If we enter a bear market how long it will last?

k@suy

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Quote from: Wind_FURY on April 19, 2021, 05:55:22 AM

Probably yes, and that might not change for the next bull-bear cycles. Did Satoshi invent the most predictable asset? Haha.

BUT, there’s a small probabilty that the current bull market cycle might be longer simply because money supply is up, and velocity of money is down because the economy is partially closed because of the pandemic. The world might experience high inflation when the economy opens again.

Sounds like a history repeat itself but I do have same opinion and insights if ever the market bull run will going to be over and welcoming bear market trend then it would supposedly last again for three years like what wayback 2017the last bull run end of cryptocurrency occur. It is sad but it is also the reality that we can't tell and predict when this bull run over going to happen, but we do dreaming that the bull run may not be over hoping just a small price correction.

TastyChillySauce00

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Some said it's gonna be around 3 years long following the past usual cycle of bitcoin but to be honest I don't believe this time around bearish (if any) gonna be that long simply because hedge funds and institutional investors in general that aren't planning to sell their bitcoin anytime soon.
But honestly I'd expect the price of bitcoin to be well above $20K (2017's ATH) if bearish market happen so not really a big deal to me and I could just wait it out for another 3 years until bullrun is coming.

Jaycee99

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Another best option is gaining knowledge and more about bitcoin or cryptocurrency. It also a good thing you ask here so you're at a good start entering now is a good option and waiting for four or five years to get a big and good income return

Also, Another warning from another. In bitcoin, there is a risk like in stocks or getting into a small business everything is uncertain an addition we or you must always take it lightly when you lose a bit profit trust the process. Also, patience is important when holding a bitcoin or altcoin.

Also if you have money which is extra in your life savings I would also like to suggest while investing maybe you should try bitcoin mining you will take a good income return from mining as others have said that entering now and holding until 3 to 5 years later.

Sithara007

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Quote from: UserU on April 20, 2021, 12:00:32 AM

If 2018 - 2020 was a bear moment, a few months is nothing.

Now would be a good time to enter the alt market since their potential gains are much better.a

If you have the ability to hold on for 3 to 5 years, then you don't need to worry much about the time to invest. You can go ahead with your investment plans right now. There may be major corrections in the next one or two years, but given the exceptional growth in acceptability and user base, I am sure that by 2025 or 2026, Bitcoin will be challenging gold in terms of market cap (right now the gold market cap is 11 times that of BTC).

crwth

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You can speculate all you want, but it's still better to be prepared for what will happen. What we all know is the history of what the price movement is and not the actual forecast. We will never know and cannot predict what can happen in the market. All of the institutional investors that are already there will most likely continue their investments with BTC. When the price is dipping, they can buy more and more. Following the significant movements of companies involved, the small businesses would follow.

It's still best to be firm in what you think will happen and blame yourself for following it accordingly. I think it can be the same as before like you mentioned. It's too early to tell too.

UserU

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If 2018 - 2020 was a bear moment, a few months is nothing.

Now would be a good time to enter the alt market since their potential gains are much better.a

Henrobakkara

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Quote from: cheezcarls on April 19, 2021, 06:16:54 AM

There are no guarantees on how long the bear market will last. Not even 3 or 5 years are considered to be accurate timespan on the duration of the bear market. As of now, we only experience quick or slight corrections before we could experience another bull run. As of this time, I certainly believe the market is now in favor of the bulls because of the continuous adoption of major companies, institutions, etc.

Right. I too believe that this season might be a lot more different than the previous just because of the nature of Investors that have come into Bitcoin Investment and talking about how long the Bear market could last if we decided to witness it soon, that will be left to time and lets see what this with all the new type of investors brought to the Bitcoin or crypto market Unlike previous seasons where the bear market would normally last for 3-4 years.

