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Topic: Is statistical analysis enough to make an informed prediction in soccer betting? (Read 419 times)

sr. member
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink
Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh

The answer to this question is yes, you can make a well detailed and informed prediction with statistical betting but you can't always get an accurate result. Some people that are into sports betting don't really take out time to understand and get acquainted with the betting system, they prefer to just get their predictions from paid sites which isn't always a bad idea, but how sure are you that those experts are analysing those games properly? It's would be of more benefit to you as a gambler if you can analyze your games so you won't end up having a double loss.
full member
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink
Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh

Statistical analysis is quite important in soccer betting, before making your selections it's very mandatory to check some vital informations in order to be quite confident of your picks. Analysis doesn't give you a hundred percent guarantee of a definite win but it's capable of mitigating your losses. Although luck plays a huge role in gambling as a whole but some people have found a way to minimize their losses in sports betting, it doesn't work everytime but it's going to give you a little leverage over the market, as long as your stakes are moderate
legendary
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You may have good knowledge about stats but you also need to make sure you cover other angles such as their current performance, injuries of athletes, their coaching strategies and other last minute change of lineup. You may only know these information if you are closely following their respective social media channels.

This is like trading where the individual trader is competing against high frequency trading algorithms.

If you are going to do it by hand you are a fool. Very early on it made sense but you are betting against the odds given by the bookmakers who use very tight statistics programs for it. Probably nowadays they are also helped by AI. Finding a niche that is profitable in the long term will be more and more difficult.
legendary
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I kind look at this from the perspective that I do as a financial guy when I'm analyzing a stock.  There's two main things that you've got to focus on.  One is of course the topic at hand, statistical analysis, and then there is fundamental analysis.  

One could sit and look at charts all day and that certainly is an important part, but there's more to it than just charts.  The nuts and bolts of a team/company need to be examined as well ( the fundamental side of things).

You may have good knowledge about stats but you also need to make sure you cover other angles such as their current performance, injuries of athletes, their coaching strategies and other last minute change of lineup. You may only know these information if you are closely following their respective social media channels.

Also, their stats of their previous performance may help in choosing which odds is best to bet, but as I said earlier, current happenings surrounding the team is also important as it will give you another insight to consider.
legendary
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For an event that stats have no control over, not only would you need statistics analysis to predict outcomes more reliably than random predictions, you would also need an algorithm to counteract the odds and lookout for chances where odds are good due to popular picks vs actual chances to win.

It's not like this has never been done before, there might be several people that try this right now. But most will fail and those that succeed also never say it publicly. Surely you can try too. All the days you need is out there. But it's very unlikely you'll manage much. Creating an algorithm to find gaps in collective intelligence has proved very hard in the past and until now.
legendary
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I kind look at this from the perspective that I do as a financial guy when I'm analyzing a stock.  There's two main things that you've got to focus on.  One is of course the topic at hand, statistical analysis, and then there is fundamental analysis. 

One could sit and look at charts all day and that certainly is an important part, but there's more to it than just charts.  The nuts and bolts of a team/company need to be examined as well ( the fundamental side of things).
hero member
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I think for the most part, yeah. At the end of the day, these games are base 50/50 chances and provided that you have enough sample population you'd easily be able to win half of your games just by betting alone, now, when you put in the research and start thinking about more complex factors that play into each team's odds of winning, you're basically giving yourself enough of a chance to win a good amount of your games above the standard 50/50 odds at betting.

Even more so when it comes to soccer, cause in most games where it's anybody's chance to win the cup, in soccer the chances of winning are most of the time pooled towards those with good players and good coordination, which you can discern from statisticaly analysis alone.
legendary
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink
Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
What do you mean by "enough" to make a prediction? Because statistical analysis is as a good way as any. Some could even say it's giving mathematically best probability, and with that, making it a best method. But it's not "enough" to be certain that you would make profit with it.

