overnight Smiley

 Roll Eyes SMH....IF the dollar collapses, we won't have any need for Bitcoin because everyone will be broke.

Secondly, Bitcoins are not "worth" $100.  $30-$50 is still extremely high for something you can't spend.

money isnt value its self, its simply a proxy for value. having money become worthless doesnt make the vegetables in your garden worthless, or the furniture in your house, or your car. those things will still exist and a new medium of exchange will rise to facilitate trade. That medium will act as a proxy for the same value that the dollar used to act as a proxy for.
full member
Activity: 201
Merit: 100
Bitcoin is only as good as the fiat it can be converted into.  Remember that.  Wink
Bitcoin is as good as the items it can exchanged for.
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500


I get the idea that regardless if they are sold supply > demand so price should drop...I just don't think those coins are in the "supply" side the way people think they are.


bitcoins are a store of value. Bad times bring money in (look at the run caused by cyprus). But regardless, new money has to come in and is that money that determines the fiat value of a bitcoin.

I agree with you from an economics perspective....I'm just not sure that bitcoin and it's value are correctly following any rational economics principles yet. The price seems to still be determined more by perception/maniulation than the amount of money/value/trade in the system. It is getting better but I'm not convinced that the price correlates to the money flow much.

We have some indicators such as "money flow index" which loosely correlates with price: http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg60ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zi1gMFIzv



legendary
Activity: 4242
Merit: 5039
You're never too old to think young.
my mom is imminently buying a house and I'd rather she didn't, for various reasons.

There's nothing wrong with buying a house, unless it involves a mortgage.
rpg
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500


I get the idea that regardless if they are sold supply > demand so price should drop...I just don't think those coins are in the "supply" side the way people think they are.


bitcoins are a store of value. Bad times bring money in (look at the run caused by cyprus). But regardless, new money has to come in and is that money that determines the fiat value of a bitcoin.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1000
any chance of QE failing soon? my mom is imminently buying a house and I'd rather she didn't, for various reasons.
Tell your mom to only accept fixed interest, that should work. It's normal here in Germany.
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
As long as new people with new money come in we're good

correct, every 10 minutes 25 new bitcoins hit the market. That's the rate of new fiat required to enter the system

I've been thinking about this a bit, doesn't that presuppose that every new bitcoin is sold for profit?
I'm mining and not selling even one of my mined coins, so at least for my little piece of the pie no one has to buy them or even $1 has to go into the bitcoin economy right now to support the production of that coin.

I believe that for some major miners (ASICMiner etc.) there is no way there selling most of the coins they have mined.
I think they have >150k btc on the books they haven't sold.

So, in reality very little money has to flow in each day to support 3600 coins being mined.
I don't think the relationship is exactly proportional.

I get the idea that regardless if they are sold supply > demand so price should drop...I just don't think those coins are in the "supply" side the way people think they are.



hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
....the second he slows QE the house of cards collapses....he has no way out of this.
i wondering for quite some time now, where does the stimulus money go?

"QE Infinity," a plan to purchase $85 billion of fixed-income securities per month, $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities and $45 billion of U.S. Treasuries.

rpg
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
As long as new people with new money come in we're good

correct, every 10 minutes 25 new bitcoins hit the market. That's the rate of new fiat required to enter the system
hero member
Activity: 763
Merit: 500
....the second he slows QE the house of cards collapses....he has no way out of this.
i wondering for quite some time now, where does the stimulus money go?
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
Bernanke alluded to slowing QE this fall but most of us think he is just buying more time....the second he slows QE the house of cards collapses....he has no way out of this. (Unless the economy miraculously takes off...haha.)

I would guess that come September there will be more bad news as to why they can't wind down QE.
(If anything I think they will increase it.)
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
AFAIK all QE money supply goes directly to repurchasing US bonds....which then goes into infrastructure etc. just like regular government spending. (The govt gets to spend it the first time into the economy.)

This is how it is "filtered" in, the US govt doesn't just hand it to banks (other than bailout money which is a small amount of QE).

Basically the fed is purchasing around 90%+ of all US Treasury bonds issued...no one else wants them anymore.



