I do not understand what you say. READ the whitepaper. I am quoting for you:
" After the initial distribution, the smart contract will mint a fixed number of Numeraire each week until the maximum is reached. By performing well in Numerai’s machine learning competition, data scientists will earn Numeraire on an ongoing basis. When data scientists are confident of the predictions they have made, they send Numeraire to the Numeraire Ethereum smart contract. The receiving contract will hold the data scientists’ Numeraire for some holding period t,with t suffciently large to judge performance on new data. After t has passed, Numerai will send a message to the contract with information on which data scientists’ predictions performed well on new data. Those data scientists whose predictions performed well earn dollars based on the auction mechanism, and their Numeraire are returned. Those data scientists whose predictions did not perform well on newdata risk having their Numeraire destroyed.
"
Clearly, participants get their Numeria back + Dollars, when they win the competition. your argument is wrong.
I am not even an ICO participant. Just trying to figure how big I should enter Nmr... Please help with facts not misconceptions.
Haha, now you just trolling.
Re-read what i said "7. If you think you will do well, you stake.
If you do well, you get your original NMR back plus you now get a few more $$$'s. If you don't do well, you lose your NMR and they get burned forever."
Wow, you staked 200 NMR and 'won'. You get your initial 200 NMR back and your extra $10 winnings. Best bet ever, risking to lose $20,000 to win $10.
-> Go all in mate, this one is pocket aces. Haha.
.
.
Sarcasm folks. Really think about this one.
I have every reason to hype, but i am telling it as it is because its truly insane.
I currently have 3 entries in the top 100 of this weeks numerai tournament. So i will be earning some NMR, just a matter of how many. Plus payout is 4 weeks after tournament so i have to wait.
I will even sell, for 50%, of current NMR value an entry of the expected winnings. That is how confident i am that price will fall later. I.e. i miss out on 50% value to get deal locked in now, any taker can easily double except for what the price will be 4 weeks from now.
Seriously anyone out there pm me, and we'll do a deal through a top escrow (blazed or OgNasty etc). The best +EV deal going. For example, position # 50 in the tournament pays out $3.15 + 12.61 NMR. I would sell an entry that will get you this position for 0.3btc. Example only. But my honest opinion is the price will drop and not hold, that's what logic says, but rarely is anything in crypto logical.
Good luck all.