(2) INFLATION TO PLATFORM STAGNATION
Right now is the time when people have the most sMerits. Each transaction will divide them by two and eventually only the sMerits that are mined will remain. That means two things:
(1) the time to get sMerits is now, because it will get increasingly harder in the future;
(2) the newer the member is (joined now, joined a month from now, two months from now) - the harder the climb up will be, regardless of whether they are posting quality posts or not.
Eventually, only a few will be allowed to join higher ranks through the process of sMerit limitation. Elitist? Absolutely. Moreover, the support it offers to current old members is EXTREMELY disproportional to the damage it does to newer ones. Perhaps, a dip in bitcointalk popularity can be foreseen.
This isn't entirely true mate. Yes, for each sMerit you send, only 0.5 sMerits are credited to the receiver. However, there are also Merit Sources. There are 49 such accounts at the moment, likely increasing over time. The 'supply' of sMerits is replenished every month for these Merit Sources.
There is no reason for them to 'hoard' sMerits, because they will get more next month. Besides, they are trusted forum members with the intention to use this new Merit system to help the forum, so if they see good posts, they should Merit that post to keep the system going.
As I posted in another thread, it would be interesting to see some data, if the moderators/staff will make it available. Forum members can analyze the data, and even suggest better ways to help circulate Merit in the system.
You're right - there are merit miners! These miners are already active (I assume?). However, there is also the amount of points that was released to the members. With each transaction, the amount the members currently hold gets halved - until it is JUST the miners. Thus, supply is at a maximum right now and falling.
Moreover. As the crypto-economy gets increasingly accepted and known, I assume the number of new members coming onto the platform will increase faster than the number of miners? Thus, the gap between supply and demand will rise.
That means the price - whether it'd be the degree of quality, connections, or actual currency will increase and the ability to get points and advance in the ranks will decrease. Am I wrong somewhere in the logic?