Nope, it's going into mortgage backed securities to prop up the housing market.

any chance of QE failing soon? my mom is imminently buying a house and I'd rather she didn't, for various reasons.
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
"On September 13, 2012, the U.S. Federal Reserve launched its third round of quantitative easing.
In addition, the Fed officially stated – for the first time – that it would keep short-term rates low through 2015.
These moves reflect the Fed's view that the economy still hasn't reached the point of self-sustaining growth (in other words, the ability to keep growing without stimulus).

Accordingly, the Fed has adopted what has been called "QE Infinity," a plan to purchase $85 billion of fixed-income securities per month, $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities and $45 billion of U.S. Treasuries. Unlike QE1 and QE2, the current program has no set end date."


I guess we are both right...thanks for making me go research that more. I thought it was all going to US Treasury bonds.

Cheers!
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
AFAIK all QE money supply goes directly to repurchasing US bonds....which then goes into infrastructure etc. just like regular government spending. (The govt gets to spend it the first time into the economy.)

This is how it is "filtered" in, the US govt doesn't just hand it to banks (other than bailout money which is a small amount of QE).

Basically the fed is purchasing around 90%+ of all US Treasury bonds issued...no one else wants them anymore.



Nope, it's going into mortgage backed securities to prop up the housing market.
member
Activity: 90
Merit: 10

+1

you sir, are one educated person, when I read most of comments in the bitcointalk a question pop-up in my mind "what am I doing here wasting my time reading stupid posts" but you remind me that there is still educated and smart people around here, not only the pump and dump and crying and scaming a-holes...... thank you I enjoyed reading your post.

+1
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1094
Learning the troll avoidance button :)
Wait until someone really puts 200 million in  Wink
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1003
Unlimited Free Crypto
You are not willing to part with your coins that you paid alot for and "worked" so "hard" for. That is good and dandy for you but I want to sell some of the Bitcoins I bought at $2-$5 dollars to enjoy some of the fruits of the investments I made. May I please do that without newb bullish threads from a random Joe Six Coiner about how much Bitcoin should worth?

I personally think $10k USD is undervaluing a Bitcoin. But we live in the real world and the real world disagrees. Aside of few individuals all over history societies proven to be pretty stupid in many many occurrences.

So shill and cheer differently please, noob.

Y so Angry? You must have sold a lot  Undecided

just a couple of hundreds.
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
AFAIK all QE money supply goes directly to repurchasing US bonds....which then goes into infrastructure etc. just like regular government spending. (The govt gets to spend it the first time into the economy.)

This is how it is "filtered" in, the US govt doesn't just hand it to banks (other than bailout money which is a small amount of QE).

Basically the fed is purchasing around 90%+ of all US Treasury bonds issued...no one else wants them anymore.

legendary
Activity: 2062
Merit: 1035
Fill Your Barrel with Bitcoins!
You are not willing to part with your coins that you paid alot for and "worked" so "hard" for. That is good and dandy for you but I want to sell some of the Bitcoins I bought at $2-$5 dollars to enjoy some of the fruits of the investments I made. May I please do that without newb bullish threads from a random Joe Six Coiner about how much Bitcoin should worth?

I personally think $10k USD is undervaluing a Bitcoin. But we live in the real world and the real world disagrees. Aside of few individuals all over history societies proven to be pretty stupid in many many occurrences.

So shill and cheer differently please, noob.

Y so Angry? You must have sold a lot  Undecided
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
things you own end up owning you
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250

      Good point... you may be right about that. I am only skeptical about ripple because it is backed by Google and centralized. That takes away the big advantage of bitcoin of being immune to political manipulation which can lead to war and market inefficiencies. But it is more like hawala which is definitely more efficient than traditional banking institutions. The Catholic church lost its stranglehold on Europe about 500 years ago, yet the Church and the Pope are still around and still wield considerable influence, although nothing on the level of the Feudal era. In the same way I am sure the dollar will still be around in some form for a long time even though it may go the way of Mt. Gox...

And that my friend, is the beauty of choice.  Put all the world currencies, including crypto, into a payment network and let people decide for themselves what they prefer.  Maybe the masses choose USD, maybe they choose BTC or maybe they will forever choose a wide range of currencies.  The key in understanding is, people not only deserve the choice, they demand it.

