Author

Topic: POLL - how long before the next bubble to 1000$ and beyond? (Read 3885 times)

member
Activity: 80
Merit: 10
Lead developer
6 months and 1 week.

That was actually very accurate Smiley.
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000
Next major run up will occur between mid sept and early December 2013.

nice call

Indeed.
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
Next major run up will occur between mid sept and early December 2013.

nice call
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1019
Buzz App - Spin wheel, farm rewards
I hear that. I'm still can not fathom the highs and strength on the usd/btc market recently. I would not have guessed we'd be so close to 1000 at this point in time even when I was being optimistic, even though I'm a long-term bull.
hero member
Activity: 615
Merit: 500
i'll take a swing:

the rest of 2013 and 2014 will be much like 2012 (bitcoin only went up 186% in 2012).. mostly slow and steady increases.  some time around 2015/2016 we will see another parabolic move which will take us >$1000 and most likely > the price of gold per oz.  at that point the media headlines will be insane.  "bitcoin now more valuable than gold" and you'll have people debating bitcoin vs gold.  a rapper will rap about bitcoin/SR.  the bubble will probably crash to less than the price of gold, and consolidate either around $1000 or the price of gold per oz.

over the next 2-3 years:
- bitcoin economy continues growth from influx of VCs + entrepreneurs
- more exchanges and decentralized exchanges: Buttercoin, Coinsigner, Bex.io, Ripple, RoboCoin ( bitcoin ATM) all try to solve exchange problems
- killer apps: could get integrated into browsers
- could see bitcoin start to get used more on phones like Mpesa in Kenya
- larger companies start to use bitcoin to reduce costs or just accept bitcoin as payment
- another Cyprus
- in 2016 the block reward halves again
- Winklevoss ETF could get approved and hedge funds start buying in as a way to legally invest in System D
- bitcoin will actually be increasingly used for remittances (still needs a lot of work to help the non tech savvy in 3rd world countries)
- people bet on the 2016 election with bitcoin, especially since intrade is down and that was the go-to election betting spot (hopefully Predictious can gain some traction)
- Walter White discovers SR and solves his distribution problems

this storm is brewing, cant wait to watch it play out Smiley

and i thought i was being slightly too bullish
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
Annuit cœptis humanae libertas
In a few years time when 1.35 billion Chinese realize there are only enough circulating bitcoins for each Chinese citizen to own 0.004 BTC, they'll make a Chinese alt coin.

As in, Chinacoin (CNC)? Grin

And 400.000 satoshi on average per person seems like enough...
hero member
Activity: 692
Merit: 500
i'll take a swing:

the rest of 2013 and 2014 will be much like 2012 (bitcoin only went up 186% in 2012).. mostly slow and steady increases.  some time around 2015/2016 we will see another parabolic move which will take us >$1000 and most likely > the price of gold per oz.  at that point the media headlines will be insane.  "bitcoin now more valuable than gold" and you'll have people debating bitcoin vs gold.  a rapper will rap about bitcoin/SR.  the bubble will probably crash to less than the price of gold, and consolidate either around $1000 or the price of gold per oz.

over the next 2-3 years:
- bitcoin economy continues growth from influx of VCs + entrepreneurs
- more exchanges and decentralized exchanges: Buttercoin, Coinsigner, Bex.io, Ripple, RoboCoin ( bitcoin ATM) all try to solve exchange problems
- killer apps: could get integrated into browsers
- could see bitcoin start to get used more on phones like Mpesa in Kenya
- larger companies start to use bitcoin to reduce costs or just accept bitcoin as payment
- another Cyprus
- in 2016 the block reward halves again
- Winklevoss ETF could get approved and hedge funds start buying in as a way to legally invest in System D
- bitcoin will actually be increasingly used for remittances (still needs a lot of work to help the non tech savvy in 3rd world countries)
- people bet on the 2016 election with bitcoin, especially since intrade is down and that was the go-to election betting spot (hopefully Predictious can gain some traction)
- Walter White discovers SR and solves his distribution problems

this storm is brewing, cant wait to watch it play out Smiley


nice one, i will read it every night to dream better...

you forgot:
-china: 100 mio chinese middle class will wake up for btc
(take milk as a blueprint: the milk and butter prices in germany are rising because of the evergrowing chinese appetite for milk.  Cheesy)

In a few years time when 1.35 billion Chinese realize there are only enough circulating bitcoins for each Chinese citizen to own 0.004 BTC, they'll make a Chinese alt coin.
hero member
Activity: 547
Merit: 531
First bits: 12good
2015 it is  Grin
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1024
Poll would be better if it used fixed date points instead of adding time spans to the current date.