On your other question, "how can you collect those news daily", doesn't have one simple answer, but in short; if you know how to code, you could build a bot that collects the previous data and builds your own database with relevant info. Then just utilize that data. There can be countless to ways how to utilize, compare and cross-refer that data. like you pointed out that there's lots of data to choose from, and weighing what's relevant from each data point is a matter of perspective, and it's ultimately about your preferences. There's no one correct way to do that.
hero member
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Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh

I don't think any gambler uses such data to make predictions because I don't and I believe that if a coach actually knows that he has a bad player in his team, he will not featured such a player in serious matches. The other stats which you first mentioned are what I think to be mostly used by bettors to make their predictions and despite using those information to make predictions, results will not not be accurate all the time.
hero member
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It just depends who the player is. If the player is a key player and other teammates rely in the player and one of this is involved with the player it can affect the performance of the team.

In a team where we have 11 players and if one player is having an issue and the player is just playing a little role for the team, the issue of the player may not really affect the performance of the team and when their are other good players in the team it will be something that won't be noticed. That's is why when you check some teams when something is wrong with one player like injuries  or the player is no more in the team it can affect the performance of the team for the whole season. Sometimes gamblers looks into all these in making prediction to win bet.
That's true. If we're talking about a key player such as Ronaldo, you can make assumptions depending on the incident that may or may not hinder his performance. That doesn't mean it's okay to go around snooping on the player's personal lives. I wouldn't bother to go into such details to place a bet on a football match; these aren't accurate measures of predicting the outcome of a game. We all know that even statistical analysis cannot predict the outcome of a game, let alone a player's personal issues.
legendary
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Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
The personal life of players can affect their performance. There was a case when the national team of players was involved in night parties, and it affected their performance since they were not actively engaged in training due to hangovers. Lawsuits and sandals can affect players psychologically and will influence their training and concentration. Sometimes, the fans will not support the player; they can even be insulted or assaulted. Without encouragement, the player will play less than expected. I will bet against any club that is experiencing infighting between players or coaches. A team that is not united will not be productive. Players will not cooperate to win games because of disagreements and this will lead to low productivity. I solely believe that the personal lives of players and even the coach are viable statistical data to predict games.

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If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh

It is only the news that is exposed that is open to the public. Sports clubs usually keep such personal information secret because it could ruin the reputation of the club. It could also be used to attack the club and players. The easiest means to get this information is through the social media. Some players sometimes don't pass through the formal communication of the club; they just express their anger or dissatisfaction on their social media platforms. So you would have to follow them on their platforms to get this information. Or you would have to employ a private investigator which will be very expensive.
legendary
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts.
It is beneficial yes but even mathematical analyses are not always 100% accurate especially in gambling with sports where there are a lot of factors to consider. Not everything will be perfectly in place so there are at least 5% or 10% chance that it will be wrong.
(....)
For me, if you just have time to do this while better, this is better than nothing, like if  you just have basis or have some tool to support your instinct or bet, then go for it, nothing will be lost from your side.
Just remember it is still luck sometimes as this is still considered gambling.
hero member
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Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
Football is a team sport where 11 players participate. What this mean is that if a single player has been involved in a lot of law suits scandals, fight with teammates and absence from training, it will not affect the performance of the team in general especially when there are other competent players in the squad. And I believe that the club manager would make the right decision not to file in that player during that match until they have been able to sort themself out and be in top form again. It would be like shooting yourself in the foot if you allow such people player in the match. So as a gambler I would not consider this detail. I look at the overall performance of the team and not a single player.
It just depends who the player is. If the player is a key player and other teammates rely in the player and one of this is involved with the player it can affect the performance of the team.

In a team where we have 11 players and if one player is having an issue and the player is just playing a little role for the team, the issue of the player may not really affect the performance of the team and when their are other good players in the team it will be something that won't be noticed. That's is why when you check some teams when something is wrong with one player like injuries  or the player is no more in the team it can affect the performance of the team for the whole season. Sometimes gamblers looks into all these in making prediction to win bet.
sr. member
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Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
Football is a team sport where 11 players participate. What this mean is that if a single player has been involved in a lot of law suits scandals, fight with teammates and absence from training, it will not affect the performance of the team in general especially when there are other competent players in the squad. And I believe that the club manager would make the right decision not to file in that player during that match until they have been able to sort themself out and be in top form again. It would be like shooting yourself in the foot if you allow such people player in the match. So as a gambler I would not consider this detail. I look at the overall performance of the team and not a single player.
Sports like football are made up of 11 players in a team so it requires team work to win, if 1 player were to miss out because of any of the reasons that is mentioned in the OP, it'll likely not affect their overall performance. Except it's a star player like Messi and Ronaldo, that their absence in the match can impact his team's performance, or if majority of the teammates have issues that will make them not to play, but it's very unlikely for that to happen.

