Author

Topic: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015 (Read 3588 times)

sr. member
Activity: 433
Merit: 250
Any last minute votes Smiley Huh
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
i predict that it will be somewhere between 400 and 500 marks because the price looks like to be stable right now it would be great if it could go more than 500 though i dont think its possible
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
I think it'll be around $400, voted for 250$+
Remember last year, price crashed hard. I hop this time it won't be like that.

Yup Op's prediction is apart Just see that voting pool Its majority to 500$ and more only. Even Many predictor reported as Bitcoin will fall again If its fall also We will not see a fall like that in previous years. Hope for the price to go up. that only good for us.
hero member
Activity: 966
Merit: 507
my guess is that the price will either be $20 higher or lower than $500 at december 31. i think that's a more than reasonable price to end this year with. that means we have gained over 100% value in less than a year. not bad  Cool

Well, this poll was opened the first day of this 2015. Answering these days is more advantageous because this 2015 is about to end. All of you are disqualified!!!  Grin
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
my guess is that the price will either be $20 higher or lower than $500 at december 31. i think that's a more than reasonable price to end this year with. that means we have gained over 100% value in less than a year. not bad  Cool
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
i predict that the price will be over 500 dollars per bitcoin the price has a lot of potential to row now and in my opinion pretty soon the price will start booming again and will easily get over 500 dollar prank what means that i will make a lot of money
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 1038
For me the price will be below $400 after christmas ends.
The price now still stable until 25 after that the price will become low..

Short BTC much?
sr. member
Activity: 518
Merit: 254
★YoBit.Net★ 350+ Coins Exchange & Dice
For me the price will be below $400 after christmas ends.
The price now still stable until 25 after that the price will become low..
hero member
Activity: 661
Merit: 509
I think it'll be around $400, voted for 250$+
Remember last year, price crashed hard. I hop this time it won't be like that.
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
I would like to predict higher, but in December 31 won't go that high for now.
I think in 2016 will just go to 1000 dollars, we just need to wait what will happen.
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
I put 250+ because 500 is literally double than that. I think 250 is more realistic than 500 still but I'd wish there was a vote for 350, imo it's realistic as well, as it's near where the price used to be prior to the rise.
hero member
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
Live Stars - Adult Streaming Platform
I go for 250, since i expect it will not reach the 500 value. If it will a draw back to 400 is very likely.
Seeing the results i think most of us are very optimistic or they took a sip of whisky before voting.
sr. member
Activity: 433
Merit: 250
500$+
2016 becuse of halving will be a year of new ATH. Earlier we will see price movements up and down due to more and more adoption and propably due to ETF.

You're pretty damn close with your prediction seeing how it was $276 on January 8, 2015 and that we still have about 2 weeks left in December and are at $460.

What are your thoughts for 2016?
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 1001
The bitcoin price i think will be from $250+ and up to $500 but i don't think will be $500+ as there are only 12-13 days left.
sr. member
Activity: 433
Merit: 250
I'll be posting another Poll on Jan 1, 2016. Just wanted to bump to show others the results earlier in 2015.
legendary
Activity: 2660
Merit: 1074
$600

$5 rise by day, almost 2 months and some slow weekends and holidays
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1091
Voted $1000+.

With the way the market moved the past few weeks, I can say that this one is really going to the moon! With several attempts to take down the price and large amount of coins being shorted, still this bull run didn't seem to care and kept on surging forwards. With that kind of reaction to the markets, do you think the bulls will settle for only three digits by the end of this year? No, I don't think so.

With the current trend reaching $1000 is not that impossible. Especially when people continue with buying heavily as they do right now. I really hope we'll go over $400 in November.
uki
legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1000
cryptojunk bag holder
My prediction for December 31st, 2015: BTC at par with XAU.
You predict that gold will drop below $500? well that is a very brave prediction!
I would expect the lowest low of this bear in gold to be put in the three-digit territory, but even in the wildest dreams I wouldn't go below $850-900.
I doubt that Bitcoin can go that high in what reminds this year, then the only option is for gold to go that low. The sell-off in gold just started after last fed headlines, but we are still in the $1140 region.
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 1038
My prediction for December 31st, 2015: BTC at par with XAU.
legendary
Activity: 3542
Merit: 1352
Cashback 15%
Voted $1000+.