As for Ripple specifically, keep your reservations and suspicions.  OpenCoin has a lot to prove and a lot of commitments to honor.  But don't neglect increasing your understanding of the technology.  Regardless of whether it is Ripple or some other "brand" that brings this payment network to the masses, this will happen and that's good news for crypto.  No more begging merchants to accept one crypto currency, merchants just need to be plugged into such a network and payments via all currencies can flow freely.  

hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1003
Unlimited Free Crypto
You are not willing to part with your coins that you paid alot for and "worked" so "hard" for. That is good and dandy for you but I want to sell some of the Bitcoins I bought at $2-$5 dollars to enjoy some of the fruits of the investments I made. May I please do that without newb bullish threads from a random Joe Six Coiner about how much Bitcoin should worth?

I personally think $10k USD is undervaluing a Bitcoin. But we live in the real world and the real world disagrees. Aside of few individuals all over history societies proven to be pretty stupid in many many occurrences.

So shill and cheer differently please, noob.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500

This is why I support Ripple and not a single currency.  Ripple will give Bitcoin and any other ecurrency the mass adoption avenues, they simply will never achieve on their own.  Bitcoin is just one of many world currencies. (and I'm being nice calling it a currency) So, the greater benefit to mankind is not the delusional belief that the world will accept one currency, but the freedom to use any currency to actually buy goods and services, regardless what currencies those merchants choose to accept.

You see the future is not in which currency people will choose to use, but rather in the payment network that will make commerce possible for the masses.  If you love Bitcoin, support it, promote it, use it.  But don't be blinded by ideology into thinking that the world will ever accept one currency.  It won't and certainly not Bitcoin with all its limitations.  Truthfully, I'm indifferent to currencies.  I only have favoritism to the USD because I'm American and that's what we use to pay for our daily necessities.  Rent, food, water, electricity, healthcare, taxes, etc.  

But as the future draws near, payment networks, like Ripple, that allow me to pay in ANY currency and you receive that payment in ANY currency, are far more valuable and "world changing" than any single crypto currency.  As we all see now, crypto currencies are a dime a dozen.  Bitcoin just happens to be the most popular brand at the moment.  As with any "brand", that may not be true tomorrow but the payment networks that cater to all currencies, will endure.

      Good point... you may be right about that. I am only skeptical about ripple because it is backed by Google and centralized. That takes away the big advantage of bitcoin of being immune to political manipulation which can lead to war and market inefficiencies. But it is more like hawala which is definitely more efficient than traditional banking institutions. The Catholic church lost its stranglehold on Europe about 500 years ago, yet the Church and the Pope are still around and still wield considerable influence, although nothing on the level of the Feudal era. In the same way I am sure the dollar will still be around in some form for a long time even though it may go the way of Mt. Gox...
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500

   Why do you want money? Presumably to be happy. If you profit from other peoples losses, you are going to make yourself happy from other people's unhappiness. You reap what you sow.

People on this forum want to see countries go bankrupt because they think it will trigger another bubble and you pull this argument....

  The nation state is based on the same principle as speculation and is ultimately inefficient. Wealth would increase and productivity would improve if there were no capital controls and money, labor, goods, and services could move freely from anywhere to anywhere on the planet.

  A concrete example- if the current total incomes of everyone in the world were evenly dispersed it would result in salaries of somewhere in the range of 600 to 800 dollars a month.

   People in the US think "No way! Keep border controls in effect because if the market got to decide the market price of labor here in the US would go down and it would go up in Mexico! More money for us, less money for them!"

   This is typical win-lose reasoning. What people don't understand is that eliminating capital controls and trade barriers increases productivity and efficiency through comparative advantage, so the abolition of the nation-state as an organizing institution would most likely result in an expansion of the global economy more than sufficient to compensate losses due to inter-regional evening in labor and commodity prices.

   So we could actually all end up making more money by having a worldwide free trade agreement that includes protecting the right of people to travel from anywhere to anywhere on the planet and work wherever they want without greasing the palms of bureaucrats.

