Author

Topic: Predict the next Gox revelation here and win respect from fellow forum members (Read 3788 times)

legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1031
Other 'old format' wallets discovered with surprise bitcoins in.

More likely: 'old format' bonus 200,000 was MK's secret stash that he's been putting away a bit at a time to cover Gox's immense losses due to various hacks, incompetence and Frappucino benders over the years. Wasn't going too badly, but then the price dropped and he got caught before he could get the rest.

Most likely: they were his retirement fund.

Whatever, those 200,000 weren't a surprise to Karp. No way do you just forget you had that amount of money.
full member
Activity: 133
Merit: 100
The bitcoin community will be devastated to learn that the cake is a lie.

The cake is real!!! Or is it a tarte?  Grin

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GQ3g6IwrZZg
legendary
Activity: 4760
Merit: 1283
Here's mine:

U.S. Govt doesn't wish to steal non-criminal people's Bitcoin, but they do badly want the data Mt. Gox has to peruse what they define as criminal activity and fill out certain mappings of economic activity.  These mappings will be handed over to a privately operated taint authority.

Users who were to dumb to pull their BTC out of Mt. Gox over the last half a year will be able to retrieve their BTC by submitting various documentation and registering appropriately.  This registry will be part of the body of data used in for 'legitimate' business to obtain and maintain a 'bitcoin license.'

Karpeles will cooperate fully and be fine.  In fact he'll probably walk away a fairly rich man.

The Bitcoin Foundation will work actively and effectively to pave the way for this new ecosystem paradigm.  As a result many of their membership will have their BTC grandfathered in free of taint even when the origin is fairly questionable.  Those who have rejected the Bitcoin Foundation will have more trouble in this regard.


Well, it's about a month on and I just thought I'd, ya know, reiterate.

I'd say that Mt. Gox 'finding' various hoards is evidence that I was right in that the BTC were not stolen in the normal sense but rather that Mt. Gox's ability to operate freely was damaged due to government pressure.  Agreements about how to un-wind are underway and I continue to suspect that most users will be made whole-ish if they play ball.

I'll continue to predict that this loss of access to a significant pool of wealth will be used as leverage to forge the Bitcoin ecosystem into a form that various parties both within the government and without will find palatable.  And a form which most real Libertarians will not.

full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
The crisis document claims they've lose 742,400 out of 744,400 coins and that they only have 2000 coins left.

Here is my prediction.

The theft related to the transaction malleability was small and probably only 5-20% of their actual funds - all it did was empty their hot wallet and force them to try to redeem their cold wallet. Imo, there is no chance that they lost 99.9% of their bitcoin from that theft, since it would have equated to 500-600 coins per day since mtgox's inception; or $50,000 a day in the long, sustained stable period of a average price of $100 usd/btc.

Upon trying to redeem their huge cold wallets with around 80% of the customer's 774,000 coins; Mark discovered that the private keys could not be recovered due to some bug in his own custom coded software. Ever since he's been stalling for time, trying to recover the keys to the private storage. The document is in fact real, and mark would rather cry theft than admit that he accidentally lost the keys to 772,000 coins. The document was being circulated to potential investors so that Mtgox could be bought and no one would ever know the true depth of Mark's incompetence.

The document was leaked by someone involved in the potential acquisition and that immediately destroyed some interest in the acquisition.

I still believe that Mtgox may be acquired or some outside experts may be brought in to recover the private keys.

The private keys may not be recoverable, and 600,000-700,000 coins are lost forever.

I think the above is good but I would add the following twist. Mtgox's reserves are recoverable but he only has 500k btcs and is short 240k btcs. He decided to "protect" the wealth of mtgox and hope for a buyer to make up the difference instead of shutting it down. Personally, he has stashed away some btcs for retirement.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 101
Mark Karpeles undergoes sex change 'I always felt like a girl'

Would explain his inability to have any sort of control of the money.

I think we have a winner ... damn good job in such a short time ...





Wow, I know support Gox  Wink
full member
Activity: 195
Merit: 102
DiMS dev team
Mark Karpeles's shit  hit the fan
and spread nicely over faces of bit(gox)coin owners
qwk
donator
Activity: 3542
Merit: 3413
Shitcoin Minimalist
Western Union buys MtGox, refunds everyone, surpasses Paypal as the Internet payment provider.
Hikmet Ersek on cover of WSJ, Wired, Playboy. Shocked
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
OK my guess

He had Mike make a very special batch of Frappucino Flavoured Physical Chocolate Bitcoin Bars.
He stored them in a very secure fridge and transferred Gox's BTC onto them. The ultimate cold storage.
Seemed like a good idea at the time.
But those long nights, the stress ... and the occasional SR purchase ... those little Frappo munchies were too much to resist

Technically they are not lost, he knows where they are, but available ... not so much
sr. member
Activity: 365
Merit: 250
He didn't found any investors yet, he is looking for another investors.