With the way the market moved the past few weeks, I can say that this one is really going to the moon! With several attempts to take down the price and large amount of coins being shorted, still this bull run didn't seem to care and kept on surging forwards. With that kind of reaction to the markets, do you think the bulls will settle for only three digits by the end of this year? No, I don't think so.
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
I will predict a conservative $400. Just a few days ago that would have sounded overly optimistic, now it sounds on par, haha.

I like the $100,000 predictions in the poll, I wish  Grin
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
Move On !!!!!!
Crap, for the first time I don't know what to put. Everything is really possible the way Bitcoin has moved the last few weeks.

But before this movement, if someone has offered me $500 at the new year's eve I would have taken it without even thinking, so I will say that I would be happy if we get to the stable $500.
sr. member
Activity: 369
Merit: 250
If the current trend of the past 2 weeks continues, then we may hit $500+ by the year's end, although I doubt that'll happen until 2016.

If you look at how Huobi is imitating MtGox then it might very well be possible. Huobi exchange price is $360 at the moment!! $30 higher than all other exchanges!! This is just insane.

Reminds me of 2013, when Gox was leading the other exchanges up into the stratosphere. Hopefully we don't run into any 'mechanical failures' this time around Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1427
If the current trend of the past 2 weeks continues, then we may hit $500+ by the year's end, although I doubt that'll happen until 2016.

If you look at how Huobi is imitating MtGox then it might very well be possible. Huobi exchange price is $360 at the moment!! $30 higher than all other exchanges!! This is just insane.
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1058
If the current trend of the past 2 weeks continues, then we may hit $500+ by the year's end, although I doubt that'll happen until 2016.

Yes with current price rally we can see $500 to $600 levels by the end of this year 2015. But new need more good news to push the bitcoin price further to make it possible with ease. But when we are considering the halving, at least $500 levels are very much possible.
sr. member
Activity: 369
Merit: 250
If the current trend of the past 2 weeks continues, then we may hit $500+ by the year's end, although I doubt that'll happen until 2016.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
Honest 80s business!
I'll just re-state what I said in the other thread: I think it will be $2.3k. We will have seen another bubble, but most likely have gone down quite a bit again. The bubble will be caused by the next block-reward halving everyone anticipates.
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 503
Legendary trader
My wild guess is $457 USD per coin so I voted 250+.
sr. member
Activity: 1246
Merit: 261
★ Investor | Trader | Promoter
Most bullish scenario, another spike to $450, and deflating toward low $200s, or 100s by the end of the year
double digits - realistic scenario
single digits or abandonment - bearish scenario
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1000
Want privacy? Use Monero!
full member
Activity: 215
Merit: 100
I see others are starting identical threads, so this needs bumping...
legendary
Activity: 1029
Merit: 1000
500$+
2016 becuse of halving will be a year of new ATH. Earlier we will see price movements up and down due to more and more adoption and propably due to ETF.
sr. member
Activity: 316
Merit: 250
$7,500+

I predict we are at the start of a new rocket ride because of all the despair here.
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1000
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
What will the price be at the end of the year?

I will bump this thread at the end of the year to display the % of whom were correct.


Here were the results from last year 2014: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=394762.0;topicseen

Less than $50   - 20 (4%)
$50+           -   5 (1%)
$100+   - 66 (13.3%)
$500+   - 68 (13.7%)
$1,000+   - 24 (4.8%)
$1,500+   - 23 (4.6%)
$2,000+   - 41 (8.2%)
$3,000+   - 70 (14.1%)
$5,000+   - 63 (12.7%)
$7,500+   - 26 (5.2%)
$10,000+   - 91 (18.3%)

Total Voters: 497



I'd like to see over $600 at the end of this year.
full member
Activity: 215
Merit: 100
140,000

We don't need that many respondents for a good sample.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
140,000
full member
Activity: 215
Merit: 100
Come on people, get your votes in. 43 isn't enough to get over statistical variability, particularly given how many categories there are in the poll.