DapanasFruit

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Nobody can really be sure when is the start of the bear market and how long will it last if ever there can be soon. Now, there can be some tidbits of information from the past bear season, but we know that BTC has the habit of destroying its own historical precedents. People who are afraid of the bear must liquidate their digital assets as soon as possible but this is not a financial advice because even the best man in making predictions can also be wrong many times over. Always trust your guts and if ever your guts can be wrong then you are paying a tuition fee for your education.

Wind_FURY

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Quote from: hector3115 on April 19, 2021, 09:15:11 AM

The bears are already close. I don’t think more than 1-2 months.

That’s probably the sentiment of many people in Bitcoin because of the new, shiny FUD. I can’t believe it worked. But if a big crash truly came, and sellers take the price to under $50,000, it will just be another golden opportunity to buy. Big Dips are for buying.

sapnu

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The occurence of a bear market cannot be certainly determined because there are a lot of things happening each time that may prolong or may end the current phenomenon. As of now, the market is not yet fully on a bull run, there are still a lot of changes and different movement of price in the market but we can pertain already that most of the cryptocurrencies are somehow doing good. We might witness plenty of corrections at the moment specially in bitcoin since it keeps on getting a new all time high every time and we should take that opportunity to assess the price movement of different coins to make a strategy that will help us on obtaining a lot from such.

hector3115

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The bears are already close. I don’t think more than 1-2 months.

Viscore

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Bear market? When?
Maybe I missed something or it is a different market that I look a few hours ago because what I saw is not bearish that OP had mentioned. Because if we look into the market status by now, we are still in the bullish market. Kinda be different when talking about the bear season and I literally understand that all crypto prices went down which is far different from what I saw now.

Well, I think we are just so excited. But don't worry, it will surely arrive soon, just be patient.

bryant.coleman

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It will be a bit premature to talk about the bear market when we are in the middle of the bull rally. If nothing untoward happens, then we will be easily reaching the 6-figure mark before the end of this year. A correction may or may not happen at this point. But even if there is a correction, I don't think that it will last for 2-3 years, like the case we had in 2014 and 2018. I am saying this, because the circumstances have changed. Short-term investors mostly made their exit during the previous two phases of corrections. Those who remain are mostly medium-term and long-term investors, as well as the institutional investors.

XZERO1

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No one know when bear market will come or more importantly how long will it last for, it's not like market following some kind of a fixed rule so that traders can take note of and maybe start buying as the bear market expires.

But the thing you can do is to buy when it's cheap enough in your opinion and of course not go all in at once in one price and learn to ladder buys so that it went down more you'd get a better average entry price while increasing your position size, that being said if you're waiting for $3k to happen for Bitcoin again in the next bear market you're probably wasting your time as I believe the Bitcoin bottom price changed to way higher prices and I think $10k is the new $3k.

isaac_clarke22

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Can't based on the patterns that the market did before as future speculation. It is not always 100% guarantee to happen again.
There could cycle or something, but still it depends on like what really happens right now.

cheezcarls

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There are no guarantees on how long the bear market will last. Not even 3 or 5 years are considered to be accurate timespan on the duration of the bear market. As of now, we only experience quick or slight corrections before we could experience another bull run. As of this time, I certainly believe the market is now in favor of the bulls because of the continuous adoption of major companies, institutions, etc.

Wind_FURY

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Quote from: Trixoempire on April 18, 2021, 10:53:15 PM

If bull un will be over in the next months. We'll be enter a bear market with x10 decrease alts price and like x5 decrease in btc.

Is it will last 3 years again till 2024?

Probably yes, and that might not change for the next bull-bear cycles. Did Satoshi invent the most predictable asset? Haha.

BUT, there’s a small probabilty that the current bull market cycle might be longer simply because money supply is up, and velocity of money is down because the economy is partially closed because of the pandemic. The world might experience high inflation when the economy opens again.

elda34b

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Quote from: serjent05 on April 19, 2021, 05:33:41 AM

the altcoin market will be booming by then for about a year before the whole crypto market transition to bearish that will probably last for 2-3 years.