The announce will be in the next 24h.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
Mark Karpeles undergoes sex change 'I always felt like a girl'

Would explain his inability to have any sort of control of the money.

I think we have a winner ... damn good job in such a short time ...



legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
Mark Karpeles undergoes sex change 'I always felt like a girl'

Would explain his inability to have any sort of control of the money.

Funny, but that would take too long. More likely, plastic surgery to alter his facial traits, maybe even fake fingerprints.
If he wants to survive this, he'll have to disappear and assume a new identity.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Ultranode
Mark Karpeles undergoes sex change 'I always felt like a girl'

Would explain his inability to have any sort of control of the money.

There is already a youtube video of him fingering his pussy.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=81QkfGpHeyQ
legendary
Activity: 1050
Merit: 1000
Mark Karpeles undergoes sex change 'I always felt like a girl'

Would explain his inability to have any sort of control of the money.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
One Token to Move Anything Anywhere
It's sad to see hope dead cat bounce all the way down.

First it's the (fairly reasonable to begin with) hope that withdrawals will start again, albeit limited.

Then it's the hope (less reasonable) that Gox is being bought out.

Now it's the hope that 750k Bitcoin is in cold storage with some kind of key problem.

I'm feeling every stage.  Sad


What makes you think the market is all about gox now? Thare are so many bullish things going on right now that have nothing to do with mtgox - mtgox is just the flavor of the month right now. I think this sudden immense support on bitstamp is coming from investors who are investing in, you know... bitcoin. Not mtgoxcoin.

Pardon? What do you mean "What makes you think the market is all about gox now?" ?

I'm talking about Gox. This thread is about Gox.

What makes you think that a thread named "Predict the next Gox revelation here" is all about "bullish things going on right now that have nothing to do with mtgox" ?

Post in the right threads.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
It's sad to see hope dead cat bounce all the way down.

First it's the (fairly reasonable to begin with) hope that withdrawals will start again, albeit limited.

Then it's the hope (less reasonable) that Gox is being bought out.

Now it's the hope that 750k Bitcoin is in cold storage with some kind of key problem.

I'm feeling every stage.  Sad


What makes you think the market is all about gox now? Thare are so many bullish things going on right now that have nothing to do with mtgox - mtgox is just the flavor of the month right now. I think this sudden immense support on bitstamp is coming from investors who are investing in, you know... bitcoin. Not mtgoxcoin.
legendary
Activity: 1002
Merit: 1000
Bitcoin
Someone will buy MtGox for the brand, fully refund all the account and bring a professional platform of trading.. It will ROI within 18 month..
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
Mark spent $700 million on failed kick starter projects.
full member
Activity: 153
Merit: 100
Site gets put back online next week with a rebrand (just a new logo).

btc withdrawals limited to 5btc per day\week purely to stop everyone running with coins and keep the business viable.

Mark announces step-down and takeover from a 3rd party. new CEO publishes a statement listing features\optimizations to the trading engine, altcoin implementations etc to help evolve the business and distance itself from the 'old' mtgox. financial reports published each quarter (similar to bitstamps last announcement).

in a few months, or whenever deposits seem to have built back up and confidence restored, withdrawal limit removed and trading fees reduced as a good will gesture for a set period to entice customers back that fled on the re-opening.


hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
One Token to Move Anything Anywhere
It's sad to see hope dead cat bounce all the way down.

First it's the (fairly reasonable to begin with) hope that withdrawals will start again, albeit limited.

Then it's the hope (less reasonable) that Gox is being bought out.

Now it's the hope that 750k Bitcoin is in cold storage with some kind of key problem.

I'm feeling every stage.  Sad

newbie
Activity: 6
Merit: 0

Gox had been keeping a fractional reserve of bitcoins and had been doing so for years.

They had only one or two coins for every ten coins that people had stored on their exchange.

When the price increased x1000 their liabilities increased x1000 and they had no where near enough fiat to buy coins for everyone to withdraw.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
mark karpeles reveals that he is satoshi
sr. member
Activity: 321
Merit: 250
My predictions for next revelation:

a) Mt Gox lost cold storage keys and later found them by themselves.  yay!

- or -

b) Mt Gox lost cold storage keys, fumbled about for days, and finally called in some expert help who unlocked they cold storage.  yay!

