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Topic: My instincts on the value of bitcoin from now to halving (Read 449 times)

full member
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(....)
Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?
For me, even before, I already thought that on every Bitcoin block halving, we do create a new all-time high, and the rally will always start before the day of the Bitcoin block halving - then we already experienced this, so for me, my target is already achieved.

Next for me is price discovery, since we have a new all-time high, we don't know where will be the resistance of the current cycle, no limitation. This time is crucial, high risk high reward.
Let's just assume that the OP was just making some instinctive predictions which other Investors has also been playing on.
The OP actually need to understand that on every halving
of a circle there is always a surge of ATH and the value would keep fluctuating until it reaches a period that actually can not be rightfully predicted before price flops for halving.
Good to you OP if your prediction was right depending on when you raised this motion. With the nature of the market today I don't know if we have batched in for halving already.
sr. member
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I guess no one actually holds the future price of bitcoin, whether this could be the last rise or not, we will only know once we get there. But to be honest, I still have high hopes that bitcoin will rise more even before halving. It could hit the price above $71k but probably lower than $75k, but if it will go beyond that, then it would be a lot better. In the end, what matters the most is how far this new all time high will be and we will know that when final bull run comes.

Bitcoin halving still creates a positive effect for its market that will lead to its bull run. The reason why it’s still crucial to reach an impressive price even before or after halving.
The current price is $65K after Bitcoin passed its ATH. It can be seen that the trend is no longer moving upwards to reach the crucial figure at $74K. The movement is always stagnant and ranges between $61K-$73K. It has not gone down once, and it doesn't want to increase again.
I think you are right that no one knows the exact price of Bitcoin in the future, but regarding the latest increase, I think it is too early to predict it because it has not yet entered the halving period where there will always be surprises there.
I think everyone also has high hopes that there will be an increase and there will be a renewable ATH for the second time in one period. Therefore, we have to be patient to wait for the time to enter the halving period, which will not be long, and we will see developments, whether the trend is improving or actually getting worse.
full member
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[
keep it to you mate because it is not instinct instead you just wanted to make yourself
believe that there will be another growth in the coming days(as you may be planning to sell
your bitcoins) but I am not looking so much now because I am contented in my position but
yeah lets be positive in every possible ways.
Do you mean you are contented with the current market price or do you mean to say being market sentimental would not make any different in the market value? So basically Investors are left with no choice than to accept whatever phases the market has to offer.
But if you ask me @rodskee I would say I personally is not contented with the market price because if wishes actually comes true in this Bitcoin investments I would say I will be contented with the market prices only when it hits over $100K at the current state of the market before bull-run. Lol

Indeed I want to make it big and quick in this Bitcoin industry but I do have no choice than hodl and accept whatever value the market has for me.
legendary
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I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.

Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?
It doesn't really matter if it's going to be the last up before the halving. The market has been moving from time to time and this halving has got a deadline for this upcoming month of April. So what's next? That's the question probably on your mind and halving isn't the last day of Bitcoin and it will continue to go on no matter what happens. What matters is the long term effect of the halving and not before it happens. That's why there is no need to stress yourself out if you're also waiting for the halving, so take your time and relax and let Bitcoin do itself and move on its own course.
I guess no one actually holds the future price of bitcoin, whether this could be the last rise or not, we will only know once we get there. But to be honest, I still have high hopes that bitcoin will rise more even before halving. It could hit the price above $71k but probably lower than $75k, but if it will go beyond that, then it would be a lot better. In the end, what matters the most is how far this new all time high will be and we will know that when final bull run comes.

Bitcoin halving still creates a positive effect for its market that will lead to its bull run. The reason why it’s still crucial to reach an impressive price even before or after halving.
sr. member
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There is no point in looking negative at this point because the Bitcoin market is very promising. With the way the price is currently moving, it is showing positive signs and has high growth prospects. Bitcoin's recovery from the pause, an indicator of its strength and the ongoing bull market momentum, that strengthens people's confidence and paves the way for even higher values.

While I cannot predict what will happen in the future with 100% accuracy, certain technical analysis predictions can be made based on observable market patterns. Okay. Currently, 73k is considered a very strong resistance level and if Bitcoin manages to break it, it is very likely that the currency's rate will rise to much higher levels than those already observed.
member
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Your instinct tells me differently, okey you might be able to say it's ATH before the last halving but my instinct for the next cycle is still very likely to repeat the same - ATH before halving.

Actually we don't know what happens in the future, now I'm just mentioning a new record where bitcoin ATH before halving, this is also another factor of course if there is no event that supports it then the price will not touch ATH now.