The last cycle told us that alts will follow BTC very closely, so I don't think alt season will last that long. Probably just two or three months when BTC is in its last run, and after that we'll enter a three year or so bear market. That's the best time to accumulate, but retail will probably get rekt a lot, much more than last time.

OP, I think you have to experience it yourself before you can ride the next wave without worries.

serjent05

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Quote from: masphie on April 18, 2021, 11:27:38 PM

if the 4 year cycle really happens, it will be like this again in 2025. But, is it possible that you are investing in the long term and won't see the price before 2025?

But the thing is the 4 year cycle is yet to be concluded so, if the 4 cycle is really true then we don't have to worry about the market being bearish right now. It will at least take another 6 months before the bear market for BTC to kick in, and while the BTC market is shifting from Bullish to bearish, the altcoin market will be booming by then for about a year before the whole crypto market transition to bearish that will probably last for 2-3 years. But then, no one ever know what will happen tomorrow so the best thing is to closely observe the market and its signs and changes.

iTradeChips

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Well, we have all benefited during the bull market. If you are a seasoned Bitcoin investor, you know that this is not over in Bitcoin as we are only but starting. Based on experience the last bear season lasted from 2018 to 2020 so that is two years. And if I were you, you need to have another source of income while waiting for another good run in a few years. Unless you are a day trader, then there is really nothing you can do once the bear market starts.

royalfestus

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Halving is pivotal to the period of bear of market, now the hash rate had steadily increase to previous cycle and some seem to analyze a loss in6-8 weeks from previous cycle. I still expect 2-3 year bear market but the depth of dump for some coin might not be as dip as some new coins, base on institutional investment, fundamentals and coin scarcity.

Haunebu

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You clearly are a newbie in the crypto world since your query is silly in so many ways. It's difficult to predict the value of any cryptocurrency at any particular moment primarily due to the extreme volatility associated with this market.

This is the reason why your question is silly op. Anyone who says otherwise are simply fooling themselves. No one can accurately tell you how long the bear market will last.

This is why you should only invest what you are willing to lose.

mbe48

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I think your statement is unpredictable. Why? Because basically there is no set price, but the price fluctuates according to supply and demand. Increased demand makes prices soar. However, if the price is low it is because one of them is the seller panic

boyptc

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No one can say accurately how long a bear market will last and how long this bull run will last too.

Quit the idea of determining when because no one can tell you when and how long to be exact it will happen. If we can know it when it'll happen, we'll be safe from the bear market to be taking our profits during the bull run and use the bear market for buying.

bitterguy28

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Quote from: Trixoempire on April 18, 2021, 10:53:15 PM

If bull un will be over in the next months. We'll be enter a bear market with x10 decrease alts price and like x5 decrease in btc.

Is it will last 3 years again till 2024?

Where did you get that idea? and what would change if does?

3 years from the last Halving right? like what happens in the previous years, But can't you find this year is really different from the past?

Look how strong the market is , though there are some dumping happenings yet recovering easily and faster.

So we may not have that 3 years period of Bad market but instead some ups and downs soon that tolerable for traders.

Kittygalore

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Honestly, we don't really know when will we stay in a bear run but we know that it will be a Golden opportunity for the people who wants to buy bitcoin at lower prices, and if it goes on longer then you can accumulate more bitcoin to get big profit when the prices pump up again.

acener

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Quote from: Trixoempire on April 18, 2021, 10:53:15 PM

If bull un will be over in the next months. We'll be enter a bear market with x10 decrease alts price and like x5 decrease in btc.

Is it will last 3 years again till 2024?

It is hard to tell how long a bullish or bearish market would last just like how low or high the price could go.
We could only predict it but it is uncertain and we all could do it base on our experience and the charts.
So most of the answer that would be given to this kind of questions would only be answered by our own predictions.

TheUltraElite

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So anyway, I applied as a merit source :)

Quote from: Trixoempire on April 18, 2021, 10:53:15 PM

If bull un will be over in the next months. We'll be enter a bear market with x10 decrease alts price and like x5 decrease in btc.
Is it will last 3 years again till 2024?

