Topic: ● ● LuckyBit Bet Count Prediction Game ● ● 0.9 BTC in prizes ● ● [CLOSED] (Read 4118 times)

The results are in!

The bets have been counted and verified! As of 00:00:00 Sep 1 UTC, LuckyBit had
1,675,772 total bets played and on August 31, there were a total of 6982 bets.

The folks that chose to guess the total number were at a disadvantage. I didn't intend that, but that's how it happened. However, even with such a handicap several people managed to guess within 1000 bets of the target. Notably, TheNewAnon135246 put in a stellar guess of 1674904 which was under by a scant 868 bets! Still, this incredible shot was nothing against the precision guesses for just the day's results. A few people managed to ring in at under 800 away from the target and make a nice showing in the leaderboard. However, one entry stood out well beyond the competition:

kolloh overguessed by only 29 bets!

This amazing feat has earned you the First Prize of 0.6BTC. Congratulations!
Payment: 7c01a6fba12db39ce50b9fe9c8e95acb20a4e770e14fa653d31f9d405ca7fd41

The second place was a lot closer and it could have gone differently very easily. Many guesses fell within the 750-800 away range but one guess just barely (and literally) sniped a victory:

cparsley underguessed by only 746 bets!

This great result has earned you the Second Prize of 0.3BTC. Congratulations!
Payment: 1665a6a36f7ed3ca46a135850d79d8365038208af62a6dab196ff192e9d3d52f

There was one entry that was so laughably bad, it had already fallen out of the running days before the event. It's hard to miss the mark by more than a few thousand in this game but this user managed to fail with style.

raysa underguessed by a whopping 25,318 bets.

This hilariously bad accomplishment is deserving of a Booby Prize of 0.025BTC. Cheers, and better luck next time.
Payment: 637b9fd51df60cc5275cd4a87e7b1a7ee17c9e34a711cb436cf8f74ee7a92517

Hope everyone had fun. Stay tuned to the LuckyBit Community Hub for an announcement concerning the next Tournament Day!

Do you have a rough idea of the starting number of bets?

 



Pretty sure I am not going to win this.


Around 5.4k now.

I can't check where it is atm.

Temporarily disabled
Sorry. Some asshole exploited this resource, so it's not available for the moment.

Please check again later.

What is the total number of bets as of 31-Aug, 00:00 hrs?

Oh crap I forgot to submit my prediction lol
Anyway good luck to everyone, its pretty good prizes there

Entries are now closed! Good luck everyone!

TX of Recent Bet: aae170092f917f27a8f583fbccb97b6a9a09f0f16be4be842bfd8977500860a1
Prediction: 7011

Sorry, newbie accounts can't enter.

Prediction is: 6236
67ffce744c0fca184bb20a0ba79db67c5e588410012b15deade2e1221a2b7d39

Hi
Bet: 5268
https://blockchain.info/tx/8e29686cd3930faaa1d3338f82e21d8cf15872503baecacff1f57a5063e6eac7

just add some number at end   any from 1-9
typo mistake
regards.
-Katerniko1

prediction : 3200 bets
https://blockchain.info/tx/335d8fed8ef8607a7465236aec2c91b1f54c77c06caa88d74e15fa594f006f17

5678

https://blockchain.info/tx/3b986eeea5af6d710bddf69f8b3329570e6db565ce479c30b64cf20a77c24b07

9400

https://blockchain.info/tx/3a59e8c4299c8d092881d7725ea906b8613d0bd4e6755a6a3e46d1ae0bc238b1

Prediction: 10500 bets
TXID: 4a02adb8394a658ba11500f3498146b6f6f74e9ac8d00e329c3f9ec3d51322c0

My prediction: 1676767
https://blockchain.info/tx/5d162385430b3c1da11dfdd83c821ae0e697fa5cc1f10f6a60ba64af923d8fbe

I would like to give chance to my luck there

Prediction : 1667887

Transaction Id : https://blockchain.info/tx/0ece341811cdd6c60157529544f9987ca687295205d88caa1f7cf7f988f2f90d

Prediction: 4500 bets
TXID of my recent bet: d3de1c47546192d0526df246b5451f06177c57ae7c1c5281e52c3dec1e16a59e

ID:25434438cb805bf05db6cc2022a6aafed5a8f551a3148d6f3ff4134446adf6ee

my predicting 1668173

predicting: 1673943

https://blockchain.info/tx/427ed2ac82c802ffb7ce0c4b5fdc76b7f1b26e4f68060d797dfd5d5fb000649e

My bet: 8500
Transaction id: 66574590f067db5f18deb22ff89b18e79508a7a68dce4916c3bd3854a4c1df8a

Read OP carefully there is stated with bold newbie account are not allowed to enter into this contest so you to wait a little to get activity to increase your membership rank.