    National currencies are a big part of nationalism and nationalism is a big part of the us-them mentality that is keeping us from utilizing our resources efficiently to optimize wealth creation. The more countries that go bankrupt, the more it will become clear that this model does not work, and the more people will come to bitcoin, making those of us with bitcoin holdings very rich and making everyone in the world richer as the efficiency gains of bitcoin are allowed to kick in. This has to allow for an adjustment period where people change their consumption habits, and the current crisis management measures are basically trying to postpone these adjustments because of their political consequences. Eventually though, the economy is going to have to go cold turkey and it's going to hurt. It might very well hurt less for bitcoin users.
  
   Like forest fires, they have to happen for the forest to be healthy, but people try to fight them because they don't want to lose their houses, but this just allows time for more dry wood to pile up making the inevitable fire more intense when it finally does come. Bitcoin is digital fire and guess what dollars are? Paper.

    
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250

   And I'm here to point out that you stand to make a lot more money by first understanding the revolutionary potential of bitcoin, and second helping the bitcoin economy to grow by taking the time to support the growth of bitcoin infrastructure by using it, even if it is slightly less convenient than the old way.

   Why do you want money? Presumably to be happy. If you profit from other peoples losses, you are going to make yourself happy from other people's unhappiness. You reap what you sow. We are all connected and if you make the world a worse place, you are going to be less happy in the end. It's a two steps forward three steps back kind of deal.

       The bigger the bitcoin economy gets, the more money you are going to make. The less speculation and the more win-win business transactions there are, the more new money will come into bitcoin, and the more money you will make. So if you want to make money make the world a better place. With bitcoin adoption international trade barriers will decrease and there will be more wealth in general because unharnessed productivity of workers will be tapped into.

    Dude, are you going to make more money cutting down an apple orchard and selling the wood, or harvesting apples every year and selling them?

This is why I support Ripple and not a single currency.  Ripple will give Bitcoin and any other ecurrency the mass adoption avenues, they simply will never achieve on their own.  Bitcoin is just one of many world currencies. (and I'm being nice calling it a currency) So, the greater benefit to mankind is not the delusional belief that the world will accept one currency, but the freedom to use any currency to actually buy goods and services, regardless what currencies those merchants choose to accept.

You see the future is not in which currency people will choose to use, but rather in the payment network that will make commerce possible for the masses.  If you love Bitcoin, support it, promote it, use it.  But don't be blinded by ideology into thinking that the world will ever accept one currency.  It won't and certainly not Bitcoin with all its limitations.  Truthfully, I'm indifferent to currencies.  I only have favoritism to the USD because I'm American and that's what we use to pay for our daily necessities.  Rent, food, water, electricity, healthcare, taxes, etc.  

But as the future draws near, payment networks, like Ripple, that allow me to pay in ANY currency and you receive that payment in ANY currency, are far more valuable and "world changing" than any single crypto currency.  As we all see now, crypto currencies are a dime a dozen.  Bitcoin just happens to be the most popular brand at the moment.  As with any "brand", that may not be true tomorrow but the payment networks that cater to all currencies, will endure.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250

   Why do you want money? Presumably to be happy. If you profit from other peoples losses, you are going to make yourself happy from other people's unhappiness. You reap what you sow.

People on this forum want to see countries go bankrupt because they think it will trigger another bubble and you pull this argument....
legendary
Activity: 3066
Merit: 1147
The revolution will be monetized!
The price of a bitcoin is always correct, no matter what you or I would like it to be. That is how markets work.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500

   ...snip...
    

TL;DR

I'm here to make money, not change the world. Wink


   And I'm here to point out that you stand to make a lot more money by first understanding the revolutionary potential of bitcoin, and second helping the bitcoin economy to grow by taking the time to support the growth of bitcoin infrastructure by using it, even if it is slightly less convenient than the old way.

   Why do you want money? Presumably to be happy. If you profit from other peoples losses, you are going to make yourself happy from other people's unhappiness. You reap what you sow. We are all connected and if you make the world a worse place, you are going to be less happy in the end. It's a two steps forward three steps back kind of deal.