No figure can be opined without prior research and since this has been an All time high at 64k USD, it is even tougher to predict.

A bear market, I was predicting to happen once the institutional money bubble broke but that did not happen. Like yesterday price was back to 52k USD and today price is at 54k USD. We currently are seeing a oscillation between the 50-60k USD levels but dropping below this can happen if the selling pressure is high enough.

Since the rise in bitcoin was abrupt when going to 30k to 50k, I did assume it would drop back without supporting levels in the 40k range, but this did not happen.

Currently we can only say that price below 50k will drop the price even lower but otherwise it is still bullish. The mainstream market has taken an interest in crypto more than even before, so support will be there.

Poker Player

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I think we have reason to believe that this time it may be different. The Bitcoin price does not follow a deterministic pattern. The fact that institutions are buying makes us think that this time it may be different, with a less pronounced bear market that lasts less time.

slaman29

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10x decrease? 3x? You mean reduce to 10% or 33%? This is crypto, that is highly and most likely possible. Especially for altcoins, you can even go to reductions of less than 5% which is what happened to ETH:)

I hope it won't last as long this time, if it comes. People are saying bear cycle may not even come anymore just a very long bull. It's hard for anyone to predict though:)

mk4

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If we're going to take a look at history, then yes, probably 3 years. But then again — Past performance is no guarantee of future results. At some point in the future (could be this year or it could be 10 years from now), the trend to some extent should break.

Ludmilla_rose1995

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Quote from: masphie on April 18, 2021, 11:27:38 PM

if the 4 year cycle really happens, it will be like this again in 2025. But, is it possible that you are investing in the long term and won't see the price before 2025?

Yes, maybe we will wait for the next 4 years until the market is bullish again. However, it looks like the bearish have yet to come to attack the market. When viewed from the history of the bitcoin market (2013-2017) the peak of the bullish is the end of the year. So we still have a chance in a few months to pile up bitcoins.

pooya87

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Highly unlikely because if we enter the bear market now that means the 12 year old ~4-year cycle is finally broken and consequently the bear market is also going to be different meaning it can only last a couple of months and the size of it is also going to be very small.
It wouldn't change anything about altcoins though, as they are still on the same dumping path as they were 5 years ago.

TangentC

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Quote from: Trixoempire on April 18, 2021, 10:53:15 PM

If bull un will be over in the next months. We'll be enter a bear market with x10 decrease alts price and like x5 decrease in btc.

Is it will last 3 years again till 2024?

3 to 5 years on average.
But their are no guarantees.

masphie

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if the 4 year cycle really happens, it will be like this again in 2025. But, is it possible that you are investing in the long term and won't see the price before 2025?

electronicash

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probably until the next halving. you'd be lucky to have sold earlier before the bear starts because 2024 is far away and if you don't have a job to sustain, the crisis will hit you hard. 2017 was hard for those who bought near the ATH, I'm sure they have sold in panick before the price dip to $10k. it could happen again as this is one of the worse markets despite the adoption that is going on these days.

tbct_mt2

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Quote from: Trixoempire on April 18, 2021, 10:53:15 PM

If bull un will be over in the next months. We'll be enter a bear market with x10 decrease alts price and like x5 decrease in btc.

Is it will last 3 years again till 2024?

The market is bullish and the bearish time has yet to come and it won't come soon.

You can consider the market movements now is in corrections and accumulations. I imply that it will need time to accumulate and price will need time for side ways. You must wipe out any thought about bear market in this year.

How long will the correction and accumulation last?
- Three months.
- After three months or shorter or longer a little, the market will have another bull run that can last for 3 months.
- Next bull run will be in July or August and it can last till December.

Trixoempire

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If bull un will be over in the next months. We'll be enter a bear market with x10 decrease alts price and like x5 decrease in btc.

Is it will last 3 years again till 2024?

Topic: If we enter a bear market how long it will last? (Read 312 times)