I was thinking like 100TH/s total hash rate by DEC-JAN. But, the pre-orders just seem to keep rolling in for BFL. I myself placed a few more orders just to secure the return per month I'm looking for.
All you can really do with any sort of accuracy is speculate on total hash rate after the asics hit based on published order information. I think by Jan 2014 the network hash rate should be relatively stable with a relatively small amount of growth each difficulty increase. People may still continue buying asics after that point, but I think largely the hash rate at that point will be the hash rate until 2017.
If the difficulty goes to high I could see some smaller miners switching over to alt coin chains.
IIRC, BFL has ~100TH/s of confirmed pre-orders. Cablepair has ~30TH/s, and Avalon has another ~18TH/s. All you can really do with any sort of accuracy is speculate on total hash rate after the asics hit based on published order information. I think by Jan 2014 the network hash rate should be relatively stable with a relatively small amount of growth each difficulty increase. People may still continue buying asics after that point, but I think largely the hash rate at that point will be the hash rate until 2017.
If the difficulty goes to high I could see some smaller miners switching over to alt coin chains.
I suspect hes over 700 of the 54Gh/s Units, atm.
Tom has stated he has enough parts for 1000 units, but is closing pre-orders at 900 or tomorrow at Midnight. Right now he's in the 800 range. Of those <100 are 27Gh/s units.
It has also been revealed on his website (new one is going up tomorrow) that each 54Gh/s unit is running 2x6 90nm ASIC clusters, meaning each chip is 4.5Gh/s.
Sounds like a 12,000 part run, so 54TH/s from Tom would be a good worst case bet.
He's also not taking new orders until January, so you don't have to worry about him adding any more hash power until later in January at the earliest, more likely a new run that will take 30-45 days to complete. (Including the backlog from the Chinese New Year shutdown it could be longer)