As for statistical analysis, it's not enough to make informed decisions in sports betting although they are helpful in arriving at decisions. That is why it's best to bet with the amount that you can afford to loose because your statistical analysis might not work at the end of the match.
sr. member
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts.

Using statistics of both teams to make predictions is believed to be the way most gamblers uses to place bets based on previous statistics but it doesn't guarantee winning because some gamblers can walk into a gambling office and just make random selections of the options they want to give each games and before you know it they can even win more than those that depends on using statistics to make predictions but however, it is good for a gambler to use statistics of both teams to make predictions of a match because it works in most cases and another thing a sports gambler should also use in making predictions is by watching live matches and also paying attention to football news because if a gambler watches those matches live, they can know teams that performs better than the other and will also be able to know key players that can feature in a match before they can be confident of winning because the unavailability of a particular player can affect the outcome of a match.

Injury is also another thing to check out for because a team that has too many injured players might not be able to perform well even when they are in good form. However, using statistics to make predictions is not 100% beneficial because if it was, then a lot of those gamblers that depends on using statistics to make predictions would have been recording winning most of the time.
sr. member
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts.
It is beneficial yes but even mathematical analyses are not always 100% accurate especially in gambling with sports where there are a lot of factors to consider. Not everything will be perfectly in place so there are at least 5% or 10% chance that it will be wrong.
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Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
Definitely as these players are just humans too and their performance are just results of their own actions. I do not think personal lives will affect too much but injuries, lack of training or even sometimes contract negotiations can heavily affect one's performance. If a player is trying to impress some team they might perform better than usual to sign a contract.

My advice is to just stay close with the fancommunity because they usually are very updated with these kind of stuff
hero member
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It can matter, but the level of actual effect is really subjective since only the person themselves know if it actually made their gameplays affected or not. You can try gathering it from past instances where a similar event happened and how they handled it but then again people change, so expecting the same thing to happen after some time (I expect it to have at least a few years gap between the happenings) is kind of underestimating the players.

And I'm pretty sure you can just go to any sports news and they'd have any live events that happen? Anything juicier than that you'd probably have to hire a professional investigator or do it yourself, which I doubt you (or any regular joe) actually can.
legendary
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Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
We can't get this kind of information unless we have an insider. Even if we did, we could only choose specific matches, which might make betting less exciting since we wouldn't be able to participate in the many markets available. I'd rather bet honestly, basing my decisions on publicly available information and news, and from there, analyzing which team to bet on. Sometimes, just looking at the betting line itself can give us an idea of which team to back, so it's not really hard to win the right and fair way.
sr. member
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink
Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
Every gambler must analyze to win in betting. Normally whose analysis is rich have more chances of winning bets. Depending on the type of bet on a game, there may be changes in strategy. When it comes to soccer betting, a gambler needs to know many things, among them I give the most importance to their ranking and how they performed in the last matches. Head to head records are important. Moreover, I bet on soccer games by considering how the player has performed recently and whether any player is injured or not. I think if someone analyzes these things seriously, the ratio of winnings in his bets will increase.
legendary
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However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
I'd say there's somewhat of an impact on their performance whenever they're involved with good and bad news, but I doubt you can find some proof when most players are likely used to these situations and trained to handle these kinds of pressure while competing.

It doesn't take much effort to find this type of news, I always look on social media because you can find reliable sources there who frequently post updates and news about certain players.
sr. member
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I think it won't be so difficult to get the latest gossip about famous players from big clubs on social media and sports news, but it will be difficult to get the same info of players from less well-known clubs.
Another problem is that not all news about the personal lives of football players can be verified, it's only rumors and gossip.
And it's not certain that personal issues like that will have an impact on the performance of the player and his team on the pitch, especially for pro players who play in the famous club.
So I don't think there is a need to look for such detailed information, unless you have plenty time to do that before place bet on sports.
sr. member
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Off-field factors such as the personal lives of the players, scandals or internal team issues might really be proven to have an influence on on-field performance and is a useful data source. To get this news daily follow some well known sports news sources, official team or player social media and football forums. It is through combining these statistics and the information that you can make more accurate and in-depth predictions.

