Thanks for the clarification.
Maybe you find interesting - the chances of that second block being found in 23 seconds or less is about 4%, higher than intuition may lead you to believe:
0:06.31 1.04620%
0:13.28 2.18970%
0:20.99 3.43810%
0:29.51 4.79926%
0:38.92 6.28127%
0:49.32 7.89232%
1:00.82 9.64061%
1:13.53 11.53420%
1:27.57 13.58080%
1:43.09 15.78761%
2:00.25 18.16103%
2:19.20 20.70631%
2:40.15 23.42731%
3:03.31 26.32598%
3:28.90 29.40204%
3:57.18 32.65242%
4:28.43 36.07085%
5:02.98 39.64731%
5:41.15 43.36763%
6:23.34 47.21302%
7:09.97 51.15983%
What is less likely is a transaction with only 0.0001 fee being included in the next block - based on blockspace competition with other fee-paying transactions, that could have taken a long time. Miners like me today.