Yeah it's the usual comment about what the 5N actually means
I put this on the help page a while ago:
https://kano.is/index.php?k=payoutPPLNS acts like the reward 'ramps up' when you first start mining.
What actually happens?
The 5Nd means it takes that long to reward your shares.
The ramp isn't missing rewards, it's delaying them to reduce variance.
Each share is rewarded in all the blocks found in the 5Nd after the share.
That's simply how it reduces variance. Each share's reward is averaged out over the 5Nd after it.
The pool hash rate for the last day is roughly 5.42PHs which means the 5Nd 'ramp' is roughly 4days 7hrs.
So your total reward for each share will
currently depend on blocks found after each share for "roughly 4days 7hrs"
But that's just dependent upon the pool hash rate, it's the 5Nd that decides the rewards.
So, e.g. if you stopped mining and the pool was 10.8PHs, it would take "half as long in time" to payout your remaining shares.
If you stopped mining and the pool was 2.7PHs, it would take "twice as long in time" to payout your remaining shares.
The amount of the payouts as you start and finish are not affected by the the 5Nd.
The 5Nd just says how long it takes.
The thing that affects the indivdual/daily/whatever you choose payouts is the pool luck.
The pool had very good luck just after you started, so your current total is of course actually higher than expected for such amount of mining vs the 5Nd
Looking at the payouts based on a short period is actually not all that different to saying:
"I rolled a 6 on this dice on the first roll, so I will always roll a 6"
The best example of that is 'red october' where for the full month the block luck was 50%
Anyone who only mined during october and no other time got paid shit. Oh well, that's how luck works.
Conversely, anyone who was mining from 19.5wks go (16-Aug) until now should be above the 100% mark ... and that includes mining in october.
--
Now for the two things that it would appear that a lot of miners have no idea about
1) You can't predict random block luck, the future random block luck is unaffected by previous random luck.
There is no statistical expected difference
at all chasing luck vs not moving around.
2) Pools all include factors in their luck that are not luck.
They like to hide this fact coz it makes them look bad.
Them's the breaks.
Those controllable factors are lowest at ckpool.org and kano.is vs every other non-SPV pool.