Okay, here's my prediction:

1680000

Recent bet - https://blockchain.info/tx/a997768995f6eb57b9f27c6a5cc819959a3d569a391101aa4e5045427846094c

My Prediction: 1669410
Txid of Recent Bet:- 9971502c98e39a760733482a7659cee9dffab48fd12ba680fa5e030dbc05a803

My Prediction : 1669999

TXID : https://blockchain.info/tx/935b7108514bc61568ea7822d5b56699cf86d33553cae9c0b7d5ec22be62cde6

Prediction : 1671500


https://blockchain.info/tx/304e7e8b6665fd02a51e52a34c1fbaabe91441f23bba68ed072c1a1990b49465

Edit : just corrected number ! Sorry consider this in ! i missed one digit

maybe he forgot to add one number on behind haha. whether is valid if the prediction is changed or justified?

This guess is hilariously bad, are you sure you want this to be your guess?

Prediction: 168697 bets
TXID of my recent bet: 9db205f893739ff3cb0dec7e3e0cb9ccabbde77ee819baf18d36b5d683693af8

My Prediction : 1664532

TX : https://blockchain.info/tx/096c6bd11ad4c65df3b46c1e9f52b13425bd2cde0e77cdb2e8dd6591942f3985

prediction : 1670167

https://blockchain.info/tx/b38b3ed22ed6ef636538a575dda0b448f935484f3291d969f44edad4cbee6877

Prediction: 1674904
TX: e892de82ba89221b493045fdecbf8fdeb1ba63a7d768ecc757aad1136c1bfe2d

Bet count : 10101

486f1835f105bcc316f490f639e843806af53544ffde9896d49109cfc5dfe970

(I can't access the Bet Browse page just now)*

TXID of my recent bet 7b74829ff2ea3c07d90e424a7890a1eda2e403a063d487ccc77a4838c83cf172        my prediction 1659888 

kk noted . thx for the info . gd luck to u 

Any valid bet, I'd say. Any bet amount equal to or more than the min. bet that goes through is a qualifying bet, which currently is 0.002BTC or above.

sorry to ask , as stated "a TXID of a single wager on LuckyBit" whats the min wager required ? thx

No changes, and I mean it this time. People started guessing entire count instead of daily amount as stated in the post, and the only sensible answer is to accept these entries.

I just saw i should give number of bets. Can i change it?

my prediction is 1669500

https://blockchain.info/tx/ff63515c98ec34fddd7f108d21966ba6c4ebf45f114186e688ac31c2aa5f5067

my prediction : 1661234
TXID of my recent bet : 010bffa9906c3882df6d78117deff853cdb45632a69b64dc21a13f60112ce84f
why not

Prediction: : 7786
Txid of my recent bet: -
bd3eb485cd3acce6b9407badd3060aa011cc65ed4a1e77a457c6cdf277e2b3c5

No changes! Wait, okay, 16 million bets is an outrageous guess. Changed.

Can i change prediction? Its typo.. i just realize.. if can i wanna put this 1692374

Prediction : 1674758

recent bet : 8737a831299de42284417593e75a641a132a69b64dd6d6610e4d40fc72d3e102

Hope I win

Count me in Too! 

prediction : 16923744

TXID of my recent bet : 7cfe56d9344340fcf5c22e935f5313df66ce70f8d2cc937b2c0bc73e8f75b36c

1122
http://luckyb.it/check?txin=43155aacb5cf16aae907f238178b91b41791620b30a24064e279b3dbe587f4bc:0

reserved .....

I will add prediction at 29 Aug ....

Count me in!
My Prediction: 1668877
Bet id: https://blockchain.info/tx/0a09991d8ea5ccf5ba47aac13e9f31effff92fe40033066fb0fc2705ff70191d

Bet : bd69dc1c4c10c7258a11ec849c866ad09691b3b654f85b13c82b5284553bbcbd
Prediction: 1666666

Bet Count: 3456

http://luckyb.it/check?txin=8efdf05027aaeefcdaa30725c69d48cba9933a8b3368aca770b2902b5b996b77:1

prediction: 8420
https://blockchain.info/tx/ec57549c409a2e143522ee65693a1e26472e1bbb45ecfcc976cfd8bf87d81a77

"newbies may not enter"

u mean newbies to luckybit :-D

My Prediction : 1.672.416 bets
Tx id : 80871441f831325c03848ddfeed40dc23d3f17452013068da39b6edcafa99aed

It's allowed because disallowing it causes more harm than good, as I learned from the last round. What's "abusive"? Well, that's for me to decide. If you control an account as defaulted on collateral, I'd say you own it fair and square and can use it as you see fit; if you use it to abuse this program, well, that's my problem and I'll handle it as stated in the original rules. It's just easier for everyone (except me) this way.