By keeping track of any news concerning the personal lives or internal team dynamics, you can gather that extra bit of information that pure statistics do not always bring out. Thus, you will be in a better position to discern the background of the statistics and consequently make sound betting decisions.
legendary
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I think statistical analysis is common knowledges which people should have if they want to do sport betting and these knowledges also can be apply for all sports not soccer only and from my personal experience we cannot always be rely on our luck in sport betting because before deciding to place a bet i think people should be watching the factors such as the latest matches results, injured lists, suspended players, home or away matches and the quality of squad because the conditions of these factors may affect to the outcomes of matches and it's not hard to gets these datas because currently there are plenty of online media who always be reported or to review the performance of the particular teams so people can took the information from those online media as their reference to predict the matches
hero member
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Statistical analysis works best on games like horse racing. I was just reading the story of Benter a man who cracked the horse-racing code using a computer-programmed algorithm. He built the software using analysis on weather, the type of food the horse ate before racing, the number of days since a horse's last race, and who takes care of the horse. These few observations of his affect the performance of a horse in a race. Like Benter,  for a gambler to manipulate sports games he needs to build his algorithm and study a lot of probability theory on known natural effects on the sports men.



legendary
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink

Very interesting for us to review, but for me personally football is not just about data and statistics. true, data and statistics really help us when researching and analyzing to predict a match. and I'm pretty sure, you and I will agree that there are no exact metrics or calculations about sports predictions. every time we are going to make a bet, as usual we will look for all the latest information whatever it is related to the two teams that will compete. every research effort, analysis, is part of minimizing defeat. although, there is no guarantee for that. but we know all that is important, especially involving knowledge and insight. then, we will accumulate the results and try to compare to see each potential and ratio. thus, I have an idea of ​​the options related to the bets that I will choose. unfortunately, football is unique and the results are difficult for us to predict accurately. I mean, in sports or football the results of the match will be determined by both teams when playing their match. no matter how strong the team is, they will not always consistently win every match. for me, this is where our analysis is needed.

Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh

This is also interesting, but usually not very effective or in other words we will not see it as a reference in predicting. as far as I understand, usually players who are having problems whatever it is, the club or team will not play them before it is resolved. we have many examples if we want to review it, but it is not too important for me personally.
hero member
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Football match is a team work and there are always extra players to make sure that the club's performance is stable and that is why lawsuit or a player's personal issues cannot affect the performance of that club. If you are doing your analysis what should be considered is the current form of the clubs, players in the match and the current form of the strikers on goal scoring. You can also use the odds from the sportbook if you are lazy to make researches on the two clubs.
legendary
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink
Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
Yes, they all affect the overall performance of a player. Collecting the data would be a big problem though, you have to be a hardcore fan of each team so that you can follow them around. Not even the media can do such a thing.

Not just in football, but in basketball too.
I remember one time when a good team lost their game because they went from East to West, and then another because of the long bus ride that made them exhausted. These things cannot be seen which is why games are unpredictable, there are so many little details that we don't have a reach. All we can do is rely on that odds and maybe a bit of luck too.
sr. member
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink
Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
In collecting that kind of news daily, you would have to literally follow up all the daily news on each team your looking out for to get their data, you can follow up on blogs and sports journal's that are saddled with the responsibility of giving a daily report on teams daily and weekly activities. However scandals like lawsuit, fighting between teammates and rest of it, can actually affect the overall performance of a team, because once a particular hitman of a club has been involved with a certain scandal, he can be kept on the bench, thereby losing playing times which will affect the team, because he is one of the players that the team has been built round upon, so him not playing brings a setback to the team.

