Topic: Patterns to the halving Changed | New investors fate? (Read 118 times)

The previous ATH had indeed been reached if measured at the price height of $69K. The recent achievement of the ATH price has indeed missed many estimates of the speculation made. The next wait is the achievement of a new high price and for me no investor is too late because the new ATH price is higher than the previous ATH. What is meant by not being late is that they can still make bigger profits later.
This is just a matter of choice and opportunity. If they want to do it, it's never too late.

We do know that there's no assurance when it comes to future events or happenings but even though this one surely rhymes and this is where these new investors would really be looking at.
Patterns? We can draw patterns but having that kind of precision then it cant be known but at least we do have basis on where prices could actually go. The fate of new investors?
For sure there would really be those people who would really just simply go to the flow and there are ones who would really be that skeptical on doing such move or decisions.

If you are someone whose really that new into this market and doesnt have an idea on whats going on then it wouldnt really be that bad that you would really be having those kind of research
on things on which we do know that it would really be something that will beneficial but make yourself that wary that there's no such thing about assurance or sure about price movements.

Halving pattern doesn't changed, we are to just notice and observe this that we may begin with the bullrun before or after the halving is achieved, this also tells us more that we should expect a lot underway to come after this year halving and next year, which could also be interpretated that bitcoin is going to get to its all time highs some and we are going more bigger this time because its a clear indication that we are likely not going to have anything lesser than $150,000 at this bullrun.

To be honest, the fate of new investors, especially those who missed out on thinking that the myths of the cycle which I always warn about would forever repeat itself. The only cycle in season which I recognise in Bitcoin is the bearish and the bullish seasons, and this doesn't necessarily have to follow the history exactly as it was. Now, I believe Bitcoin is still promising to move forward but the late investors should be so careful since we do not certainly know what it will do. And if Bitcoin would rise at all, it may not surpass $130,000 until the next bearish season. This means that they can only make barely x2 of their investment this bullish season.

That is my grave concern now. Bitcoin has done what it has not done since it was created, so anything absurd could happen. This calls for caution by everyone, still, according to the market principle, a breach of the all-time high and also a close above it, especially the monthly chart close above the level could mean further bullish movements. So, let's wait and see as we let our chart guide us on the next steps to take and not be a blind follower like most people.

At this point, I would advise you to remain neutral but expect further bullish impacts since the long-term trend of Bitcoin is bullish. Nonetheless, you should get ready for some other huge bearish corrections, anything can happen. Above all, as I advised above, be more speculative rather than accepting any condition as it comes.

Corrections allow you to accumulate - especially if you succeed in placing a buy order at the lowest price in the down cycle. I saw the price drop $10K in the 5 hours since $69K was hit - but gradually started to recover above $63K. Anyone who sold at a loss will certainly regret their decision - now recovery can be expected.

Every investor certainly expects returns – each has a target, but each strategy is never the same. You may be more likely to hold rather than sell when you get a price increase of a few percent - while others do the opposite. It doesn't matter if the price is corrected - even if the pattern changes, the big potential in the future especially after the halving still seems real to hope for.

As you can see now, the market went through a deep correction where there was a lot of panic going on and people dumped their bitcoins after the price touched $69k. No half-heartedly, the price of bitcoin fell quickly to $59k which in turn caused market capitalization to drop drastically. Not only bitcoin, but the impact was really felt by altcoins which also experienced a significant correction.

I think the pattern is still the same and has not changed because the price has not risen above $69k. Even if the pattern changes, then of course there is still great hope for a higher ATH. We'll probably get to $100k sooner than most predictions, so investors certainly still have hope for returns.

Exactly, at least six digits should be the bare minimum before we should sell or take profits. And I don't think this is the first time that we have seen this pattern? maybe I'm wrong. But what can we do? if the pattern change like getting a new all time high before the halving then it's good to us.

Anyhow, the price is now on a decline, still high but -5% in the last 24 hours. This could be the indication that others have said or predicted, that the price will go down massively for one leg down before the halving and then go up again post-halving for the bull run that we are expecting.

