Alik Bakhshi
New Crimean War As you know, the Crimean War of 1853-1856, unleashed by Russia in order to seize the Black Sea coast up to the Bosphorus and Dardanelles, was lost to the coalition of Turkey, Great Britain and France. Russia tried in vain to implement this eternal strategic goal later, both in the First and Second World War, already under Stalin, when he sent out ultimatums to Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Turkey on the construction of Soviet military bases. Turkey, in contrast to the Baltic countries, for which everything ended with annexation, refused to Moscow in its impudent desire to seize the Bosporus and Dardanelles straits (1,2).
In this regard, the opinion of Friedrich Engels is interesting: “Russia is undoubtedly a country striving for conquest, and it was it for a whole century, until the great movement of 1789 gave birth to its formidable adversary, full of mighty vitality. We mean the European revolution, the explosive power of democratic ideas and the innate human desire for freedom. Since that time, there have actually been only two forces on the European continent: on the one hand, Russia and absolutism, on the other, revolution and democracy. Now the revolution seems suppressed, but it lives on and is feared as much as they have always feared. This is indicated by the horror that gripped the reaction at the news of the latest uprising in Milan. But if Russia takes possession of Turkey, its strength will almost double, and it will be stronger than the rest of Europe put together. Such a turn of events would be an indescribable misfortune for the cause of the revolution. The preservation of Turkish independence or the suppression of the annexationist plans of Russia in the event of the possible collapse of the Ottoman Empire is a matter of the greatest importance. In this case, the interests of revolutionary democracy and Britain go hand in hand. Neither one nor the other can allow the tsar to make Constantinople one of their capitals, and if things go to extremes, we will see that both of these forces will show the tsar equally decisive opposition. " (3).
Engels' words turned out to be prophetic, namely, there are still two forces: Russia and Putin's absolutism, on the one hand, and on the other, Western democracy. Just as then, Russia did not betray its annexationist plans. (4) The St. Petersburg hooligan spits on all international treaties and became insolent to the point that, for far-fetched reasons, in violation of international status, he closed the Kerch Strait and part of the Black Sea for half a year. By the way, Turkey can adequately take such a step - to block the Bosphorus, which will be more painful for the Russian economy than for Ukraine.
Again, due to the annexation of Crimea and the aggressive policy of Russia, on the eve of a new Crimean war between Russia and a coalition of the same countries, albeit with a significant addition - the United States. (5) I think Russia has every chance of being defeated, and probably with the same dire consequences: the breakdown of the financial system and the depreciation of the ruble. But for these reasons, the Soviet empire collapsed and one must think that thanks to Putin, as a result of the new Crimean War, the Russian Empire will finally collapse, and now it will finally collapse.
1. Turkey is a Turkic direction or is this a terrible word - pan-Turkism.
https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/9868.html2. "Turkish game" on the "Grand Chessboard" Mittelgame.
https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/27443.html3. Marx K., Engels F. Soch., 2nd ed., M., t. 9., p. 15, 22.
4. Russia is the most aggressive country.
https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/32531.html5. Will there be a war?
https://alikbahshi.livejournal.com/64608.html04/18/2021