Calling the next bubble in spring 2015.

I hope infrastructure development can keep up with adoption rate.


ya.ya.yo!
donator
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
Let's wait until Soros mentions bitcoin Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
What sinner said, in a big way.

To be honest, if all of sinner's above points come together, $1000 could be the new $20. $10k is the real milestone, if there have to be milestones with bitcoin.
No no no, you've got it all wrong.  $10k could be the new $20.  $100k is the REAL milestone!
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
i'll take a swing:

the rest of 2013 and 2014 will be much like 2012 (bitcoin only went up 186% in 2012).. mostly slow and steady increases.  some time around 2015/2016 we will see another parabolic move which will take us >$1000 and most likely > the price of gold per oz.  at that point the media headlines will be insane.  "bitcoin now more valuable than gold" and you'll have people debating bitcoin vs gold.  a rapper will rap about bitcoin/SR.  the bubble will probably crash to less than the price of gold, and consolidate either around $1000 or the price of gold per oz.

over the next 2-3 years:
- bitcoin economy continues growth from influx of VCs + entrepreneurs
- more exchanges and decentralized exchanges: Buttercoin, Coinsigner, Bex.io, Ripple, RoboCoin ( bitcoin ATM) all try to solve exchange problems
- killer apps: could get integrated into browsers
- could see bitcoin start to get used more on phones like Mpesa in Kenya
- larger companies start to use bitcoin to reduce costs or just accept bitcoin as payment
- another Cyprus
- in 2016 the block reward halves again
- Winklevoss ETF could get approved and hedge funds start buying in as a way to legally invest in System D
- bitcoin will actually be increasingly used for remittances (still needs a lot of work to help the non tech savvy in 3rd world countries)
- people bet on the 2016 election with bitcoin, especially since intrade is down and that was the go-to election betting spot (hopefully Predictious can gain some traction)
- Walter White discovers SR and solves his distribution problems

this storm is brewing, cant wait to watch it play out Smiley


nice one, i will read it every night to dream better...

you forgot:
-china: 100 mio chinese middle class will wake up for btc
(take milk as a blueprint: the milk and butter prices in germany are rising because of the evergrowing chinese appetite for milk.  Cheesy)
sr. member
Activity: 278
Merit: 251
a rapper will rap about bitcoin/SR.

YT Cracker is already up in that shizzle with "Bitcoin Baron"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZfg1Gtcg08
hero member
Activity: 615
Merit: 500
Cheesy
season 5 finale?

i actually think he dies in the finale.  i meant SR/BMR will continue to grow Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 516
Merit: 283
- Walter White discovers SR and solves his distribution problems

Cheesy

season 5 finale?
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
Annuit cœptis humanae libertas
What sinner said, in a big way.

To be honest, if all of sinner's above points come together, $1000 could be the new $20. $10k is the real milestone, if there have to be milestones with bitcoin.
hero member
Activity: 615
Merit: 500
i'll take a swing:

the rest of 2013 and 2014 will be much like 2012 (bitcoin only went up 186% in 2012).. mostly slow and steady increases.  some time around 2015/2016 we will see another parabolic move which will take us >$1000 and most likely > the price of gold per oz.  at that point the media headlines will be insane.  "bitcoin now more valuable than gold" and you'll have people debating bitcoin vs gold.  a rapper will rap about bitcoin/SR.  the bubble will probably crash to less than the price of gold, and consolidate either around $1000 or the price of gold per oz.

over the next 2-3 years:
- bitcoin economy continues growth from influx of VCs + entrepreneurs
- more exchanges and decentralized exchanges: Buttercoin, Coinsigner, Bex.io, Ripple, RoboCoin ( bitcoin ATM) all try to solve exchange problems
- killer apps: could get integrated into browsers
- could see bitcoin start to get used more on phones like Mpesa in Kenya
- larger companies start to use bitcoin to reduce costs or just accept bitcoin as payment
- another Cyprus
- in 2016 the block reward halves again
- Winklevoss ETF could get approved and hedge funds start buying in as a way to legally invest in System D
- bitcoin will actually be increasingly used for remittances (still needs a lot of work to help the non tech savvy in 3rd world countries)
- people bet on the 2016 election with bitcoin, especially since intrade is down and that was the go-to election betting spot (hopefully Predictious can gain some traction)
- Walter White discovers SR and solves his distribution problems

this storm is brewing, cant wait to watch it play out Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
I voted 6 months to a year as a conservative vote but really, it could happen tomorrow.  I learned that after investing in BTC just a couple of weeks before the huge spike.  Of course, we bought as it went up.  Oh well.  We have not lost anything if we average it all out but it would be nice to get those 100% returns in a week again. Wink
legendary
Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
₪``Campaign Manager´´₪
6 months next bubble ! Shocked
no... within 6 months well have hit bottom for sure, and will be building up toward next bubble.