Even for the next cycle bitcoin will be much developed, what if the adoption has started to run for some institutions? This may happen again where ATH was before the halving.

Of course it's normal having different views towards bitcoin future prices based on our emotions.
I can only be worried towards your own emotions at your own instincts that we'd experience ATH before halving in this circle. I actually haven't gone through all times of bitcoin historical prices so I don't know if such event of ATH before halving has ever occured.
@BABY SHOES, If I'm not mistaking, isn't ATH determined after the bull run? Because If as you may assume, then certainly we'd encounter bull run before halving based on your lines.

Anything is possible to occur in this bitcoin industry anyways. We're only assuming until the future becomes and a past before we can be sure of the whole sceneros with all sorts of emotions we all have had along the lines.
hero member
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I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.

Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?

The market can move in any direction but all I can say is we shouldn't be investing in Bitcoin based on just our opinion without backing the opinion with facts. We shouldn't invest because our instincts is whispering to us that the market will move in this direction because that might not happen and if we had invested because we thought it was going to happen, we'll lose and we aren't investing to lose therefore we should always make our analysis based on the technical and fundamental analysis and not our instincts. If we don't know how to analyze the market, we can hold Bitcoin and not think about when the market is rising or falling because if we keep thinking about them, the market can deceive us and we'll make mistakes to sell when the market is about to rise.
Market is never been predictable on the first place and this is why you should really be quitting up yourself on having those kind of conclusions on trying out to tell on where it would be going. Never ever
make use of that instinct whenever you are really that dealing up with trading. Conclusive approach would really be just that making you desperate on the time that you would really be having
those kind of expectations and positivity that it could happen but due to the unpredictable behavior or manner of this market then there's no way that you could really be able to determine
on where things could really be actually going and this is something that you should really be putting up into your mind and your emotions that its not something that recommended for you to make use on.
Never ever make those kind of considerations because its never been that ideal on having that kind of approach. You should really be always backing up with those analysis on which this is something
that will really be  that ideal and something that would really be recommended on doing so.
full member
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I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.

Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?

The market can move in any direction but all I can say is we shouldn't be investing in Bitcoin based on just our opinion without backing the opinion with facts. We shouldn't invest because our instincts is whispering to us that the market will move in this direction because that might not happen and if we had invested because we thought it was going to happen, we'll lose and we aren't investing to lose therefore we should always make our analysis based on the technical and fundamental analysis and not our instincts. If we don't know how to analyze the market, we can hold Bitcoin and not think about when the market is rising or falling because if we keep thinking about them, the market can deceive us and we'll make mistakes to sell when the market is about to rise.
hero member
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Bitcoin has hit $72k and was going to $73,k when the price came down again so it has passed your prediction already. And the halving is just few weeks to go but even as that we can't say bitcoin will not hit $80k because the movement is surprising and unpredictable. Right now the price is coming down and it is $69k buy it will still go up before the halving and nobody k ow the place bitcoin will be before the halving. And my instinct predict that bitcoin will be within the range of $50k to $60k in the halving before it go up again after the halving.
Everyone want to see bitcoin doing well so that their investments will be on the rising side.
full member
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We are not yet sure that it's the last rise or there would be other rises before halving event but I'm quite sure that the price of Bitcoin will be very volatile during this halving event and there's chance to see many ups and downs during these days.

I'm think that during the halving event the price of Bitcoin would be over $70k, but it could be higher as well. I don't expect to see the price of Bitcoin below $70k during the halving event, however, I'm quite sure that there will be many ups and downs before the halving event.

I'm not disputing your own instincts as well as much as we're all just guestures towards the prices of bitcoin. I'm actually insinuating that there could be this last time continues rises but I can't actually predict the maximum volume before the halving.
But talking about how you expect bitcoin not to go below $70,000 is something I can argue about with how how bitcoin has been at this period of time and also considering how it has beaten the previous bull run ATH. I'm believing to see there'd be about a half slash of the total volume bitcoin has risen at its maximum volume within this period. So literally I'm assuming the halving would fall within the range of $35,00 to $45,000 just  at its halving.
I do not actually know which to believe right now, everyone kinds speculation and prediction maybe just as said but who knows,  nothing can be judged yet till it happens. We all want the best for ourselves, some people may want to see the price drop by half so they can accumulate more portions of Bitcoin while some aswell finds the satisfaction of the price of Bitcoin reaching their estimated price mark so they can make a lot of profits, it all depends but moreover whatever we tend to face we should make good use and take it to our own very advantage. Just to say, Bitcoin might certainly drop below it's current price but the whole truth is we expect many all time highs after the halving.
hero member
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It doesn't really matter if it's going to be the last up before the halving. The market has been moving from time to time and this halving has got a deadline for this upcoming month of April. So what's next? That's the question probably on your mind and halving isn't the last day of Bitcoin and it will continue to go on no matter what happens. What matters is the long term effect of the halving and not before it happens. That's why there is no need to stress yourself out if you're also waiting for the halving, so take your time and relax and let Bitcoin do itself and move on its own course.
Right. Bitcoin will definitely move following its own path, and so we don’t have to stress ourselves thinking if it will continue to move forward or not. After all, what we are actually after is to experience bull run at its best advantage so we can maximize our selling profits. So just enjoy the current flow of bitcoin.

