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Topic: [Poll] - Will ASICs Hit Before Block Reward Halving / Drop? (Read 2075 times)

sr. member
Activity: 454
Merit: 250
Technology and Women. Amazing.
I've said it before in another thread, but I'll say it again; I predict ASIC manufacturers will do what is best for the market they serve, which would be releasing batch-1 shortly after the block reward halving. Less volatility in BTC supply this way. Predicting early early December release.
legendary
Activity: 952
Merit: 1000
Probably not...chances are we'll hit the block reward cut before we get the new devices. I don't see anything wrong with that either. With the reward split and no new devices, I'm sure we'll see a drop off in difficulty as GPU farms start to shutdown due to lack of profitability.

Oh, and the "Maybe" options are misleading. BFL released a statement on shipping noting it was going to be random...pulling from not only top of the list purchasers, but middle and bottom as well to spread out who gets what.
Oh?  Did they change the 1/3rd rule as originally planned?  Should check that link above that was made.  Thanks.
The final 1/3 of BFL's shipping, the randomly picked ones, will still only come from the first month of pre-orders. You can't place an order now, and hope it gets into the final 1/3.
hero member
Activity: 607
Merit: 500
perhaps only the testing units  Wink
newbie
Activity: 26
Merit: 0
I think some of the very early BFL orders will get theirs in time.
legendary
Activity: 2955
Merit: 1049
probably no..
sr. member
Activity: 456
Merit: 250
doesn't look like its going to happen  Sad
hero member
Activity: 533
Merit: 500
Probably not...chances are we'll hit the block reward cut before we get the new devices. I don't see anything wrong with that either. With the reward split and no new devices, I'm sure we'll see a drop off in difficulty as GPU farms start to shutdown due to lack of profitability.

Oh, and the "Maybe" options are misleading. BFL released a statement on shipping noting it was going to be random...pulling from not only top of the list purchasers, but middle and bottom as well to spread out who gets what.

Oh?  Did they change the 1/3rd rule as originally planned?  Should check that link above that was made.  Thanks.
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1001
Probably not...chances are we'll hit the block reward cut before we get the new devices. I don't see anything wrong with that either. With the reward split and no new devices, I'm sure we'll see a drop off in difficulty as GPU farms start to shutdown due to lack of profitability.

Oh, and the "Maybe" options are misleading. BFL released a statement on shipping noting it was going to be random...pulling from not only top of the list purchasers, but middle and bottom as well to spread out who gets what.
legendary
Activity: 1973
Merit: 1007
I really hope so but the bitcoin magazine mention of end of November, beginning of December timeline is cutting it very close.
hero member
Activity: 811
Merit: 1000
Web Developer
Slim chance.
sr. member
Activity: 358
Merit: 250
Not a chance!
hero member
Activity: 533
Merit: 500

  Pretty much what the description says Wink.

  Now that we know BFL may launch in Nov to Dec. any shot at 50 coins a block or nope?
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