Due to some unexpected events of this year, the Bitcoin market is in a very bad situation. Right now, Mark Mobius, a very popular figure in cryptocurrency, predicted in a CNBC seminar on Thrusday that Bitcoin is going to stay below $10k dollars very soon. That's going to be a 40 percent drop in current bitcoin value.
If famous people bitocin predictions would come true bitcoin would be dead in 2012, 1 mln $ in 2018, dead in 2019, 1 mln$ in 2021 and 10k$ in 2023. None of those extreme numbers were correct so far.
He adds that one of the reasons for this is that large centralized exchanges like FTX are getting involved in scams out of fear that those who have invested in cryptocurrencies or institutions that hold cryptocurrency investments by offering interest rates above 5% are getting destroyed.
Its bullish for bitcoin that scam altcoins and scam services go bust. Only proves that bitcoin is the best long term crypto investment. FTX case made people withdraw from exchanges (what is exposing those who are swimming naked - with fractional reserve system, dumping users bitcoins on users)
Also, people don't want to hold cryptocurrency because of higher interest rate of USD.
Super high interest rates. -4% (negative) real interest rates (adjusted for inflation). Its definetly a game changer compared to potential +500-1000% for bitcoin in next 2-5 years with limited downside becasue bitcoin already dumped 80% and is the most oversold in history (monthly RSI at ATL). For sure people are rushing for negative 4%
Mark Mobius had earlier given some predictions which were later corrected .In May this year, when the Bitcoin market was at $28,000, he said that Bitcoin would soon hit $20,000, which later came true. But it is only a matter of time how far Mark Mobius's $10k prediction comes true.
There are like 10 000 "famous people" that shoot and miss. The fact that 100 of them will be correct at least once is super high. It does not change them into crytal ball that will be correct next time.
Also he is an emerging markets fund manager. So he gets new clients when he is bearish when everyone else is bearish. He can't be bullish when 90% people are bearish because his clients will call him crazy and leave. 90% of people are loosing on market. He is targeting them right now to dump BTC at loss and go to him because he predicted dump below 20k and is as bearish as they are now. But they are bearish because of fear, he is bearish to get new clients.