While bitcoin halving could bring some positive effects for bitcoin, but the end goal is still to witness finally the bitcoin bull run, and definitely enjoy the profits that we only come to experience once there is bull run.
If you are for the long term, there's no need to put some worries on your mind on how much it is going to be at the end of April. Because that's really not going to conclude the bull run as it is going to be composed of several months. Yes, just enjoy the flow of the market and the upcoming month because it's the month of halving and with that, there will be more motion that we'd likely to see and also prepare your hearts because at this rate we'll see a lot of impacting news whether they'll be positive or not. We're starting seeing a bunch of them while having our hearts looking forward to just some positive outlook for this halving but as we know, these institutions can be much impactful through making rounds of FUD for everyone to sell cheaply as their response for those panicking hands.
hero member
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keep it to you mate because it is not instinct instead you just wanted to make yourself
believe that there will be another growth in the coming days(as you may be planning to sell
your bitcoins) but I am not looking so much now because I am contented in my position but
yeah lets be positive in every possible ways.
As long as you are sure to keep it well, I think that is also good and it doesn't matter to anyone because what is being saved is Bitcoin. Because Bitcoin could still experience a higher price increase than this year's ATH level, which could even happen before the halving or after the halving this year. So it really doesn't matter to anyone if they still want to keep it for greater profits because a positive and wise attitude will always be good for ourselves in the future.
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We are not yet sure that it's the last rise or there would be other rises before halving event but I'm quite sure that the price of Bitcoin will be very volatile during this halving event and there's chance to see many ups and downs during these days.

I'm think that during the halving event the price of Bitcoin would be over $70k, but it could be higher as well. I don't expect to see the price of Bitcoin below $70k during the halving event, however, I'm quite sure that there will be many ups and downs before the halving event.

I'm not disputing your own instincts as well as much as we're all just guestures towards the prices of bitcoin. I'm actually insinuating that there could be this last time continues rises but I can't actually predict the maximum volume before the halving.
But talking about how you expect bitcoin not to go below $70,000 is something I can argue about with how how bitcoin has been at this period of time and also considering how it has beaten the previous bull run ATH. I'm believing to see there'd be about a half slash of the total volume bitcoin has risen at its maximum volume within this period. So literally I'm assuming the halving would fall within the range of $35,00 to $45,000 just  at its halving.
legendary
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Price going up is not really that surprising so I think it will just keep going higher and higher. I get the idea that some people expect it to be not like that, but we are seeing it do well enough that we should not worry about it.

I hope that we could see changes here and there, and we could maybe make it work somehow, but if there is a drop then I am just going to buy more, that's about it. I get that you may fear it, and there is nothing wrong with that at all, you should fear it if your money depends on it, but you should not trade based on your fear neither. Just be aware that the drop is possibility and just focus on making as much money as you possibly could, that would make everything much better for you.
hero member
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I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.

Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?
It doesn't really matter if it's going to be the last up before the halving. The market has been moving from time to time and this halving has got a deadline for this upcoming month of April. So what's next? That's the question probably on your mind and halving isn't the last day of Bitcoin and it will continue to go on no matter what happens. What matters is the long term effect of the halving and not before it happens. That's why there is no need to stress yourself out if you're also waiting for the halving, so take your time and relax and let Bitcoin do itself and move on its own course.
Right. Bitcoin will definitely move following its own path, and so we don’t have to stress ourselves thinking if it will continue to move forward or not. After all, what we are actually after is to experience bull run at its best advantage so we can maximize our selling profits. So just enjoy the current flow of bitcoin.

While bitcoin halving could bring some positive effects for bitcoin, but the end goal is still to witness finally the bitcoin bull run, and definitely enjoy the profits that we only come to experience once there is bull run.
hero member
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I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.

Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?
It doesn't really matter if it's going to be the last up before the halving. The market has been moving from time to time and this halving has got a deadline for this upcoming month of April. So what's next? That's the question probably on your mind and halving isn't the last day of Bitcoin and it will continue to go on no matter what happens. What matters is the long term effect of the halving and not before it happens. That's why there is no need to stress yourself out if you're also waiting for the halving, so take your time and relax and let Bitcoin do itself and move on its own course.
full member
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I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.

Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?
keep it to you mate because it is not instinct instead you just wanted to make yourself
believe that there will be another growth in the coming days(as you may be planning to sell
your bitcoins) but I am not looking so much now because I am contented in my position but
yeah lets be positive in every possible ways.
legendary
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I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.

Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?

I agree with you, we will see a sharp increase in bitcoin price to welcome the halving. Bitcoin has recovered and at one point surpassed $71k, however in the past 2 days it is having a slight correction but it is a healthy correction in preparation for the next price increase. I believe that bitcoin will make new ATHs before and after the halving, and people continue to have more confidence in the impact of the halving causing bitcoin to increase in price.

When everyone is going crazy over the rising price of bitcoin and expecting higher increases is also the time when market makers dump the price of bitcoin. Market makers will reuse the same script they used when news broke of an ETF being approved.
hero member
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-snip-
Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?
You seem to be mistaking some words as you misused conscience and emotion here, they are used for different purposes in the market in relation to trader's psychology. You might probably want to use instinct in their stead, regardless, traders should be more practical than psychological/emotional about the market. I advise you to always talk to your trading chart and make adequate analysis to weigh the economic data/events surrounding the asset you are dealing with rather than resolving to your feelings alone, this has always put a lot of traders in trouble. Fine, our instinct can tell us something, but have you used the fundamental happenings around Bitcoin and its chart conditions to back it up? That's how a true trader should think, we shouldn't just act blindly based on how we feel.

As it is, I will not predict anything serious before halving but just follow what my trading chart tells me even as I manage my portfolio correctly. Yet, the only thing I can see for now since the market is even getting more unpredictable daily is the $67,629 of TrendMagic. The level has been so helpful in making me gain from Bitcoin these days. I easily get between 250-350 pips from it using only that level as a reference point, and with the use of the price action in addition.

However, at present, since the market is above the level, I am still bullish today until further notice.
legendary
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(....)
Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?
For me, even before, I already thought that on every Bitcoin block halving, we do create a new all-time high, and the rally will always start before the day of the Bitcoin block halving - then we already experienced this, so for me, my target is already achieved.

Next for me is price discovery, since we have a new all-time high, we don't know where will be the resistance of the current cycle, no limitation. This time is crucial, high risk high reward.

Thats pretty much where I stand also, the big run up to a new ATH was kind of unprecedented
and unexpected somewhat by me early on. The Bitcoin market from the halving and after passing
the ATH will be charting new territories - very exciting.

Instincts could somehow be true or not, but one thing is certain, if you do it mixed with good analysis, you will come up with a more reliable prediction. However, when it comes to bitcoin’s volatility, no one gets certain whether the current price would be the last rise, or there would be another rise that will appear in the market. But if we look at its previous bitcoin halving, there might be surprising highs and lows that will suddenly appear in the market, and all we have to do is to prepare for it and not fall from FUDs and FOMO that may lead to panic selling.

Panic selling will only happen to those who don't have a basic guideline or strategy as to why they should hold on and buy more when it goes down. Fundamentals and a combination of analysis will give you an idea of ​​how the market will move, beginners must know that so they can prepare themselves to face the market without panic. FUD and FOMO will only come in turns, this can be utilized well and don't get caught in between.

There may be a lot of shorting happening ATM with the expectations that there will be a panic sell
off around the halving. I know its not panic selling but if those short trades get realised it will
cause a further dip and could then lead to panic selling. Who know's?
legendary
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I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.

Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?

Everyone who's says that is just an emotional talker... hoping for a rise before the halving but writing it wil not reach another ATH before the halving just to get some reactions of people who will write there thinking it will reach some new ATH's to feel more comfort for themselves.

Just let it goes no one can predict when we lift off or go down...

to many BTC'ers are focussing on the noise which others are writing.

If one just knows BTC and what there holding is the main thing to have then the rest is just noise.

Focus and learning is the key.
hero member
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I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.

Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?
The halving is already very close so I speculate it is possible the price will remain close to where it is already, since I believe many traders will like to see the behavior of the market and how it reacts to the halving.

