short answer is yes there is a high chance of that happening.
long answer is that having airdrop does not mean the coin can't rise. any coin can get super pumped at any time and reach the level of any other coin.
also having airdrop doesn't necessarily mean the coin is shitcoin. that is a bad distribution in my opinion but there are good coins that are using it like byteball.
and remember not to busy yourself with these things when it comes to analyzing some coin for investment. it is good but the rise and falls in altcoin scene are mostly manipulation (aka pumps) rather than real demand going in and crating a rise.