- or -

c) Mt Gox lost cold storage keys in such a manner that they can never be recovered and you all lose.  have a nice day.   boo!
newbie
Activity: 50
Merit: 0
no revelation, but gox is going down and it's gonna bring everyone with it done.

Why do you say that?

Once the letter leaked exposing the damage (aka worst case scenario), the market dropped and found resistance in the 400s.

Now people are now realizing that all BTC holdings not on Gox just got a hell of a lot more valuable since its pretty much confirmed that Gox coins don't exist and some (not all) that lost out will want to buy back in.

edit: fixed your post
member
Activity: 103
Merit: 10
The crisis document claims they've lose 742,400 out of 744,400 coins and that they only have 2000 coins left.

Here is my prediction.

The theft related to the transaction malleability was small and probably only 5-20% of their actual funds - all it did was empty their hot wallet and force them to try to redeem their cold wallet. Imo, there is no chance that they lost 99.9% of their bitcoin from that theft, since it would have equated to 500-600 coins per day since mtgox's inception; or $50,000 a day in the long, sustained stable period of a average price of $100 usd/btc.

Upon trying to redeem their huge cold wallets with around 80% of the customer's 774,000 coins; Mark discovered that the private keys could not be recovered due to some bug in his own custom coded software. Ever since he's been stalling for time, trying to recover the keys to the private storage. The document is in fact real, and mark would rather cry theft than admit that he accidentally lost the keys to 772,000 coins. The document was being circulated to potential investors so that Mtgox could be bought and no one would ever know the true depth of Mark's incompetence.

The document was leaked by someone involved in the potential acquisition and that immediately destroyed some interest in the acquisition.

I still believe that Mtgox may be acquired or some outside experts may be brought in to recover the private keys.

The private keys may not be recoverable, and 600,000-700,000 coins are lost forever.

I reckon this could be close to the truth too.
There is no way that 750,000 coins could have been stolen. So Krapeles MUST be lying about that. He did say himself the document was 'legit MORE OR LESS' AND he said that it was NOT produced by Gox. So what does that mean? It means that it is a slightly dodgy document probably made by him to create some kind of effect in the public.
Why would he do that?
Maybe like you said - coz he is such a dumb ass that he forgot his password to the cold storage or something dumb like that. Or maybe an employee stole some funds? Maybe he is pretending funds got stolen so he can get out of some debt?

Or I think the most likely is that HE faked this document to crash the price of bitcoin so he can buy a load on the cheap to claw back what he's lost so far. That makes the most sense to me. Others in the Foundation found out and told him to resign. He thought "great - that will crash the BTC price some more".
Soon as the BTC price rises up to $700 or so, he will sell all his cheap coins and pay off his debts. Hopefully someone else will buy Gox from him and get it running properly.

I'm still totally stunned by the 750,000 BTC thing. HOW can it be true? HOW? He said 'more or less legit' so I am guessing that that part is just a massive LIE for some reason.

Any ideas why he would make that up?

I already watched that letstalkbitcoin episode and some of my ideas are based off that information.

Following Charlie Shrem's line of thinking; I believe that MK has over exaggerated the lost amount of coins on purpose in order to increase the perception of mtgox failing as a threat to bitcoin's continued existence. In other words, Mark exaggerated the loss of coins in order to increase the chances of leveraging other big bitcoin players and exchanges to secretly bail out mtgox to protect bitcoin's overall legitimacy and image to the general public.

He never wanted any of this to go public. That's why they lied about how much they lost.
newbie
Activity: 50
Merit: 0
From Monday evening - listen to this and you'll have a much better idea as to whats going on:

http://letstalkbitcoin.com/e87-the-captive-and-the-mountain/
sr. member
Activity: 339
Merit: 250
The crisis document claims they've lose 742,400 out of 744,400 coins and that they only have 2000 coins left.

Here is my prediction.

The theft related to the transaction malleability was small and probably only 5-20% of their actual funds - all it did was empty their hot wallet and force them to try to redeem their cold wallet. Imo, there is no chance that they lost 99.9% of their bitcoin from that theft, since it would have equated to 500-600 coins per day since mtgox's inception; or $50,000 a day in the long, sustained stable period of a average price of $100 usd/btc.

Upon trying to redeem their huge cold wallets with around 80% of the customer's 774,000 coins; Mark discovered that the private keys could not be recovered due to some bug in his own custom coded software. Ever since he's been stalling for time, trying to recover the keys to the private storage. The document is in fact real, and mark would rather cry theft than admit that he accidentally lost the keys to 772,000 coins. The document was being circulated to potential investors so that Mtgox could be bought and no one would ever know the true depth of Mark's incompetence.