But while your prediction could be correct, I do not see why it is important for you, are you planning to make a big movement and buy bitcoin during that time or something? Because if that is not the case then why care about what it may happen during the next weeks, as we have almost all the bull market ahead of us.
hero member
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Since you mentioned that you made the statement based on your emotions, make it clear that you are speaking based on unflunce which may have come from recent price actions and I won't blame you for making that statement of having a stable price until after the halving, even though we can't give it a 100% go for that to happen but we can loudly say that we have overcome the worst stage of the market where there be heavy volatility

We may also likely see another all time price break out and that will come along the line when we happen to fine any chance for the market breakout before the main event.
hero member
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The price is regulary going up and down so its not a bad thing but we are getting opportunity to collect even more coins according to our target. Bitcoin once again touched the value of 71k$ but suddenly it returned back to 69k$ but it is not the last increase.

People have targeted the value of bitcoin to attain 100k$ and they will not sell their bitcoin before that value and if selling remains down then very soon we will see this targeted value. When bitcoin was down to 61k$ after 73k$ then people thought in similar way that Bull season become end but you can see that still we are in Bull season and once again bitcoin hit 70k$.
Expect that when the market turns bullish, price fluctuations become more visible as there are times that bitcoin price suddenly rise or make a sudden price decline. I guess that’s part of the trend having a bullish market. But as long as you keep your faith in hodling and expect that there will be more price increase that’s about to happen, then you will never be at loss. I can see that $70k or $71k is not the last price but we will see more price increase before bitcoin halving and bull run.
sr. member
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I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.

Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?
Instincts,intuition,inner voices,guts etc.. or whatsoever. These are the things that us normal people would really be having specially on dealing up into something on which we do know that it could bring out
those kind of assumptions basing up in what we do observe or been wary about those probabilities but of course you would really be still needing to get in line into those things which you could
really be able to do something like having some application of analysis.Its really that something that too risky if you do really find yourself on trusting up with those those intuition of yours but since
we are dealing with crypto market or with Bitcoins price then it could really shoot up or drop into those prices that we arent that expecting.

The key on here is that when it comes to halving period then we might be seeing prices which might be considered up to be the floor.
legendary
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Instincts could somehow be true or not, but one thing is certain, if you do it mixed with good analysis, you will come up with a more reliable prediction. However, when it comes to bitcoin’s volatility, no one gets certain whether the current price would be the last rise, or there would be another rise that will appear in the market. But if we look at its previous bitcoin halving, there might be surprising highs and lows that will suddenly appear in the market, and all we have to do is to prepare for it and not fall from FUDs and FOMO that may lead to panic selling.

Panic selling will only happen to those who don't have a basic guideline or strategy as to why they should hold on and buy more when it goes down. Fundamentals and a combination of analysis will give you an idea of ​​how the market will move, beginners must know that so they can prepare themselves to face the market without panic. FUD and FOMO will only come in turns, this can be utilized well and don't get caught in between.
sr. member
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I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.

Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?

Your thoughts may be correct, but the market is extremely unpredictable, and external factors may cause your analysis to fail. I know your prediction is what many other people will say about the market and what they expect before it halved. Since a dip to $63K, the price has been unable to break above $70K after a repulsive spike in the market, indicating a resistance at that point and a possible breakthrough at that point only after halving.
hero member
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Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?

Well I will not be surprised if it doesn't rise again to that level until halving. My own emotion is that the price have actually risen far above my expectations and market expectation for the history of bitcoin. However, it seems this halving is really going to change the fortune of the crypto market and making investors have lots of benefits with the way it broke previous ATH before halving because this is the first time I have noticed this happening. The reason for this is hodlers are really expecting much this season and they are hodling tight.
legendary
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From many analyst speculating that bitcoin price could get to $150k and while there are some people who are optimistic that price could get to $500k after halving but I don't see that coming though we can't give exactly what the price may falls out to be  but seeing that bitcoin has created new ATH even before halving is what kept many investor baffling and on suspend without going further to give the next out come what it could be. As holder just keep holding your investment without panicking because I know lots of people are panicking currently without knowing the next movement of bitcoin.
I could say that 150k is definitely possible because it is not "that" high, we are talking about another double and it will be around that level anyway, considering where we are right now and how we are expecting a bull run, having the price doubled wouldn't be all that weird. However, when we are talking about 500k, that is basically 7 times higher than what we have right now, doesn't mean that it's impossible, it just means that it wouldn't be all that simple and could make it a little harder to handle.

This is why I believe that the best thing to do in this case would be just having some trouble in the end. I believe that we could see it grow, and may make a lot of money for us but probably not 500k, that's just way too much.
sr. member
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Your instinct tells me differently, okey you might be able to say it's ATH before the last halving but my instinct for the next cycle is still very likely to repeat the same - ATH before halving.

Actually we don't know what happens in the future, now I'm just mentioning a new record where bitcoin ATH before halving, this is also another factor of course if there is no event that supports it then the price will not touch ATH now.