       The bigger the bitcoin economy gets, the more money you are going to make. The less speculation and the more win-win business transactions there are, the more new money will come into bitcoin, and the more money you will make. So if you want to make money make the world a better place. With bitcoin adoption international trade barriers will decrease and there will be more wealth in general because unharnessed productivity of workers will be tapped into.

    Dude, are you going to make more money cutting down an apple orchard and selling the wood, or harvesting apples every year and selling them?



   
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
As long as new people with new money come in we're good
sr. member
Activity: 448
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Changing avatars is currently not possible.
Think some people with a lot of BTC sell regularly for a little bit of spending money, same thing with those earning in BTC.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250

   ...snip...
    

TL;DR

I'm here to make money, not change the world. Wink
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
I think I'll stick with Ripple as far as a payment network goes.  As for my go to currency, I'll stick with USD.  Accepted everywhere...no questions asked.   That said, as long as I can make USD, buying and selling BTC, I'm cool with it.  Wink

     If the total value of the United States as a country with all the social and cultural capital and assets is X, then the value of the dollar is a representation of this, or X=Y. If X is changing at a rate of A, then the money supply can increase or decrease at a rate of A too and the value of the dollar will stay steady. If the X is changing at a rate of A and Y is changing a rate of B, then, if A>B the purchasing power of the dollar will go up. If A
       Right now, Y is increasing at an absolutely unprecedented rate and this is diluting the value of the dollar in favor of the recipients of the newly issued dollars. In this case, those recipients are banks, particularly those holding mortgages.

http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2013/06/81-5-of-money-created-through-quantitative-easing-is-sitting-there-gathering-dust-instead-of-helping-the-economy.html  (EDIT: wow, vokain posted a link to the same article while I was writing this)

    This makes the balance sheets of banks look a lot better and allows them to continue lending (at a profit, with interest) which spurs growth in construction, small businesses, consumer goods purchases (credit cards). A lot of people, myself included, have wondered how the fed can create so much new money without inflation skyrocketing- and the answer is that most of the money is being hoarded. The Chinese have about 3 trillion dollars in dollar denominated bonds and foreign currency reserves, and US banks have about 1.8 trillion sitting around. If either start to dump their dollars, the market will follow suit and the dollar will crash.

    This is basically a financial cold war- if the Chinese start to dump dollars US banks can immediately respond by unleashing a huge pile of dollars too, devaluing the dollar so China gets stuck with a big pile of paper. Notice that the US banks reserves are less than China's- that means that if China tries to dump that the US stands to lose much less- not to mention that in the case of hyperinflation the 17 trillion in US debt will suddenly become much less valuable in real terms, although since hyperinflation will hit the poor hard it would require martial law and a rationing system to allocate basic consumer goods.  

     The piles of dollars sitting around are basically potential inflation that has not been unleashed. Check it out- if US banks have 10% of the dollars in the world, and the fed increases the money supply by 20% and gives all of the dollars to the banks, the banks went from having 10% of all the dollars to having 25% of all dollars. Or concretely- if there are 100 trillion dollars on paper worldwide, and banks have 10 trillion of them, and then the fed prints 20 trillion new dollars and gives them all to the banks, the banks now have 30 trillion dollars of a total of 120 trillion dollars "existing." 30 is 25% of 120. If 100 trillion dollars are worth 1 trillion bushels of soya(or insert non-fiat commodity here), or the combined buying power of all dollars in existence is 1 trillion bushels of soya, assume that the number 20 in this example represents the amount by which the growth in the money supply EXCEEDS the growth in underlying value.
     Banks in the US just went from having the power to buy 100 billion bushels of soya to having the power to buy 250 billion bushels of soya- and all they did was make a ton of non-performing loans!

       These numbers are just meant to simplify what I'm trying to say, which is that China has a huge pile of dollars they have made exporting to the US, and the US is using inflation and the threat of inflation to steal that money back. How long do you think China is going to put up with this? They can't do much about it, but they have officially sanctioned bitcoin use in China- and it's crazy that they would promote such an unregulated technology when they are known for being the arch-financial regulators- they are doing so because they know that the more bitcoin is used the more it will erode the dollar. They are also deregulating the yuan so that yuan will start to migrate overseas and they can sell exports directly for yuan rather than having to continue to accept dollars that are having their value quietly robbed by US private banks. They are also buying Iranian crude oil and paying with subway cars since sanctions hinder dollar denominated transactions.