So scandal too can be a source of data for gamblers to use and make informed decisions when trying to make predictions.
sr. member
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink
Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh

As a gambler that involves in soccer bet, the major aspect you have to concentrate on to get your predictions is history that have existed between the two clubs which is the events that usually take place when both teams meet, although things might also change based the fact that the players in both team has retired or soldout but be it as it may considering the present form and league position of the football teams helps a gambler to arrive at a particular decision on which prediction to consider, although predictions are uncertain because you might predict as a gambler based on what you see to be most likely occurrence thats expected to be the outcome of a football encounter between too teams but some things may stand against your preferred selection, for instance your preferred team based your research may be defeated because of how unlucky they are in that particular football session or unexpected injury, there are many things to consider but in all what matters is luck because no matter how good you are in prediction, the uncertainty behind the final outcome of a soccer event can never be made known to anyone.
legendary
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink
Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
I do not think that a personal life of a player have any thing to do with their performance on the pitch (field of play) or maybe perhaps, thr player might be into drugs, or alcohol and any other substances that are not really healthy to the body, and might affect their performance on the pitch, but this is not really a factor to put into consideration since players are often tested for substances like this, and any one such a substance is found on his or her blood; is immediately disqualified and even banned from playing totally.

And talking about professional lifestyle, like how often a player misses practise and so on, I do not think this can be an effective factor to consider when choosing a team to place a bet on.
What is most important for me, is the general performance statistics of the team/club, like how well they play, pass balls, score goals and so on, this and together with luck, is what to really pay attention to when wanting to choose a team to bet on.
hero member
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I'm not betting on soccer, but I believe the questions apply to all sports because statistical analysis exists in almost all sports. I don't think it is enough; there are still factors that are hidden from the public, like what you mentioned

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I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction?

These factors may have an impact on the team's performance because they are all humans and can be affected by negativity; the management kept it hidden from the public. In fact, they even paid people to keep it a secret until the tournament was finished.
When a team suffers from unexpected losses, expect something to happen internally.
hero member
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Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh

statistical analysis will indeed help us increase the chances of winning when betting. but it will not be close to 100%. you have to be more rational about the facts on the field. the readiness of several key players in the team and other news can also affect the chances. but related to the player's personal life, it may affect his performance. it may be related when you bet on a particular player who scores.
I prefer to follow general club or team news rather than personal players. we can find everything on social media, even just before the match takes place, usually a news update will appear that we can use as analysis material.
hero member
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However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?

I think statistical analysis is more than enough, with this we can draw basic conclusions even though in reality our predictions could be wrong. For example, what Inter Milan did in their last friendly match, they lost to Al-Ittihad with an absurd score, they couldn't even score a single goal. The other data you mentioned could strengthen our analysis, but what? do you go into that much detail to even know the players personal lives?

I think he is pertaining to the issue when it was affected a star players that contributed a huge role in the match. A personal problem sometimes affects players game, I don’t know specifically the history on foot ball but this is common problem in sports like basketball that a star player can perform well because he is thinking with his personal problem.

Also watching after game interview from players sometimes they disclose this kind of problem that partly affect their performance. I think this is the issue which the @Op considered as factor that can affect the game.
legendary
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I believe that statistics do help, they can be a good parameter for starting a bet. But obviously other details matter a lot, such as the momentum of the teams that will be playing and other minor details like injuries

An interesting example was Bayern Leverkusen last season
All the statistics led us to believe that Bayern Munich were going to be champions again, but an incredible run by Leverkusen secured the title. In this case, the team's momentum mattered more than the statistics of other years

Does anyone here only bet based on statistics?
sr. member
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I think just your first paragraph is already anough parameter to make judgements with for the result of a match as I don't think thr other personalize of the gambler would actually matter so much as long as they are being able to deliver the task ahead of them.
diving directly to answer your question based on the caption, then I would say that, statistical analysis will go a very long way to impact thr result of a game if well done.

one sweet and funny thing about gambling is that, no one is absolutely sure of what the gambling result would be or what the outcome of a particular match would be not even the players because it's a competition everyone would want to win and maintain a brand and reputation and you don't expect them jeopardize on that .
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink

Most of the time, the statistics you mentioned above are some of the factors that contributes to the outcome of a match but it is not certain that following up those statistics will guarantee winning but it helps in making predictions of the possible outcomes of the current matches but despite that predictions are made from previous meetings and previous matches of the both teams, things can still go contrary to their statistics.

