Then recently I thought bear market was over and we'd have sideways trading at 6000 for a few months before the bull market started again, even though long term charts showed that it should dip down to $4k for a bit to hit a bottom on par with the long term trends.
Now I know! Don't let your bullish bias assume the crashes can't possibly be as low as the long term charts suggest they will be.
Long term says we should have expected a drop under $5k, now we got it. And we should maybe expect a $3k to $6k price range for a while. And it may not even hit $10k again until a year from now, and that's ok. And we probably shouldn't expect the next exponential run to happen until 2021 ($100k+?) following the halving just as 2013 and 2017 were the last two boom years following 2012 and 2016 halvings.
But only a few of us will earn big money. Most of the people will panic and sell their coins at a big a loss. I think the price follows a trend and it will rise like it increased in the late 2017. People will also panic like many panicked in 2014-2017.