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Topic: Mt. Gox USD Last Week: Recap (Read 769 times)

legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1076
August 23, 2012, 01:55:20 PM
#1
Wow, it's been a volatile week (decade, to be exact). After laughing my head off because of my long position during the 5 US$ to 15 US$ spike, then panicking (but, thankfully, not panic selling) during the ensuing bloodshed, I've still made off with a 100% increase in a matter of months (take that, Pirate investors). So, what happened this week? Well, something certainly did happen, and I'll recap the points that are most important to me below.

Prices: During the rally, the price momentarily rose above that of last year before returning to below that of last year during the correction1.


Volume: Volume in USD for 2012-08-17 was the highest of record for Mt. Gox's USD market. With more exchange decentralization now, this is even more of an accomplishment. 2011-06-08 held the previous record, and retains second for this benchmark. 2012-08-19 achieved 5th place for that benchmark. Volume in BTC was also stunning, with 2012-08-19 winning a 3rd place finish. The January rally still makes up the bulk of those records, however.

Mt. Gox USD Volume in Currency
Source: http://bitcoincharts.com
DateVolume (USD)
2012-08-172930580.33
2011-06-082858820.38
2011-06-122451134.56
2011-06-102274786.40
2012-08-192170411.03

Mt. Gox USD Volume
Source: http://bitcoincharts.com
DateVolume (BTC)
2011-11-14382186.83
2012-02-14297572.02
2012-08-19238860.32
2012-02-08237943.12
2012-01-18226680.97

Volatility: Although the event brought volatility, the event was not as volatile as some others. The decade beginning 2012-08-13 brought six days with above average volatility, three days with average volatility, and one day with below average volatility2.

Conclusion: What doesn't kill you makes you stronger. Although I declared a bubble previously, I now retract that declaration. Luckily, only a correction seems to have occurred. But only time (or the manipulator) will tell.

Footnotes:
1 Based on open prices exactly 365 days apart, i.e. one day less than a year prior
2 Based on three equiprobable categories over two years of data.
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