The document was leaked by someone involved in the potential acquisition and that immediately destroyed some interest in the acquisition.

I still believe that Mtgox may be acquired or some outside experts may be brought in to recover the private keys.

The private keys may not be recoverable, and 600,000-700,000 coins are lost forever.

I reckon this could be close to the truth too.
There is no way that 750,000 coins could have been stolen. So Krapeles MUST be lying about that. He did say himself the document was 'legit MORE OR LESS' AND he said that it was NOT produced by Gox. So what does that mean? It means that it is a slightly dodgy document probably made by him to create some kind of effect in the public.
Why would he do that?
Maybe like you said - coz he is such a dumb ass that he forgot his password to the cold storage or something dumb like that. Or maybe an employee stole some funds? Maybe he is pretending funds got stolen so he can get out of some debt?

Or I think the most likely is that HE faked this document to crash the price of bitcoin so he can buy a load on the cheap to claw back what he's lost so far. That makes the most sense to me. Others in the Foundation found out and told him to resign. He thought "great - that will crash the BTC price some more".
Soon as the BTC price rises up to $700 or so, he will sell all his cheap coins and pay off his debts. Hopefully someone else will buy Gox from him and get it running properly.

I'm still totally stunned by the 750,000 BTC thing. HOW can it be true? HOW? He said 'more or less legit' so I am guessing that that part is just a massive LIE for some reason.

Any ideas why he would make that up?
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
no revelation, but gox is going down and it's gonna bring everyone with it.
member
Activity: 103
Merit: 10
The crisis document claims they've lose 742,400 out of 744,400 coins and that they only have 2000 coins left.

Here is my prediction.

The theft related to the transaction malleability was small and probably only 5-20% of their actual funds - all it did was empty their hot wallet and force them to try to redeem their cold wallet. Imo, there is no chance that they lost 99.9% of their bitcoin from that theft, since it would have equated to 500-600 coins per day since mtgox's inception; or $50,000 a day in the long, sustained stable period of a average price of $100 usd/btc.

Upon trying to redeem their huge cold wallets with around 80% of the customer's 774,000 coins; Mark discovered that the private keys could not be recovered due to some bug in his own custom coded software. Ever since he's been stalling for time, trying to recover the keys to the private storage. The document is in fact real, and mark would rather cry theft than admit that he accidentally lost the keys to 772,000 coins. The document was being circulated to potential investors so that Mtgox could be bought and no one would ever know the true depth of Mark's incompetence.

The document was leaked by someone involved in the potential acquisition and that immediately destroyed some interest in the acquisition.

I still believe that Mtgox may be acquired or some outside experts may be brought in to recover the private keys.

The private keys may not be recoverable, and 600,000-700,000 coins are lost forever.
legendary
Activity: 4760
Merit: 1283
Here's mine:

U.S. Govt doesn't wish to steal non-criminal people's Bitcoin, but they do badly want the data Mt. Gox has to peruse what they define as criminal activity and fill out certain mappings of economic activity.  These mappings will be handed over to a privately operated taint authority.

Users who were to dumb to pull their BTC out of Mt. Gox over the last half a year will be able to retrieve their BTC by submitting various documentation and registering appropriately.  This registry will be part of the body of data used in for 'legitimate' business to obtain and maintain a 'bitcoin license.'

Karpeles will cooperate fully and be fine.  In fact he'll probably walk away a fairly rich man.

The Bitcoin Foundation will work actively and effectively to pave the way for this new ecosystem paradigm.  As a result many of their membership will have their BTC grandfathered in free of taint even when the origin is fairly questionable.  Those who have rejected the Bitcoin Foundation will have more trouble in this regard.

legendary
Activity: 2072
Merit: 1001
Nothing will happen for the next 2-3 months. No real info at all. Just gossip and rumors. After 3 months criminal charges will be laid on the top gox employees.
member
Activity: 97
Merit: 10
It will be revealed that Mark Karpeles ate all the bitcoin...
hero member
Activity: 898
Merit: 1000
OK my turn. I hope the following will happen. I have no money or BTC in GOX but it sounds like this is possibly going on which would be good for those goxxed.


MtGOX is in the process of being taken over by a yet to be mentioned (hopefully competent) party.
Investor has asked Mark to stop all forms of communication without approval of investor to stop any false promisses or problems.
Investor forced MtGOX offline to look into the exact depth of the mess and to prevent further hacks. Depending on the mess they will invest or not.
Investor is looking into a solution to all whom got goxxed.

