It's human nature to believe what we most want to believe. It is the stuff of dreams.
Hearing tales of huge profits and massive ROI, we all want to get involved and get rich.
"If I invest $30k now, it will pay for itself in a few months, and then I can quit my day job!" seems to be on some people's minds when they look to see what all the hype is about. But maybe it's time for a little...
REALITY CHECK
The profits you see on whattomine.com are what you might earn today. NOT what you can expect to earn next month. The huge profits can only continue as long as the coins prices keep rising. When they stop rising, profits will plummet. This is inarguable. You might think that you can get around this by switching to other coins that are rising. But that's exactly what everyone else will be doing so any reprieve will be very shortlived. If difficulty increases fast enough, even a rising price will not be enough and profits will plummet.
The boom started a couple of months ago, and might last another couple of months. But when it inevitably comes off the boil, the devastation will be massive. Consider how many new miners there are compared to before. Some will resist the inevitable and hang on until they are making only cents per day on their 6 gpu rigs. Not much point selling the hardware; ebay will be awash with the junk. By xmas this year, I expect to see:
1. A glut of RX470/480/570/580's on ebay for less than $50
2. A glut of disgruntled ex-miners with an "ahh the little guy gets screwed again. I just can't win" mindset.
The bust is going to be bad. A few months ago, the early adopters were doing well making a few dollars a day. I think when it goes bust, it will go down way further. Only those with the cheapest electric will make any profit at all. There are just too many people in it now, and dreams do not die easily.
Do not be seduced into thinking this is a path to riches. There lies only despair.
Do not be tempted to think of it as any more than a hobby, mainly for those technically minded who like to tinker and fiddle. It is too late now to build your first rig with any confidence of ever getting a return on your investment. You might be lucky, you might not. But even if the former, forget about massive profits. The end is nigh.
If you really want to make money with less risk, buying and holding the coins themselves or trading (if you really know what you doing) is by far a better use of your money than building rigs. Both strategies do well as long as the price keeps rising. If the price plateaus, you are not losing anything holding the coins but you will lose big time on your rig investment.
It's a hobby, NOT a business! Do not imagine it can ever be otherwise.
Or it takes off and trlples in value by dec 1