Even for the next cycle bitcoin will be much developed, what if the adoption has started to run for some institutions? This may happen again where ATH was before the halving.
STT
legendary
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Its been doing well over the last day up until about New York open on main markets and its plunged back to where we were.  Its still above a support level so could just be turbulence but you can never be totally sure it'll perform how you expect.  

If we maintain above 63k I'll stay positive in my outlook for BTC, thats the bulk of the move we have in the last month and about the lowest prices of mid March when it could have turned negative but reassumed the near highs.    Seems there is resistance about 71.8k and it'll be surer when we have beaten that level and have it as support only seen in the lows of BTC price action.

BTC might need to keep repeating despite the bright lights of the halvening being so close its not an immediately bullish situation.  Any price in this region is good overall.
copper member
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Until and unless we reach the halving, we will see many fluctuations in the price. And for me that’s normal. The price is fluctuating due to the miners and the traders. If more people are buying the coins, they are increasing the demand for Bitcoins and as bitcoins are limited in numbers, hence the price goes up. The reverse happens when they sell the coins and hence we are seeing so many up and downs in the price.
legendary
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Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?
We all must have emotions or speculation based on our own instincts, this is a sign that it is normal to think about the development of Bitcoin in the market, Everyone has their own right to assess the current and future price of Bitcoin, whether after the halving occurs or before.

Currently we can find various speculations on the internet, it is purely based on their own thoughts, just like you, so the question is....!
• Have you bought and stored Bitcoin, at what price did you buy it and how much do you have, don't answer, you just need to know that yourself.

It's useless to talk about halving or ATH, if we don't have Bitcoin for now, what's the benefit if we don't save before the value of Bitcoin is valued at $70k or $100k, lucky for anyone to have Bitcoin.
hero member
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Don't always rely on instinct without analysis, because sometimes it will only be misleading. Try analyzing how Bitcoin's movement worked from before the ATH to reaching the current price. Bitcoin will break through an ATH that we have never seen before, this is a bull market that many have been waiting for. The crypto market will also be influenced by fundamentals with some FUD and News continuing to come, manipulation always occurs and this is done repeatedly.
Instincts could somehow be true or not, but one thing is certain, if you do it mixed with good analysis, you will come up with a more reliable prediction. However, when it comes to bitcoin’s volatility, no one gets certain whether the current price would be the last rise, or there would be another rise that will appear in the market. But if we look at its previous bitcoin halving, there might be surprising highs and lows that will suddenly appear in the market, and all we have to do is to prepare for it and not fall from FUDs and FOMO that may lead to panic selling.
legendary
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At the time of making this post, on the 4hr TF the RSI shows overbought but then I've come to realize that in the market there's nothing like overbought or oversold in the true sense of it as price can stretch any length it wants. Though, from other confluences, I expect a little dip from this point at $70,300 to $67,800. If it breaks that level convincingly, we're likely hitting $52,200 region to embrace a value gap. If that doesn't hold, I'm scared to think of it but that would be price going down further to $43,800.

I assume that there are some technical analyzes that "suggest" such a scenario, but at the moment it seems quite unconvincing to me that Bitcoin can lose more than 40% of its value in less than a month, given that the OP mentions the halving as the deadline. It seems to me that there are a lot of people who completely underestimated the effects of spot ETFs, and now they are persistently trying to reverse the price to fill their bags.

If it is to be judged by yesterday, ETFs inflows are returning to levels from before with the new 5900 BTC, and that will hopefully keep the price above $60 000 regardless of the Grayscale dumps.
sr. member
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The price is regulary going up and down so its not a bad thing but we are getting opportunity to collect even more coins according to our target. Bitcoin once again touched the value of 71k$ but suddenly it returned back to 69k$ but it is not the last increase.

People have targeted the value of bitcoin to attain 100k$ and they will not sell their bitcoin before that value and if selling remains down then very soon we will see this targeted value. When bitcoin was down to 61k$ after 73k$ then people thought in similar way that Bull season become end but you can see that still we are in Bull season and once again bitcoin hit 70k$.
sr. member
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Well it had just hit a mark above $71,000 a day after you made this post.

I think we are still in the middle of the bull run. The hype has not yet died down. Thanks to the halving that will happen next month, there probably remains a high level of FOMO until now, following the approval and the interest in the spot ETF.

Despite the sell-off that happened days ago, the recover was very quick. There is still a strong demand. I can still see $75,000 as a probability before the halving.
legendary
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I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.

Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?
My personal opinion is that, since a new record is set this year, which is BTC reaching a new ATH even before halving, it is therefore possible for anything to happen in bitcoin. Nothing is so impossible and nothing is so possible. A little positive fundamental could possibly push the market higher than expected and vice versa. It is always nice to be acquainted with both the fundamental and technical analysis and then spice.it.up with psychological intelligence.
STT
legendary
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Its good action for the moment I see no reason to be negative especially from here.   Even today the price action was good, its pulled back and then risen from old support which helps to confirm it and prove we are easily capable of performing further gains.

We can never presume absolutely but its fair to set a reasonable gauge based on observation.  So 71k now would be good to prove ourselves able to beat the next possible resistance, that level is just the bottom of the top range we previously traded from March 10th to March 14th.
legendary
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Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?
At the time of making this post, on the 4hr TF the RSI shows overbought but then I've come to realize that in the market there's nothing like overbought or oversold in the true sense of it as price can stretch any length it wants. Though, from other confluences, I expect a little dip from this point at $70,300 to $67,800. If it breaks that level convincingly, we're likely hitting $52,200 region to embrace a value gap. If that doesn't hold, I'm scared to think of it but that would be price going down further to $43,800.
hero member
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I don't have any instinct as such at this moment because first of all I was never expecting Bitcoin to reach ATH before halving and i expected some huge market corrections before and during halving which didn't happen hence no use of going by my instincts and rather I would focus on market development around Bitcoin. Your Instinct may be right or wrong but don't depend on your Instinct and rather follow the market trend closely
legendary
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I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.

Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?

i have the same feeling as well. that it will actually dive sending u s back again to 50-something to reset that RSI to oversold before it goes back up again to more than 80k.

looking at the price while the halving is not yet here is awesome. but we know the tradfi institutions are also buying up so if they want people to panic, what they would do is dump the price. and then governments banning exchanges so those investors who hold will be selling.  but hey no fud.
legendary
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~snip~
Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?


Everyone has their own opinions on how things could unfold in the following months, but I don't know how to comment at all on what will happen from today until the halving, which will most likely be within the next month. Given that we have completely new players on the market (spot ETFs), major price changes are possible due to inflows and outflows of BTC from these funds.

Grayscale still has about 350 000 BTC in its possession and continues to sell them, and if a "black hole" happens again in the sense that other ETFs stop buying for a few days, a correction will occur again.
hero member
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Bitcoin remain a misery to many because of the nature of how its been unpredictable, even those that think they are manipulating aren't always right about it, we can not give the precise direction on which the market is going, but through our various speculations, we can arrived on a conclusion of the market season we are into, bitcoin will always remain a valuable investment to us and we cannot afford missing out on any of these opportunity in each of its season.
hero member
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Snip

Indeed this is an exceptional Bitcoin halving year, because Bitcoin price ATH always happens after halvings, but we've seen the first ATH happen before halving, so it hasn't followed the previous price pertens, and it's giving room for new pertens of predictions that we can't be certain about. Bitcoin price dump and pump before this coming halving is just happening fast and catching many analysts unaware, so I really don't want to worry myself about the guessing games, so far I'm an investor who's hodling on the long term, I'm looking ahead to when we'll reach the peak of bull run and we'll see what the new ATH price will be like.
From many analyst speculating that bitcoin price could get to $150k and while there are some people who are optimistic that price could get to $500k after halving but I don't see that coming though we can't give exactly what the price may falls out to be  but seeing that bitcoin has created new ATH even before halving is what kept many investor baffling and on suspend without going further to give the next out come what it could be. As holder just keep holding your investment without panicking because I know lots of people are panicking currently without knowing the next movement of bitcoin.
full member
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We can't give accurate results to what the market might break out within the next time frame or within the next month because prices do follows previous history but if I may guess correctly this year has happened to be different from history of bitcoin since we already gained another new ATH before even getting to the month of halving. This month still remaining about 5 days more so there is every possibility to breakout from 73k to 79k or could dropped below this price as a bitcoin holder we should only be optimistic about price and HODl tight.

Indeed this is an exceptional Bitcoin halving year, because Bitcoin price ATH always happens after halvings, but we've seen the first ATH happen before halving, so it hasn't followed the previous price pertens, and it's giving room for new pertens of predictions that we can't be certain about. Bitcoin price dump and pump before this coming halving is just happening fast and catching many analysts unaware, so I really don't want to worry myself about the guessing games, so far I'm an investor who's hodling on the long term, I'm looking ahead to when we'll reach the peak of bull run and we'll see what the new ATH price will be like.
hero member
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We can't give accurate results to what the market might break out within the next time frame or within the next month because prices do follows previous history but if I may guess correctly this year has happened to be different from history of bitcoin since we already gained another new ATH before even getting to the month of halving. This month still remaining about 5 days more so there is every possibility to breakout from 73k to 79k or could dropped below this price as a bitcoin holder we should only be optimistic about price and HODl tight.
sr. member
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I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
good luck to your conscience whispering you wrong prediction  Grin but indeed that it can happen both sides.

