My little forecast for finances and economy 2024-2026

Parklane777

jr. member

Activity: 154

Merit: 1

Quote from: harapan on January 13, 2024, 04:34:57 PM

The time slowing down of growth, perhaps a mild recession, and an economy marked by lower interest rates and lower inflation.

These could all be predictions and there are so many insecurities and economical uncertainties to look out for in 2024.Although,the outlook of the 2024 economy is negative,to many people with too many wrong perceptions and predictions 60% individuals expecting a Stormy and turbulent season while 30% are expecting a stable or steady season.

This year quite stable but 2025 crash and ww3

harapan

sr. member

Activity: 1904

Merit: 306

The time slowing down of growth, perhaps a mild recession, and an economy marked by lower interest rates and lower inflation.

These could all be predictions and there are so many insecurities and economical uncertainties to look out for in 2024.Although,the outlook of the 2024 economy is negative,to many people with too many wrong perceptions and predictions 60% individuals expecting a Stormy and turbulent season while 30% are expecting a stable or steady season.

0t3p0t

sr. member

Activity: 1736

Merit: 357

Peace be with you!

Quote from: Yamane_Keto on January 11, 2024, 10:41:11 AM

Quote from: Parklane777 on January 07, 2024, 04:00:28 AM

About btc ETF case,well If it does the btc price would go to 100k+ in one day but there is no instututional capital funding inflow into "long and call positions" show's btc january super max price 45k and in very extreme case 50k, strong resitance.

It happened and we only went up a few thousand dollars.
Nothing can move the price from 40k to 100k within 24 hours, this is crazy.

Yeah $40k to $100k within 24 hours is impossible. Even with the approval just recently it does only move the price few thousands up. Bitcoin price as of today is at $43k from the $48k+ a couple of days ago so that is really not happening. I might be wrong but I am skeptical about that.

Parklane777

jr. member

Activity: 154

Merit: 1

Quote from: Husires on January 12, 2024, 09:01:16 AM

No one expects gold to collapse severely because it is a safe haven, nor because its market value exceeds $10 trillion, which is larger than the economies of many countries combined. The world has become self-sufficient in oil. It is true that the price is high, but resources and productivity are possible for most countries in the world, so the economy will always be predictable. .
Bitcoin will move strongly in recent months, and it will be impossible to predict its direction, especially for the next two years.

Im expecting otherwise i would't say so.

Husires

legendary

Activity: 1596

Merit: 1288

No one expects gold to collapse severely because it is a safe haven, nor because its market value exceeds $10 trillion, which is larger than the economies of many countries combined. The world has become self-sufficient in oil. It is true that the price is high, but resources and productivity are possible for most countries in the world, so the economy will always be predictable. .
Bitcoin will move strongly in recent months, and it will be impossible to predict its direction, especially for the next two years.

bluebit25

sr. member

Activity: 1708

Merit: 295

https://bitlist.co

Like this, some economic markets will not be a priority for investors, some areas are still struggling with the immediate political settlement. And I really think OP's inferences are unfounded, and like @pooya87 said, don't turn yourself into a bad fortune teller. I myself have some pretty ideal visions for the economy in the coming years, some sectors will fall into a state of stability, growth, or slight decline.

However, I think this is sincere and the rest is very baseless.

Quote from: Parklane777 on January 07, 2024, 04:00:28 AM

Over all: we are on fake out stage. Charts don't lie.

The current and future economy will undergo positive changes, so the world is under great pressure, and it is not destructive according to negative thinking. As a way of thinking, we have had long journeys running, and need to rest to move forward to greater developments.

Yamane_Keto

hero member

Activity: 630

Merit: 510

Quote from: Parklane777 on January 07, 2024, 04:00:28 AM

Gold, expecting correction soon 30-45% down.

Assuming the inverse relationship between gold and dollars, by the middle of this year interest rates will be stabilized/reduced, which means that investors will begin to get rid of the dollar, a weak dollar, a stronger gold, so how will this correction occur?
A 40% correction will not happen unless World War III breaks out.

Quote from: Parklane777 on January 07, 2024, 04:00:28 AM

About btc ETF case,well If it does the btc price would go to 100k+ in one day but there is no instututional capital funding inflow into "long and call positions" show's btc january super max price 45k and in very extreme case 50k, strong resitance.

It happened and we only went up a few thousand dollars.
Nothing can move the price from 40k to 100k within 24 hours, this is crazy.