      If China gets too uppity, the US has been eyeballing Iran for a while, and Syrian escalation with Iran providing supplies to the side that the US is increasing pressure against means possible pretext for involvement. For example, if the US instates a no-fly zone in Syria a la Libya, Iranian anti-aircraft weapons in the hands of Syrian forces could end up hitting US fighters. This would necessitate bombing supply convoys coming from Iran towards Syria, and eventually provide an excuse for the US to finally try to take over Iran or send piles of those freshly minted dollars to factions inside Iran that will do what the CIA tells them too as long as dollars keep flowing, and force China to keep paying for the oil they need to keep their economy running in dollars, thereby maintaining demand for the dollar and allowing the US to continue robbing the value of China's hard earned piles of dollars.

      So really holding dollars is basically akin to hot potato or musical chairs, except that there's a war when the music stops. If you are speculating by buying high and selling low, you are basically trying to beat the market which means take the money from less adept traders. This is not a win-win. There are plenty of ways to make money in win-win circumstances. You are feeding off of other people's losses, and guess what? What goes around comes around. Quantitative easing is basically the biggest rip off the world has ever seen, and everyone holding dollars stands to lose from it- except the people receiving the newly minted dollars.

        That happens to include me, since I am a home owner in the US and QE is what enables banks to renegotiate loans without collapsing. That means the possibility to renegotiate mortgage payments to lower rent and increase profits of property owners, which translates to more cash in circulation and increased consumer spending, which leads (partly) to the gains we are seeing in Wall Street right now. (EDIT: Oh yeah, and I think it also has something to do with the good employment numbers in the US, whereas ECB QE is dwarfed by US QE and the Eurozone has major unemployment problems) Money represents work, and the US is getting more money without really doing any more work- and who is paying for this increased value? Where do people work 16 hours a day, 6 days a week? I smell a slave rebellion in the works.

          Basically a total overhaul of society is necessary and it means absolute political death for whoever is in power when it happens. This will mean that !surprise! Western liberal democracy will meet the same fate that every democracy in history has met- a slide to totalitarianism. So yeah... if you want to support this scenario, go ahead and keep using dollars. You know that scene in Braveheart where William Wallace is giving the speech the Scottish army- well you could substitute the words "lives" for dollars and "freedom" for bitcoin.

   "They can take our dollars, but they cannot take our BITCOOOIIINNNN!!!"
    
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
"Officer, it's just gold gilded, i promise"
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
Those bitcoins are going to be worth so much when the power goes out  Cheesy

Ill never understand why people think a dollar collapse -> bitcoins more valuable.

Good luck withdrawing your dollars from the ATM with no power Tongue

And good luck getting gold across the border once capital controls are imposed.

I'll just sail my boat which happens to be made of solid gold over to the Bahamas. Probably give it a lick of paint first.
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1024
Those bitcoins are going to be worth so much when the power goes out  Cheesy

Ill never understand why people think a dollar collapse -> bitcoins more valuable.

Worldwide power outage = problem for worldwide economy.
Bitcoin transactions can continue after power is back on. Existing coins are safe.

Dollar collapse -> capital fleeing into non-governmental assets -> Bitcoin.


ya.ya.yo!
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
When the dollar collapses, the price of bitcoin will explode overnight Smiley

What if I told you: All banks are printing money (= QE) so bitcoin will go up but all the other currencies will do so?

When the dollar collapses, the price of bitcoin will explode overnight Smiley

What if I told you: All banks are printing money (= QE) so bitcoin will go up but all the other currencies will do so?

wait so what does QE do, inject money into banks? Does it have to be paid back? I was under the impression that banks refused to lend out their QE money because of the lack of credit-worthy debtors. Apparently the problem has been a ton of deflation of bad debt, ie why PMs like gold and silver have gone down as assets get eaten up by the debt blackhole. So have we been trying to counter that with money supply inflation?

http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2013/06/81-5-of-money-created-through-quantitative-easing-is-sitting-there-gathering-dust-instead-of-helping-the-economy.html
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
Those bitcoins are going to be worth so much when the power goes out  Cheesy

Ill never understand why people think a dollar collapse -> bitcoins more valuable.