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Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh

All these information are late news as some of them are made known even while the match is ongoing so a lot of things affects the outcome of a match as against their statistical analysis of which a player being given a red card in a match can also attribute to a match going in different direction from their initial statistics or probably the weather condition of the game, either rainy game, snow game or sunny game all affects the current statistics of a team as against their previous statistics.
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If yes, then someone could built an algorithm and feedback necessary information such as data to find the results of every match but in reality it isn't the case so stats plays a part to certain extent but it will not be enough or any news or data to predict the winner of any game with 100%. The numbers varies from what kind of games and what level they are playing and many more so all you can do is just hope after your analysis that this team is more likely to win.
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink
Indeed stats is a very useful resources on sports betting since it’s your basis to determine what’s the potential of the team. Without it, we are just gambling based on pure luck just like playing casino games.

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However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh

Definitely, Players is still human and they are also subjected to this kind of mental weakness in time of problem. There’s a lot of players that can’t perform well and sometimes have a break when they have a serious personal issue so it’s important to consider it especially if that person do an important role for the team.
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Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh

Yes, it can, because players cannot concentrate on their games if there are bad things running in their minds, especially if it's a scandal the team may be the favorite to win the games, these internal issues can harm the motivation of the players that will result into upsets, motivations of the players is something that the management of the team are always working on to make the team play harmoniously and have a strong dedication to win.

The management always sees to it that internal issues like this, will not come out because they know, that it will have an impact on the team and how the public looks at the team, sports news reporters are always looking for a scandal, so if you want this news and you are a bettor then follow sports and celebrity reporters.
sr. member
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink
as a sports person, one thing that's common with most of us is that we are conversant with what's going on with each team and also follow up on the private life of the key players that make up each team. The predominant statistics you can easily find iether from sports journalist or from the leagues site is stats like, the position of the team on the table, past head to head games played and the results which also goes to guide you on what might play out at present and some other indices that's obviously visible for all sports lovers. Outside of those, thier are times when certain player aren't in good terms with the coach of the team or thier might be instances when argument erupt from the dressing room. Those things affect a team negatively and can cause then to lose against a smaller team.  It's not as though you have to analyse those things for every predictin you're making but you should know some key factors that might also help to influence the outcome of the game and from there make a better decision.


Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
in this global age when news travels almost faster than the spead of light, it's hard for an athlete to have a law suit or for fight to break out between players and you don't get to see that in the media. Journalist and sports bloggers are always on their toes looking for news and you're rest assured that if you're an active fellow of the sports you usually bet on, no news will pass you unaware.  The gambling section of the forum has been too busy with almost everything that's going on in the worlds sports arena and I doubt thier is anything you would want to know about the private life of key players in most sports that you can't get from here. Apart from this forum, a lot of sports bloggers gives information like that on there pages and a simple following of them will give you the required information that will become a source of additional help while making your prediction.
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However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?

I think statistical analysis is more than enough, with this we can draw basic conclusions even though in reality our predictions could be wrong. For example, what Inter Milan did in their last friendly match, they lost to Al-Ittihad with an absurd score, they couldn't even score a single goal. The other data you mentioned could strengthen our analysis, but what? do you go into that much detail to even know the players personal lives?
hero member
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If you're trying to achieve 100% win rate, these information aren't enough, you must become an employee of the team you want to bet because you will know how to value your team against other team. These information are secret, never blown up on the medias.

However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc.
These personal thing are mostly start from a rumor and it will be confirmed after few weeks or months, and these dramas are easily blown up on many medias because people always like to hear gossip.
legendary
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the only way to get such inside news is to follow strictly the team/players you want bet in. This include not only conventional mass media but also social networks. By the way I don't think this could be something useful for a prediction, if not only very few cases.
I have just found one time a "bug" where a bet was offered even if a team (due a lawsuit) was already considered as a loss one.
legendary
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Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
The data's are statistical data from the past and may not actually be able to predict future outcomes because sometimes a team that statistically has been predicted to win or should win a game may end up losing the game because there's a factor called luck and chance in football where even a team that has never won a game can end up defeating a team that has been on a winning run.

