Topic: Interference movement due to market exploration on the new incremental slope (Read 166 times)

it is not possible to know how long the window is going to remain open. it all comes down to a slow rise and we may not see any dips the way people are hoping for (big drops to below $9k to buy) instead only corrections that happen after a rise already takes place like going to $10.5k then drop to $10k. and this can continue until the FOMO hits and price jumps up $3000 every day.

Yeah, that's what I thought as well, 60 days might be a safe bet to see FOMO kicking it again. Most probably by start of April, we might see some drastic changes, seeing like a jump to $13k like June 2019 and then we will see how it goes post halving, new all time high in 2021?

Yes, but this interference/volatility will decrease as we approach may. FOMO will become stronger & FEAR is going to weaken. We have a 60 day window to take advantage of dips. After this just HODL for dear life  

I have told people not to buy when the price is going upwards many times but nobody seems to listen to me. When price bottoms out is the perfect place to buy, when something goes up 20% then you should refrain and take a look at what you could do with other stuff to not left behind, if you hold bitcoin keep holding but if you are in fiat, do not get in.

It is very simple logic that when things go up, they usually go down, when they go down it usually goes up, that is how the market goes, nothing goes down forever and nothing goes up forever, eventually they will stop and go to other direction. However, people think that now we are in a bull run so we should be focusing on buying more so that we can both contribute to price going up and also take advantage of it, lets hope they are not wrong.

Nice. I agree.

FOMO will become steady & long term. But we are not there yet. 100 days is a long long time. A lot can happen in two months. People are getting excited to soon & this is a weakness that will be profited from. Is logical. Don't you see it? ... BTC price is a bitch.

I think 60 or 45 days before halving is time to begin believing in the long & steady FOMO that will start the real bullrun.

How many days though prior to halving that we might see FOMO kicking in? 30? 60 days?

$9500 for now, we have build momentum already, so I'm not sure what will make this spike put to a hold, maybe except FUD or some sort of negative news. But I do like what we are seeing though, yes we might see occasional pull-backs but I think we have build enough momentum that the lower lows could be somewhere $8k'ish to me.

Its possible, but for me unlikely. At this time I think this type of belief is what make whales profit. When I predicted the price would drop in the past rally, it was the same thought that was going on circulating the internet, & the correction was harmful. Some top traders got cought in the FOMO. Regardless, of this I think what you are saying will become a reality, but not now. We are stil 100 days from halving. Not near enough.

Will see...

there is a nice momentum building up and it is only going to increase in size. i don't see ups and downs, all i could predict is ups and ups and ups and down. meaning much bigger rises and tiny corrections. and soon enough as price started showing signs of breaking $10k there could easily be a big FOMO that can put bitcoin on a constant rising mode for at least a while until price goes up about 20 to 40% then see a correction.

This information is only useful at this moment. 29 of january 2020.

ONLY MY OWN THEORY. I COULD BE WRONG. BUT THIS COULD BE USEFUL.
IT IS PURE LOGIC APPLIED TO BTC PRICE MOVEMENT & BEHAVIOUR.

Interference movement due to market exploration on the positive incremental price slope.

¿What do I mean by this?
It seems that BTC is taking a new pathway upward. Due to different factors, which are triggered by the pressure of stock-to-flow ratio doubling the 12 of May.

Since the 18 of december 2019, every new low has been higher than his predecessor. This is very logical, because people are HODLING harder as we approach the halving. Adding to this, the price valuation of BTC in the market is incrementing. People are willing to pay more for the token now than past month. Is highly possible this trend will continue.

This positive slope is new & fresh. The market is exploring the way up. Interference is caused by not really knowing what will happen on this uncharted territory, so by consequence the price fluctuates.

FOMO/FEAR rapid interference

Interference = High volatility

By conclusion, don't buy when the price:

1) Is rapidly rising.
&
2) Crypto index is in the yellow or green zone.

As it is exploring, the price will go up & down with lot of frequency. So don't buy when it is exploring upward.

I think its only going to behave this way because the market is very sensible. FOMO is short term. But more frequently than in december. Fear will start to fade away as we get closer & closer to April. As a result, FOMO will become more steady, which will make the upwards movement longer as time goes by.