Good luck withdrawing your dollars from the ATM with no power Tongue
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
Those bitcoins are going to be worth so much when the power goes out  Cheesy

Ill never understand why people think a dollar collapse -> bitcoins more valuable.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
I think I'll stick with Ripple as far as a payment network goes.  As for my go to currency, I'll stick with USD.  Accepted everywhere...no questions asked.   That said, as long as I can make USD, buying and selling BTC, I'm cool with it.  Wink
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
   I paid for web design services from very well qualified web designers in Pakistan, and it was the easiest international payment I have ever made and took 20 minutes rather than 3 days, and I didn't have to go to a bank, present gov. ID, and sign a bunch of papers.
    I bought clothes online with bitcoin. I bought homebaked bread in my city that was of quality absolutely unavailable in any bakery. I have considered buying real estate in Spain with bitcoin, but I didn't have enough coin at the time or time to go to Spain, so somebody else snapped it up before me.
 
    I have several solicitations from graphic designers offering to work on a project for me for bitcoin. I have bought tools with bitcoin. I have bought medicine with bitcoin. I have used bitcoin to transfer large quantities of money internationally and thereby avoided wire transfer fees. I have made people happy by gifting bitcoin. I have bought fine Argan oil, a delicious superfood that comes from a tree endemic to Morocco. Great with bread or in salad dressings, absolute one of a kind flavor and packed with omega fatty acids. I am looking into buying high quality tea from China and high quality Saffron from Iran with bitcoin- both very healthful products.

   If you can't figure out how to spend bitcoin, I would be happy to help show you how, just PM me. Bitcoin not only offers major breakthroughs as a payment system in terms of increased security, eliminating need for centralized institutions, it offers major political and economic gains by hybridizing the liquidity of fiat with the limited supply and safety from political tampering of gold. And it is backed by a community of brilliant and dedicated people who can defy all market dynamics because of their belief in the possibility of bitcoin to make the world a better place. Bitcoin is quite simply undervalued- there are hundreds of thousands of entrepreneurs out there who could realize efficiency gains of over 1% by using bitcoin. That is a value in the hundreds of millions if not billions of dollars. The only thing hindering that is knowledge- most people are not technically informed enough to learn about bitcoin, and the infrastructure is still catching up to make it accessible to them.

        OP is right- it makes much more sense in the long run to hold and support bitcoin as a movement. I would welcome capitulation too, but I think we have too many strong hands in the market now. Increased SR volume, Argentina, and China- a market like this has never existed before, so none of the standard TA will work here.
full member
Activity: 159
Merit: 100
When the dollar collapses, the price of bitcoin will explode overnight Smiley

What if I told you: All banks are printing money (= QE) so bitcoin will go up but all the other currencies will do so?
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
Made 10% on a day!! 100% soon Cheesy
sr. member
Activity: 446
Merit: 250
It is like the old saying goes "Money is worthless if you are not spending it"

Good thing Bitcoin is more than just money.

Bitcoin is only as good as the fiat it can be converted into.  Remember that.  Wink

I must have imagined all those other things I have had sent to my house in exchange for my btc.

Exactly.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
It is like the old saying goes "Money is worthless if you are not spending it"

Good thing Bitcoin is more than just money.

Bitcoin is only as good as the fiat it can be converted into.  Remember that.  Wink

I must have imagined all those other things I have had sent to my house in exchange for my btc.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
It is like the old saying goes "Money is worthless if you are not spending it"

Good thing Bitcoin is more than just money.

Bitcoin is only as good as the fiat it can be converted into.  Remember that.  Wink
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1024
Seems like the explosion has started already... Wink


ya.ya.yo!
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
a wolf in sheeps clothing. suckerfish
When the dollar collapses, the price of bitcoin will explode overnight Smiley

 Roll Eyes SMH....IF the dollar collapses, we won't have any need for Bitcoin because everyone will be broke.

