I slipped up by not riding the recent rise in Bitcoin. I deposited £100 in coinbase, but I misread the dip, and missed the buying chance. I really wanted the discussions to see if I could avoid making mistakes like that.
I don't think you missed already. BTC is still 4300, which is a 75% fall from the previous ATH.
You will never hit the bottom, forget it. The only way to hit it is if you buy all the way down. Alternatively, the only way to hit the top is to sell on the way up. Personally, even if I hit close to the bottom, I will think "I didn't buy enough. Why did I bought only 100?"
IMO and according to my experience in investing, if you are too worried about the buying price, you will never buy it. Ofc you shouldn't buy any asset in ATH, but that's clearly not the situation now.
There are really nice discussion about trading methods in Wall Observer thread. Like this one by JayJuanGee
What do you do?
Are you going to sell now at 8.000?
Did you bought at 5800 ?
I thought that most peeps here understand my methodology.
In brief, largely I am an incrementalist. I buy on the way down, and I also dollar cost average buy, and I sell a small amount of the way up. I sell between about 1% and 1.5% of my bitcoin stash for every 10% that the BTC price goes up, and I use a decent amount of the sales proceeds to buy back, in the event that the BTC price goes down.
I have been engaged in such incrementalism for almost 3 years. In other words, before October 2015, I was largely accumulating and dollar cost average buying... I also was establishing my initial BTC stake in 2014, and in a kind of maintenance during 2015, so if I ever sold any BTC for any reason, I would replace such BTC (and a bit more) quite quickly thereafter.
Currently, largely, I do not really change my practice by BIG price moves or make any BIG moves of my own.. so I am constantly selling on the way up and constantly buying as the price goes... I do tend to play around with the increments and the amounts based on how the BTC price is moving, but the amount that I authorize to buy or to sell is based on ongoing similar percentages that I authorize for myself and only tweak in small ways. Regarding the actual price points of $8,000 and $5,800, yes I was buying all the way down. Actually, I sold all the way up to $19666 and then I bought all the way back down and was largely prepared to keep buying , even if BTC prices were to go below $1k (which surely seems unlikely, currently). Largely also I had been selling all the way up through the $6000s until reaching our $8000 of today.. so if the price goes above $8k I will continue to sell, and if the price goes below $7700 or something like that I will resume buying..
This idea is inspired in
Rpietila's SSS thread. I really liked it, however I will begin doing that when we reach at least 10k (don't want to sell before).