Parklane777

jr. member

Activity: 154

Merit: 1

Quote from: MoonClubCom on January 11, 2024, 06:50:39 AM

Quote from: Parklane777 on January 07, 2024, 04:00:28 AM

Based on chart explained all as trader,Real Estate: we are at dead cat bounce will be sideways market in 2024
2025-2026 the 30% -50% crash from the current prices UK EU CANADA USA Au.

Gold, expecting correction soon 30-45% down.
Bonds,nothing special but 2026 Will be good to cash out bonds.
Btc: 2024 nothing special stable sideways Market.
Crude oil bull run year 2027-2028

Over all: we are on fake out stage. Charts don't lie.

About btc ETF case,well If it does the btc price would go to 100k+ in one day but there is no instututional capital funding inflow into "long and call positions" show's btc january super max price 45k and in very extreme case 50k, strong resitance.
And there is no orders ready to support price to go even to 70k so ETF approval most likely year 2025-2026 once they ready to approve i will see that before.

sideways market for BTC in 2024... "I'm a finance person" man, 2024 is ETF + halving, are you kidding me? BTC is going long way this year, everyone know that

Im not buying that the real ETF not happening this year.
Where is the funds i don't see them so i don't buy that story and something doesnt look right about this ETF the sec might call back.

MoonClubCom

newbie

Activity: 15

Merit: 2

Quote from: Parklane777 on January 07, 2024, 04:00:28 AM

Based on chart explained all as trader,Real Estate: we are at dead cat bounce will be sideways market in 2024
2025-2026 the 30% -50% crash from the current prices UK EU CANADA USA Au.

Gold, expecting correction soon 30-45% down.
Bonds,nothing special but 2026 Will be good to cash out bonds.
Btc: 2024 nothing special stable sideways Market.
Crude oil bull run year 2027-2028

Over all: we are on fake out stage. Charts don't lie.

About btc ETF case,well If it does the btc price would go to 100k+ in one day but there is no instututional capital funding inflow into "long and call positions" show's btc january super max price 45k and in very extreme case 50k, strong resitance.
And there is no orders ready to support price to go even to 70k so ETF approval most likely year 2025-2026 once they ready to approve i will see that before.

sideways market for BTC in 2024... "I'm a finance person" man, 2024 is ETF + halving, are you kidding me? BTC is going long way this year, everyone know that

pooya87

legendary

Activity: 3472

Merit: 10611

If you don't want to look like a fortune teller wannabe, you got to put a little more effort into your "speculation" about markets and bring some actual reasons and logic; instead of just throwing random predictions that are all outrageous.

I disagree with almost everything you said, my main reason is because the global economy is too volatile and unpredictable ever since 2022 and it has made speculating about any market extremely difficult.
But another reason is that some are just hard to believe like your massive gold market crash "fortune telling" when we know demand for gold is rapidly rising and a lot of countries (like China) have been buying tons of gold and are not about to slow down in the near future as the conflicts grow in the world.

kryptqnick

legendary

Activity: 3248

Merit: 1402

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These seem like speculations, based on nothing. The prognosis for the global economy for 2024 is mildly positive. Not a crisis, not a recession, mild growth in comparison with 2023. For now, there's no reason to believe that 2025-2026 will do worse than 2024, unless, of course, a major destabilizing event happens (like China's war against Taiwan, for example). As for Bitcoin, a bull market is widely expected in the second half of 2024 or in 2025, considering the upcoming halving event, and that Bitcoin just seems to have a bull market every 3 years or so. I really doubt that we'll see major global market crashes like those suggested by the op.

davis196

hero member

Activity: 3178

Merit: 937

Quote from: Parklane777 on January 10, 2024, 06:09:28 AM

Quote from: Fullbear2222 on January 10, 2024, 04:09:33 AM

Wow so do you teach that things ? Im interested your analysis

If guys like you would know then market would't work.
when everybody knows then nobody cant earn money.
Im full financial person i mean Im hardcore trader i do this for living and Im on it 10000000% that's why i know it.

Why do I have the feeling that Parklane777 and Fullbear2222 are one guy using two accounts? This seems suspicious.
Gold having a 35-40% price correction? Everybody knows that Gold is a safe heaven asset and it's price is going up in times of recession and uncertainty. Why do you think that the demand for gold is going to drop severely in the next year or two?
Crude oil having a bull run? This might happen only if the global crude oil market gets disrupted by a big war in the Middle East. Otherwise no country in the world wants an oil price above 100 USD. Not even Saudi Arabia.

Fortify

legendary

Activity: 2688

Merit: 1192

Quote from: Parklane777 on January 07, 2024, 04:00:28 AM

Based on chart explained all as trader,Real Estate: we are at dead cat bounce will be sideways market in 2024
2025-2026 the 30% -50% crash from the current prices UK EU CANADA USA Au.