I intend to go over all the entries on the day of the event to identify any abuse before the final results are checked.


Yes, the LuckyBit server time is UTC.

Prediction : 1679625
Trx id of recent bet : Recent bet

Prediction: 6235 bets
TXID of my recent bet: 9914df0d46e9069b5d7e8995abc6f7e70923975c3f8197554ac13bef3f3bbd6b

Interesting amount of prize will keep eye on this thread so i will post my prediction very soon,
is that 23:00:00 UTC Aug 30 2015 is same time as luckybit server time?

Why allow this? that would be kind of unfair. For instance, I do control some account given as collateral on defaulted accounts around 1-2 years ago. I could use one and predict That would be weird..

I'd say that would be unfair to those who participate in the giveaway honestly. Mind changing the rules?

ID: 2449a08d5988e763584bc0340af406ed883725f99c90fcc2dc1f06bcf312b206
Prediction: 1650454

I will try tonight to register 

ID: 90026bfbff03fb4cad649a978dac8250840425f7def909a299b5db2cabb56357
Prediction: 1687393

It's Back! The Bet Count Prediction Game returns with a fresh pile of prizes for you to win! Read on for all the details.

Rules
The Bet Count Prediction Day is August 31. All entries must be received on or before 23:00:00 UTC Aug 30 2015 on this thread. Late entries will be disqualified. Each entry must contain a Prediction of how many bets will be placed on all LuckyBit lines on August 31, and a TXID of a single wager on LuckyBit placed anytime between today and the time of entry. Edited posts will be disqualified. Entries will be logged in this post. (Note Seven-digit guesses will be interpreted as a guess of the total number of wagers on LuckyBit. Others will be interpreted as a guess of the total number of bets on August 31.)

Prizes
There will be one Grand Prize of 0.6BTC for the player that guesses the closest to the actual number of valid bets played on LuckyBit on August 31. There is also a Second Prize of 0.3BTC for the next-closest player. Should both of these people guess precisely the same difference from the actual bet count, the prizes will be combined and split. Should two people tie for second place, they will split the second place prize.

Example entry

Restrictions
Limit one entry per Bitcoin Talk account. Newbie members may not enter.
Wagering on LuckyBit is required for participation.
Participants that attempt to abuse this promotion will be disqualified at my discretion.
LuckyBit administration and myself may not participate. LuckyBit staff other than myself may participate.

FAQ
Can I bet on August 31 to influence the result?
Yes.

Can I enter multiple times with multiple accounts?
Yes, but if it becomes abusive you will be disqualified.

Can I enter multiple times with the same address?
Yes, if you use multiple accounts.

How do you know my address?
You played on LuckyBit; it will be recovered from the transaction you post.

I want to change my guess and the game hasn't started, is that OK?
No. Choose your entries carefully!

Dude, You Suck!
...

