For me, this is bullish right now. No fake breakouts.
If you take a look, the recent pump started on the last week of this month, few days before the monthly close.
Take a look at the previous 2 months, the monthly close of months of May and June, few days before the monthly candle close, we saw hard dumps.
May closed below $40,000, and on the month of June, $40,000 acting a resistance and $30,000 is the support.
June, is pure sideways, $30,000 - $40,000. And look at now, we are sitting around $40,000. Closing above $40,000 on the monthly candle is very bullish.
I agree with you, Bitcoin is currently holding in the $40,000 USD price range and trying to keep going up. What makes me believe Bitcoin will continue its bullish trend is that Bitcoin trading volume continues to grow (price goes up and trading volume goes up), so this is a real pump and indicates a reversal.
It's different if the price of Bitcoin goes up but the trading volume doesn't increase so much, then it's just a fake pump.