Quote
As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.
lets leave that ATH breaking because there are multiple times that we have broken that ATH.

Quote
Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?
your emotion is normal when you are too confident in bitcoin growth , better to less your expectation mate to lessen your failure as well.
legendary
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(....)
Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?
For me, even before, I already thought that on every Bitcoin block halving, we do create a new all-time high, and the rally will always start before the day of the Bitcoin block halving - then we already experienced this, so for me, my target is already achieved.

Next for me is price discovery, since we have a new all-time high, we don't know where will be the resistance of the current cycle, no limitation. This time is crucial, high risk high reward.
hero member
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I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.

Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?

Just like you and the rest of us here, we can make wild guesses as to what the price will be. Conversely, we can see that the dip to $62k will be the last leg down for us as we approach the block halving in the next couple of weeks. But if you are a investors, I don't think you need to be emotional, it's going from time to time to make guesses, but what if your prediction is wrong? So for me, just just back and see how the market goes naturally. If it goes up then good, if you are a short term trader, you might look for profits, just like when we see the price goes from January $40k to our last all time high of $73k. If you are a long term holder, I think you should the price increase shouldn't bother you at all, but just cheering that it will continue to go up next year and reach at least $120k or higher.
hero member
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I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
Yes, this hasn't happened before, seeing a new all time high before the halving is already huge. I mean this is a big psychology to us, and we might see it as a very good indicator pre-halving.

As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.

Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?
I think you don't need to be a rocket scientist to have that call. If it happens then good, there is no greater feeling that seeing the price broke the last all time high. But you have to look at the bigger picture. Prediction is that we will see 6 digits after the bull run. So that's what we should watch as it is also the first time that we will see this price breach in the young history of bitcoin market. It's good to have hunch from time to time, its just normal. But if your goal is to make big money, then you have to wait what will be for us this bull run after halving and next year.
legendary
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Don't always rely on instinct without analysis, because sometimes it will only be misleading. Try analyzing how Bitcoin's movement worked from before the ATH to reaching the current price. Bitcoin will break through an ATH that we have never seen before, this is a bull market that many have been waiting for. The crypto market will also be influenced by fundamentals with some FUD and News continuing to come, manipulation always occurs and this is done repeatedly.
hero member
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We are not yet sure that it's the last rise or there would be other rises before halving event but I'm quite sure that the price of Bitcoin will be very volatile during this halving event and there's chance to see many ups and downs during these days.

I'm think that during the halving event the price of Bitcoin would be over $70k, but it could be higher as well. I don't expect to see the price of Bitcoin below $70k during the halving event, however, I'm quite sure that there will be many ups and downs before the halving event.
member
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This topic belong to speculation board. Kindly move it there for it to receive the attention it deserves.  Reputation board as the name  implies, is for topics that involves breach of protocols, abuse of privileges and display of characters not appropriate for the forum by individuals. So move this to speculation board let's go have a conversation over there.

A willing soul to learning is expected to be flexible to be abided with instructions in ligns to his aims of learning.
@Odohu, thread moved to the respective speculation board as directed. So I hope to converse with you all and hopefully we'd arrive in a one accord productive goal.
legendary
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Today was a surprising day. I was expecting at the NY open for GBTC to continue dumping Bitcoin but the complete opposite happened. We started at $67K and we hit $71K at close. Barely any dips, a very strong bullish day. We are now waiting for the ETF flows to see if the flows were the cause of this huge price increase.

Other markets were down or flat like the NYSE and NASDAQ. So it seems that the whale buying all these bitcoins is back like a couple of weeks back. IF the flows show another +$500M day, then we will hit a new ATH sometime this week for sure. No idea if we hit $100K before halving which is in like 3 weeks. Not enough time.
sr. member
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This topic belong to speculation board. Kindly move it there for it to receive the attention it deserves.  Reputation board as the name  implies, is for topics that involves breach of protocols, abuse of privileges and display of characters not appropriate for the forum by individuals. So move this to speculation board let's go have a conversation over there.
member
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Eloncoin.org - Mars, here we come!
I don't mean to predict the market cap price but my conscience whispers to me that the current rise up again or bitcoin would be the last rise before halving.
As at the time of making this thread,  the price was $70K + which we're aware that it formally broke its ATH even when itsy not yet at the bull run before it depreciated again but my instincts is whispering me that this current up rise again would be the last rise before halving.

Do you have some psychological intake or some personal opinion in related to my emotion?
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