Entries
boxxob - 90026bfbff03fb4cad649a978dac8250840425f7def909a299b5db2cabb56357 - 1687393
raysa - 2449a08d5988e763584bc0340af406ed883725f99c90fcc2dc1f06bcf312b206 - 1650454
ndnhc - 9914df0d46e9069b5d7e8995abc6f7e70923975c3f8197554ac13bef3f3bbd6b  - 6235
lolxxxx - 2d80eeb0d0c4ca01fe2aba1fc84e3075fa8eaea6fe35a4c40d729454f1102fb0 - 1679625
Kemben - 80871441f831325c03848ddfeed40dc23d3f17452013068da39b6edcafa99aed - 1672416
Girlscout - ec57549c409a2e143522ee65693a1e26472e1bbb45ecfcc976cfd8bf87d81a77 - 8420
Hexcoin - 8efdf05027aaeefcdaa30725c69d48cba9933a8b3368aca770b2902b5b996b77 - 3456
BitcoinBoss666 - bd69dc1c4c10c7258a11ec849c866ad09691b3b654f85b13c82b5284553bbcbd - 1666666
orryde - 0a09991d8ea5ccf5ba47aac13e9f31effff92fe40033066fb0fc2705ff70191d - 1668877
Decoded - 43155aacb5cf16aae907f238178b91b41791620b30a24064e279b3dbe587f4bc - 1122
nickaizoku - 7cfe56d9344340fcf5c22e935f5313df66ce70f8d2cc937b2c0bc73e8f75b36c - 1692374
rivoke - 8737a831299de42284417593e75a641a132a69b64dd6d6610e4d40fc72d3e102 - 1674758
pjsonowal - bd3eb485cd3acce6b9407badd3060aa011cc65ed4a1e77a457c6cdf277e2b3c5 - 7786
Shadough - 010bffa9906c3882df6d78117deff853cdb45632a69b64dc21a13f60112ce84f - 1661234
juperos - ff63515c98ec34fddd7f108d21966ba6c4ebf45f114186e688ac31c2aa5f5067 - 1669500
septian44 - 7b74829ff2ea3c07d90e424a7890a1eda2e403a063d487ccc77a4838c83cf172 - 1659888
harizen - 486f1835f105bcc316f490f639e843806af53544ffde9896d49109cfc5dfe970 - 10101
TheNewAnon135246 - e892de82ba89221b493045fdecbf8fdeb1ba63a7d768ecc757aad1136c1bfe2d - 1674904
somuchee - b38b3ed22ed6ef636538a575dda0b448f935484f3291d969f44edad4cbee6877 1670167
dinda22 - 096c6bd11ad4c65df3b46c1e9f52b13425bd2cde0e77cdb2e8dd6591942f3985- 1664532
lady Royal - 304e7e8b6665fd02a51e52a34c1fbaabe91441f23bba68ed072c1a1990b49465 - 1671500
ronaldo40 - 935b7108514bc61568ea7822d5b56699cf86d33553cae9c0b7d5ec22be62cde6 - 1669999
deadlyunknown - a997768995f6eb57b9f27c6a5cc819959a3d569a391101aa4e5045427846094c - 1680000
polynesia - 66574590f067db5f18deb22ff89b18e79508a7a68dce4916c3bd3854a4c1df8a- 8500
leptar - 427ed2ac82c802ffb7ce0c4b5fdc76b7f1b26e4f68060d797dfd5d5fb000649e - 1673943
aniglo - 25434438cb805bf05db6cc2022a6aafed5a8f551a3148d6f3ff4134446adf6ee - 1668173
BruceLee007 - d3de1c47546192d0526df246b5451f06177c57ae7c1c5281e52c3dec1e16a59e - 4500
trafficolaa - 0ece341811cdd6c60157529544f9987ca687295205d88caa1f7cf7f988f2f90d - 1667887
botany - 5d162385430b3c1da11dfdd83c821ae0e697fa5cc1f10f6a60ba64af923d8fbe - 1676767
jjacob - e335b630d8d3e71c6fa6e8bd8e0b1f76f5a561752a036c4a8c79b1d5cec488b0 - 9998
panju1 - 4a02adb8394a658ba11500f3498146b6f6f74e9ac8d00e329c3f9ec3d51322c0 - 10500
shulio - 3a59e8c4299c8d092881d7725ea906b8613d0bd4e6755a6a3e46d1ae0bc238b1 - 9400
vero - 3b986eeea5af6d710bddf69f8b3329570e6db565ce479c30b64cf20a77c24b07 - 5678
addicto - f33c8410c581a18a622ac7260c787541316cff2da1dca3cf24c15951a72ce67a - 1670856
bithasher - 9f14740900d40d987dd25cf3b3a7f54f3c48ea612cf668bda0239c637f630c2e - 1670348
Freaks - 0c7b9cfe92017c6ff30d796ca831056807df4104645d21307387b0f815c3e8e7 - 1671000
ttman - 335d8fed8ef8607a7465236aec2c91b1f54c77c06caa88d74e15fa594f006f17 - 3200
katerniko1 - 9db205f893739ff3cb0dec7e3e0cb9ccabbde77ee819baf18d36b5d683693af8 - 1686975
cparsley - 67ffce744c0fca184bb20a0ba79db67c5e588410012b15deade2e1221a2b7d39 - 6236
dishku - 38bf510c84b7157ec6798694241b59037df01c4422773623cd50fed3dfc4d191 - 1672155
kolloh - aae170092f917f27a8f583fbccb97b6a9a09f0f16be4be842bfd8977500860a1 - 7011