So that recent $50.01 wasn't the bottom?
Or you think maybe it will bounce around 100-130 for six months...?

I am still on the "slow decline, buy in on the way down (or in a couple of months)" plan.  Guess we'll see just how much history repeats itself...
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1006
100 satoshis -> ISO code
6 months next bubble ! Shocked
no... within 6 months well have hit bottom for sure, and will be building up toward next bubble.

So that recent $50.01 wasn't the bottom?
Or you think maybe it will bounce around 100-130 for six months...?
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1038
Trusted Bitcoiner
6 months next bubble ! Shocked
no... within 6 months well have hit bottom for sure, and will be building up toward next bubble.
sr. member
Activity: 1078
Merit: 254
honestly i don't care when....I hoard coins like a crackhead hordes smack....what interests me is wether the rise will be in the 500-1000 or the 2000+ range. remember id say the uptrend started at 13.5 and we got al the way to 266. so 2000+ should be possible if we experience a similar uprise
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
I see two main possibilities:

1. If there more terrible global financial news BTC will explode up and continue on with it's symbolic Cypress march.
2. Without #1 (or something akin to it) BTC will probably have another wave up in the next 6 months, maybe much sooner.

We have to consider that its global attention is growing and if and when the limited float falls behind the demand, things will get violent in an upward manner.
Consider one large hedge fund putting in 10-100 million dollars, and then another, and then another.

We are sitting at a crossroads in a sense and the regulatory issues seem to be less and less a fear here. We are probably ready to take the path less traveled.

Its about sharing
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
♫ A wave came crashing like a fist to the jaw ♫
Voted: between 6 month - 1 year, just a gut feeling.
anu
legendary
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1001
RepuX - Enterprise Blockchain Protocol
So when do you think the next bubble will occur? My guess would be within the next 6 month.

Should happen now, as all the alleged money launderers from LR move to Bitcoin. Unless the volume of criminal activity was orders of magnitude lower than the official version. Which is impossible, because states never lie. Therefore the rally is now on and the charts are lying.


Bitcoin is too volatile for criminals. It appears they are moving on to WebMoney Dollars.

https://krebsonsecurity.com/2013/05/underweb-payments-post-liberty-reserve/

Even if the volatility is unidirectional?
N12
donator
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1010
So when do you think the next bubble will occur? My guess would be within the next 6 month.

Should happen now, as all the alleged money launderers from LR move to Bitcoin. Unless the volume of criminal activity was orders of magnitude lower than the official version. Which is impossible, because states never lie. Therefore the rally is now on and the charts are lying.


Bitcoin is too volatile for criminals. It appears they are moving on to WebMoney Dollars.

https://krebsonsecurity.com/2013/05/underweb-payments-post-liberty-reserve/
anu
legendary
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1001
RepuX - Enterprise Blockchain Protocol
So when do you think the next bubble will occur? My guess would be within the next 6 month.

Should happen now, as all the alleged money launderers from LR move to Bitcoin. Unless the volume of criminal activity was orders of magnitude lower than the official version. Which is impossible, because states never lie. Therefore the rally is now on and the charts are lying.
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000
Next major run up will occur between mid sept and early December 2013.

Seems plausible. We still may get our $10,000 Christmas present, but in characteristically suprising and volatile fashion where we spend several months in a relative lull then explode higher on the tails of some major news.
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1006
100 satoshis -> ISO code
It all depends.

We can't rule anything in or out.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 501
There is more to Bitcoin than bitcoins.
It all depends.
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
Next major run up will occur between mid sept and early December 2013.
hero member
Activity: 496
Merit: 500
Spanish Bitcoin trader
Between 6 months and 1 year, most probably in the morning.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
I think the market reaction to either the June or July Fed meeting minutes will give us what we need :trlf:
full member
Activity: 127
Merit: 100
I think a small bubble will form in 3 months.
hero member
Activity: 811
Merit: 1000
Web Developer
is there already a "when is the next bubble peak" thread?

Well its bound to happen...
hero member
Activity: 763
Merit: 500
is there already a "when is the next bubble peak" thread?
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
6 months and 1 week.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
The Bitcoin Catalog ---> Get Started!
So when do you think the next bubble will occur? My guess would be within the next 6 month.
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