Secondly, Bitcoins are not "worth" $100.  $30-$50 is still extremely high for something you can't spend.
haha your doing it wrong then if you cant spend them.

cant "spend" apple stock, cant spend stocks in general and there are thousands that are worth more than 100. also thats weird you cant spend btc cuz i keep buying shit with them, so huh...... go figure that one out. infact i keep buying things that are worth hundreds of dollars. maybe your doing it wrong bud

YOU ARE DOING IT WRONG. If you go back to the newby section there are tutorials on bitcoins and how they work and how to buy and spend them. I really feel like you would benefit from them. oh gotta go bitcoin just made me a bunch  of money  Grin Grin Grin Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cool Cool Cool Cool


sr. member
Activity: 278
Merit: 251
It is like the old saying goes "Money is worthless if you are not spending it"

Good thing Bitcoin is more than just money.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
It's all fun and games until somebody loses an eye
I would hold my bitcoins (I do hold onto most of them), but I have to pay for things with USD, so for them to be useful I have to sell some of them. I could buy stuff with them, but even then the person selling the stuff prices it based on the current exchange rate, so it works out to be the same to me if I buy stuff or buy dollars and then use that to buy stuff.

It is like the old saying goes "Money is worthless if you are not spending it"
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 508
I've said the same thing on here weeks ago selling below $100 is bad for adoption its already difficult convincing the average person to invest in BTC then you have a forum full of bearish A-hole cheering for $30-50 coins. This market is already PATHETIC at a measly 1 billion we desperately need healthy growth.
Who's to say that "healthy growth" starts here, or at 65? How healthy is growth built almost solely on wild speculation?
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
What we need is healthy capitulation.   Grin
newbie
Activity: 53
Merit: 0
I've said the same thing on here weeks ago selling below $100 is bad for adoption its already difficult convincing the average person to invest in BTC then you have a forum full of bearish A-hole cheering for $30-50 coins. This market is already PATHETIC at a measly 1 billion we desperately need healthy growth.
hero member
Activity: 1302
Merit: 502
When the dollar collapses, the price of bitcoin will explode overnight Smiley

 Roll Eyes SMH....IF the dollar collapses, we won't have any need for Bitcoin because everyone will be broke.

Secondly, Bitcoins are not "worth" $100.  $30-$50 is still extremely high for something you can't spend.

Listen kids, don't be like this guy. Be like me, the guy surfing on his $1000+ computer he bought with Bitcoin.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
When the dollar collapses, the price of bitcoin will explode overnight Smiley

 Roll Eyes SMH....IF the dollar collapses, we won't have any need for Bitcoin because everyone will be broke.

Secondly, Bitcoins are not "worth" $100.  $30-$50 is still extremely high for something you can't spend.
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
I was holding my shit from going to the toilet, but still nobody would pay me 10k$ for it. But I didn't hold it just overnight. I am holding it right now from April  Shocked. I feel realy sick.
Words often quoted by mules.
hero member
Activity: 509
Merit: 500
Can't upload avatar
I was holding my shit from going to the toilet, but still nobody would pay me 10k$ for it. But I didn't hold it just overnight. I am holding it right now from April  Shocked. I feel realy sick.
full member
Activity: 166
Merit: 100
When the dollar collapses, the price of bitcoin will explode overnight Smiley
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
Trading is actually very low. Most people are holding their bitcoins for much higher prices. Some miners must sell bitcoins to pay for their expenses, but it is less than 1% of the total actually setting the price on a very small market.
legendary
Activity: 2062
Merit: 1035
Fill Your Barrel with Bitcoins!
STOP SELLING YOUR COINS FOR A MEASLY $100.

Seriously, think about all the work that you put into getting your Bitcoins and you turn around and sell them for $90, $70 or even $60! Are you insane?!

The only reason the Price of Bitcoin is hovering around $100 is because so many people are willing to give them up. If you want the price to rise then do the smart thing and be patient. Every time you trade BTC for fiat you put another nail in the coffin by setting the value.

Bitcoin is worth more than $100 so treat it like it. BTC
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