It will make them even more exciting because they see the change that instead of there's a need to wait for a year, the change and impact of it happened before the halving. ETFs are the game changer now and they have added more capitalization to Bitcoin and as well as the demand which even helped it out that we've seen these high prices again without the halving yet.

Typically, it goes 3rd-4th quarter but that makes sense if we are this early. It's possible that by next year, we'd see the crash on late 2026. That's possible but you're right, only time will tell and all of these changes that we're seeing are unexpected.

OP, yes this time the market is running over half a year ahead of itself. Normally it takes roughly half a year after the halving until the ATH is broken, but now the ATH was reached 1.5 months before the halving.

The reason, of course, is the ETFs. A completely new Bitcoin market has opened up and billions of dollars has been flowing in through it. That always raises hype for the spot market participants. Also I think it should be expected, as more and more people get wise to Bitcoin's market cycles, that each market cycle more people front run the halving.


Maybe things will progress as normal, but with the bull peak coming at the end of 2024, or early 2025, instead of at the end of 2025. Or maybe it's a really long bull market that will last until the second half of 2025. Or maybe things will cool down and stay in the like $55k-$75k range for a few months until retail starts hitting the market. Who knows. We can't predict the future.

My guess would be to expect a fairly typical timeline - same pattern, just came early thanks to the ETFs. So now I'd expect a bull peak in the next 12 months, and 2025 to be the crash year instead of 2026. But time will tell.

For me bitcoin is relatively expensive for late investors right now but then there is always a possibility to make profits along the line if the price after bought is rising and not slumping, and the proportion amount of bitcoin and investors holds also contributes to the amount in profit's, so fpr example if those that bought bitcoin at $60k+ have the ability to hold they bitcoin till the price reaches the the predicted price of $170,000 and that will place everyone at profits.

Well the price failed to to touch all time high record before the current correction in the market and I think the market appetit is going to remain stable until the halven happens.

There's a general pattern that with halvening comes a bull run, but the details are always evolving. The previous bull run had a double top for the first time. Could we say that it's now a pattern and that this cycle will have a double top too? Obviously not.

I think touching the ATH is a combination of investors fulfilling the pattern faster due to being aware of it and the bullish moment of ETF launches. And the first factor could mean that the cycle will be faster and the peak of this market could happen in the end of this year or early in the next year, rather than the end of the next year.

Our target is not the all-time-high only but also six digits. If bitcoin can go six digit, that is still profit if compared to the price now. I am expecting bitcoin to get to at least $100000, but I guess all-time-high would be around $170000 or more. If bitcoin get to such high price, that means profit is still the fate of late investors, although they can not make money like those that have invested when bitcoin was below $20000.

Bitcoin reaching its new ATH after  Nov 2021. This was an after the halving events in 2020. That’s like a year after before it creates this ATH and later drops.
It’s a trend that checking through the history of the event, it’s been maintained but, there seems to be a huge change now.

Bitcoin is weeks away from its once in 4years halving and with that yet to begin, the market and price have been ever going towards a bullish trend. This is amazing as, people’s portfolio, accounts are getting bigger which is, what every investor would want.

My question is: what's the fate of late investors?
Does this new price or trend that seems to evade the usual of a bullish trend after the halving affect anything significantly?

People that have been in the system are already used to a pattern of arrangement where, after the halving  comes a bull market that would produce an ATH and then it later drops for the bears. With this pattern gradually looking changed, probably due to more investors coming into the industry, where does that keeps new investors. It brings to mind the possibility of having to buy at a high and then watch it drop but, I wouldn’t want to entertain such idea.
I would like to believe and preach that, the new pattern is as a result of more and more investors coming into the industry with a possibility of tacking advantage of a known pattern and as a result, they are gradually shifting what is known to create a new unpredictable pattern that could soon be the order of the market.

What are we to expect in this market after now?