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Topic: I'll have a stab at the top: $40.53 - $47.65 (Read 1468 times)

sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
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After doing some logarithms and stuff to find out when the bubble will pop, the price will reach (2.444)^( Grin)*13.5 = 5.34*13.5 = $72.


This would somewhat nicely coincide with my official prediction.

...

sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
You are a geek if you are too early to the party!
In the grand scheme of things, the price is going to carry on going up, but as I agree that $17-$19 is the price minus speculation, I'm not buying anymore until the current peak has popped!

The only problem is that if this rally continues for a month or two, that sensible figure will naturally be higher as there will be more natural volume in the market, so I think that I might have to spend up to $21 per coin in May.


legendary
Activity: 2101
Merit: 1061
Nice analysis Smiley I'm thinking a large correction about $50  but not so sure that will be the end of the bubble. Might be only the beginning ;-)
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1362
"Wave Three" OMG!

Wink



I stirred the tea leaves again and now it looks like the last bubble was only 15/7 = 2.14:1 after correcting for the long-term exponentially increasing support level.
Bubble mode started around Jan 13th, bottom at $13.5
support level currently at $17.
17/13.5 =1.259
support level daily growth = (17/13.5)^(1/46) = 1+i = 1.005024
bubble growth 33/13.5 = 2.444
bubble daily growth = (33/13.5)^(1/46) = 1+i = 1.0196 or almost 2% daily growth
net growth: (2.444/1.259)^(1/46) = 1.0145
So the bubble will pop when the net total growth reaches 3.46 times whatever the support is on that day.
After doing some logarithms and stuff to find out when the bubble will pop, the price will reach (2.444)^( Grin)*13.5 = 5.34*13.5 = $72.



LOL
hero member
Activity: 775
Merit: 1000
"Wave Three" OMG!

Wink



I stirred the tea leaves again and now it looks like the last bubble was only 15/7 = 2.14:1 after correcting for the long-term exponentially increasing support level.
Bubble mode started around Jan 13th, bottom at $13.5
support level currently at $17.
17/13.5 =1.259
support level daily growth = (17/13.5)^(1/46) = 1+i = 1.005024
bubble growth 33/13.5 = 2.444
bubble daily growth = (33/13.5)^(1/46) = 1+i = 1.0196 or almost 2% daily growth
net growth: (2.444/1.259)^(1/46) = 1.0145
So the bubble will pop when the net total growth reaches 3.46 times whatever the support is on that day.
After doing some logarithms and stuff to find out when the bubble will pop, the price will reach (2.444)^( Grin)*13.5 = 5.34*13.5 = $72.

sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
100%
"Wave Three" OMG!

Wink

hero member
Activity: 775
Merit: 1000

But the last wave is usually the strongest.

The May-June 2012 bottom looks like the restart of wave 1 to me. So that means we're only on Wave 3 now? That would make the top around...
previous peak: $15/$7
re-based to $18
18 * (15/5) * 1.618 = $87 ?!?! Shocked sunnuva... jebus! I mean, I totally expected that Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1362
Did you read the correct tea leafs?
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
You are a geek if you are too early to the party!
This is just getting silly.

If you have any sense, you'll be setting your selling prices around about now and buying again after the dead cat bounce!
Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1932
Merit: 1004

But the last wave is usually the strongest.
member
Activity: 71
Merit: 10
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