The statisticians would have been the best gamblers if statistical analysis assured a 100% winning rate in gambling, but unfortunately it does not, and just like other gamblers, after a prediction has been made, even with statistics, it is left in the hands of chance/luck for us to see if it happens the way we predict.
legendary
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The problem here is that all these statistics are available too for the sportsbook, and it's algorithm calculates the chances and offers you their odds. Si, even if you "knew" that it was three times easier for a team to win, you will only get 1.33 for your bet, so you'll have to win three times to double your initial skate, at the risk of losing it at anytime if the unexpected happens.

On the other hand, answering to your question, I don't think any kind of analysis is enough to make an "accurate" prediction in soccer, as there is always certain degree of uncertainty in an event as complex as a footbal match. We can't be deterministic there. So much better, IMO, to follow your guts, bet little amounts without expecting any profits, and enjoy the match.
legendary
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Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
I do not care about football player history, lawsuits, scandals and fight with teammates in my analyses. I can not even think in that direction because it has nothing to do with the outcome of a match. All I go for is not beyond the fitness of the player and if the player would be available in the match that I want to bet on.
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink
Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh


Statistical analysis is very important before making your selections in soccer betting, but a lot of times these analysis fail due to some uncontrollable and unforseen circumstances... Analysis isn't enough in some cases and my reason for saying this is because there are some changes that might occur right before the game starts or probably when it' Starts that might alter the predictions that you have made so far, watching sports channels and keeping up with daily news and informations about players should also be part of your research
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Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
Football is a team sport where 11 players participate. What this mean is that if a single player has been involved in a lot of law suits scandals, fight with teammates and absence from training, it will not affect the performance of the team in general especially when there are other competent players in the squad. And I believe that the club manager would make the right decision not to file in that player during that match until they have been able to sort themself out and be in top form again. It would be like shooting yourself in the foot if you allow such people player in the match. So as a gambler I would not consider this detail. I look at the overall performance of the team and not a single player.
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I agree that using different tools for statistical analysis would help you increase your chances of winning. For example, tools like ESPN with sports, social media pages that could distribute or publish reports on current happenings, and forums like BitcoinTalk.

I believe this could enhance your chances of winning and ensure that you get the prediction right.
hero member
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Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
If I may understand correctly players personal life does not have anything to do with their overall performance in the club they are or the team they are playing for, that is to say if player have any lawsuit or absence from training, fight or whatever it does not also affect their overall performance or skill in football what matters most is if they are healthy I think this aspect is what mostly affect players overall performance in football but however if  if the club notice such lapses in a player they wouldn't allow him play for the season or for the period of illness maybe after fully recovery he can play in the next season.

So, such player would be replaced that is why most of the clubs today always assign new player due to lapses from any of the player it could be they are due for retirement or they are weak in the wings they play. So therefore to me while doing my prediction or analysis what I consider most is first how they play in the last season it could be 2 to 3 years ago or 4 years ago with their previous team played together if the goals they scored between those previous matches are what reasonable then I don't mind using same pattern to analyze the present match so this also help me to secure some few winnings, and again other thing I look at is their past matches for example the goal they scored in the previous matches also help me in making my analysis to secure winning.
sr. member
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Well I think that if as a gambler that specialized on football betting and you want to bet on a team winning, it's very much logical that when analyzing the game on who might carry the day, the first thing I mostly looks out for is their head too head record, like who have the upper hand between the two teams, how frequently do both teams score's any time they meet and most importantly, their present form, like the performance of both teams in their past five five match, are they on a winning streak or a losing streak, these are the major things I look up to before making a decision when betting on football matches.

Though I believe that their are gamblers out there that doesn't look into all these I made mentioned, they just bet base on the team they feels is stronger, but I think that it's definitely a wrong way to go about it, that my own opinion though.
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I believe the importance of using stats to enhance soccer betting is 100% beneficial for both beginners and experts. But are there any metrics more valuable than others? Well, league tables, goal statistics, possession, shot accuracy are some of the most useful ones.
This type of data highlights a better understanding of the opponent's strength and weakness. I think there are more details to consider, of course, and they vary to each player's strategy Wink
Undecided However, I wonder if the personal/professional lives and details (of soccer players), such as lawsuits, scandals, fights between teammates, absences from training, etc. can also be a source of data to make a more informed prediction? If yes, how can I collect this news daily?  Huh
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