Gold, expecting correction soon 30-45% down.
Bonds,nothing special but 2026 Will be good to cash out bonds.
Btc: 2024 nothing special stable sideways Market.
Crude oil bull run year 2027-2028

Over all: we are on fake out stage. Charts don't lie.

About btc ETF case,well If it does the btc price would go to 100k+ in one day but there is no instututional capital funding inflow into "long and call positions" show's btc january super max price 45k and in very extreme case 50k, strong resitance.
And there is no orders ready to support price to go even to 70k so ETF approval most likely year 2025-2026 once they ready to approve i will see that before.

Don't agree with your analysis of property, at the moment people are facing very high interest rates which has squeezed a lot of people who were overextended out of the market. That is causing a bit of a pull back on property prices, which is a rare scenario because it is trending up most years. Due to this spike in interest rates, it's causing a bit of a backlog of new buyers and people who don't reach the high threshold set by mortgage lenders. Once central bank rates start to subside, home builders will have more incentive to ramp up production and the housing market will start to thaw again. Not to mention that commercial investors in property were also feeling the crunch at higher rates and will face huge relief as mortgages come back down. I'm not sure you have what it takes to call yourself a trader, as most would only call themselves an expert in one or two of these areas.

Parklane777

jr. member

Activity: 154

Merit: 1

Quote from: electronicash on January 10, 2024, 02:23:14 PM

Quote from: Parklane777 on January 10, 2024, 06:09:28 AM

Quote from: Fullbear2222 on January 10, 2024, 04:09:33 AM

Wow so do you teach that things ? Im interested your analysis

If guys like you would know then market would't work.
when everybody knows then nobody cant earn money.
Im full financial person i mean Im hardcore trader i do this for living and Im on it 10000000% that's why i know it.

cool. with conviction i give you that. but Btc: 2024 nothing special stable sideways Market and 2025 - 26 is the year of ET approval?
sideways youre kidding. that's a long wait, we'll run out of patience if it's not approved this year.

2024 is a year of halving. halving + the ETF, this market will lead the price to continue up to $150k after 2024. i believe in the cycle which obviously had repeated several times in the past.

37k-57k ...well we got enough volatility up and down are you not happy ? You can short and long and make profit.
No no 150k definately not coming.

electronicash

legendary

Activity: 3234

Merit: 1055

Quote from: Parklane777 on January 10, 2024, 06:09:28 AM

Quote from: Fullbear2222 on January 10, 2024, 04:09:33 AM

Wow so do you teach that things ? Im interested your analysis

If guys like you would know then market would't work.
when everybody knows then nobody cant earn money.
Im full financial person i mean Im hardcore trader i do this for living and Im on it 10000000% that's why i know it.

cool. with conviction i give you that. but Btc: 2024 nothing special stable sideways Market and 2025 - 26 is the year of ET approval?
sideways youre kidding. that's a long wait, we'll run out of patience if it's not approved this year.

2024 is a year of halving. halving + the ETF, this market will lead the price to continue up to $150k after 2024. i believe in the cycle which obviously had repeated several times in the past.

Parklane777

jr. member

Activity: 154

Merit: 1

Quote from: Fullbear2222 on January 10, 2024, 04:09:33 AM

Wow so do you teach that things ? Im interested your analysis

If guys like you would know then market would't work.
when everybody knows then nobody cant earn money.
Im full financial person i mean Im hardcore trader i do this for living and Im on it 10000000% that's why i know it.

Fullbear2222

member

Activity: 479

Merit: 11

Wow so do you teach that things ? Im interested your analysis

Parklane777

jr. member

Activity: 154

Merit: 1

Based on chart explained all as trader,Real Estate: we are at dead cat bounce will be sideways market in 2024
2025-2026 the 30% -50% crash from the current prices UK EU CANADA USA Au.

Gold, expecting correction soon 30-45% down.
Bonds,nothing special but 2026 Will be good to cash out bonds.
Btc: 2024 nothing special stable sideways Market.
Crude oil bull run year 2027-2028

Over all: we are on fake out stage. Charts don't lie.

About btc ETF case,well If it does the btc price would go to 100k+ in one day but there is no instututional capital funding inflow into "long and call positions" show's btc january super max price 45k and in very extreme case 50k, strong resitance.
And there is no orders ready to support price to go even to 70k so ETF approval most likely year 2025-2026 once they ready to approve i will see that before.

Topic: My little forecast for finances and economy 2024-2026 (Read 184 times)