How many votes is sufficient to get over statistical variability and produce a good sample?

It depends on your desired level of precision in the results. Pollsters usually go for at least 1,000 respondents, but we don't need such precision.
I would say that the 497 votes achieved last time is plenty.
Less than 200 would be dodgy.
member
Activity: 66
Merit: 10
Come on people, get your votes in. 43 isn't enough to get over statistical variability, particularly given how many categories there are in the poll.


How many votes is sufficient to get over statistical variability and produce a good sample?
sr. member
Activity: 433
Merit: 250
Come on people, get your votes in. 43 isn't enough to get over statistical variability, particularly given how many categories there are in the poll.


I hope we get more than the 497 votes last year.
full member
Activity: 215
Merit: 100
Come on people, get your votes in. 43 isn't enough to get over statistical variability, particularly given how many categories there are in the poll.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1000
Here's to hoping for $1k+, but I voted $500+.
legendary
Activity: 3192
Merit: 1348
This is all subjective and nobody actually knows what's going to happen.
I can't predict but I'm hoping for $1k+
sr. member
Activity: 315
Merit: 250
Cmon let's break 1k this year!
Heck, at this point I'd be happy with $500 by the end of the year :/

I think there will be some recovery this year, so I'm guessing between $500 and $600.
legendary
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1000
Well hello there!
Cmon let's break 1k this year!
Heck, at this point I'd be happy with $500 by the end of the year :/
full member
Activity: 215
Merit: 100
I reckon 49 usd, so I voted less than 50.
here cometh the pain.
full member
Activity: 882
Merit: 102
PayAccept - Worldwide payments accepted in seconds
exchange the plus for minus and i can vote.
I want to vote 'less than 100$' but that option is not there.
Thread is obviously too bulish.
The poll as it stands now is useless as only bulls can vote in a meaningful way.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
I'd like to think it will be in excess of $1,000+ but this may just be wishful thinking, but I'll stick with that officially.
also wanted this. And likewise, difficult imagine.
But who knows?
sr. member
Activity: 433
Merit: 250
Cmon let's break 1k this year!
sr. member
Activity: 324
Merit: 250
I'd like to think it will be in excess of $1,000+ but this may just be wishful thinking, but I'll stick with that officially.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
The 4th industrial revolution!
What will the price be at the end of the year?

I will bump this thread at the end of the year to display the % of whom were correct.


Here were the results from last year 2014: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=394762.0;topicseen

Less than $50   - 20 (4%)
$50+           -   5 (1%)
$100+   - 66 (13.3%)
$500+   - 68 (13.7%)
$1,000+   - 24 (4.8%)
$1,500+   - 23 (4.6%)
$2,000+   - 41 (8.2%)
$3,000+   - 70 (14.1%)
$5,000+   - 63 (12.7%)
$7,500+   - 26 (5.2%)
$10,000+   - 91 (18.3%)

Total Voters: 497




$157.23
sr. member
Activity: 433
Merit: 250
What will the price be at the end of the year?

I will bump this thread at the end of the year to display the % of whom were correct.


Here were the results from last year 2014: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=394762.0;topicseen

Less than $50   - 20 (4%)
$50+           -   5 (1%)
$100+   - 66 (13.3%)
$500+   - 68 (13.7%)
$1,000+   - 24 (4.8%)
$1,500+   - 23 (4.6%)
$2,000+   - 41 (8.2%)
$3,000+   - 70 (14.1%)
$5,000+   - 63 (12.7%)
$7,500+   - 26 (5.2%)
$10,000+   - 91 (18.3%)

Total Voters: 497

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