If investors name leaks the deal is off since they do not want to be associated to this mess Smiley


Next milestones

- Site magically starts up again around 1 april with new rebranding (leaked fake document Cheesy)
- Directly followed by the presentation of new management including takeover announcement and a new CEO.
- With a new CEO Mark Karpeles can officially step down. He will officially appologise for the mess he made and take the fall for all the shit that went wrong. (In Japan I would expect him to cut off a finger or nipple like in the movies Tongue)
- A day or two later a plan for helping goxxed people get's communicated.
- Business resumes...
- Withdrawls get enabled in a limited fashion.
- Slow recovery and build new trust.....
- LTC support implemented (finally)


 Grin
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1265
Haven't been on in a bit but did anyone notice the new update Mark himself posted on GOX?

Yep I noticed. Can't wait for the real information to come like



The coins we're temporarily unavailable but now they are "lost"
I put all your bitcoins on red and lost, wished I would have won to bail you all out
Life sucks get over it !!

Kind regards
Mark
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
They actually lost 2000 Bitcoins due to the malleability hack and have 750000 Bitcoins left. Grin
member
Activity: 94
Merit: 10
Haven't been on in a bit but did anyone notice the new update Mark himself posted on GOX?
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
Already did that when I predicted a crisis like the one we are going through now.
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
GOX BTC converted to magic cards and snail mailed to everyone verified

Last known words from GOX printed on back side of the cards.....

TO DA MOON !!!

legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1050
Monero Core Team
MTGox bankruptcy exceeds 1 trillion USD as BTC/USD rate just went over 1.4 million.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1057
SpacePirate.io
To humbly borrow from There Will Be Blood:


Drained dry. I'm so sorry. Here, if you have a milkshake, and I have a milkshake, and I have a straw. There it is, that's a straw, you see? You watching?. And my straw reaches acroooooooss the room, and starts to drink your milkshake... I... drink... your... milkshake!

hero member
Activity: 520
Merit: 500
The bitcoin community will be devastated to learn that the cake is a lie.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
Here goes...

The following document gets leaked:

..snip...


MTGOX HAS 4 CORNER
SIMULTANEOUS 4-DAY
TIME CUBE
IN ONLY 24 HOUR ROTATION
4 CORNER DAYS, CUBES 4 QUAD EARTH - No 1 Day God
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
One Token to Move Anything Anywhere
Here goes...

The following document gets leaked:




March

Crisis plan!

Urgent Mark Karplees jailbroak feasibility study!

A call to Major Figures in the Bitticoin community.

We at MtGox are worried that Mark is cracking under FBI pressure and that any day he will reveal himself to be none other than Satoshi Nakamoto. The fallout from this will surely spell THE END to all computer programmers EVERYWHERE in the entire UNIVERSE!!!

You must heed our call and send thousands of cheap coins VERY QUICKLY to pay for our Getaway Vehicle!

Then Mark Karpooles needs a spcial ID CARD tha twill help him to go wherever he wants. It must look like this and all memebers of the Bitcoin Foundtation must send arbed coinz (right now) to make sure it is of highest quality!



Once far away Mark promises never ever ever ever to tell NOBODY at all crosses his heart and hopes to die (because he surely deserves to). IF.....

You take advantage of our extremely top-level links with Bitcoin to buy as many cheap coins as quickly as possible from TURTLE MOUNTAIN© (PS that is our new brand!!!) so that Marc can have coffee whenever he wants.

The fate of every coin is IN YOUR HANDZ NOW secret, solvent investor !!!
[/size]
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1265
OK my turn. I hope the following will happen. I have no money or BTC in GOX but it sounds like this is possibly going on which would be good for those goxxed.


MtGOX is in the process of being taken over by a yet to be mentioned (hopefully competent) party.
Investor has asked Mark to stop all forms of communication without approval of investor to stop any false promisses or problems.
Investor forced MtGOX offline to look into the exact depth of the mess and to prevent further hacks. Depending on the mess they will invest or not.
Investor is looking into a solution to all whom got goxxed.

If investors name leaks the deal is off since they do not want to be associated to this mess Smiley


Next milestones

- Site magically starts up again around 1 april with new rebranding (leaked fake document Cheesy)
- Directly followed by the presentation of new management including takeover announcement and a new CEO.
- With a new CEO Mark Karpeles can officially step down. He will officially appologise for the mess he made and take the fall for all the shit that went wrong. (In Japan I would expect him to cut off a finger or nipple like in the movies Tongue)
- A day or two later a plan for helping goxxed people get's communicated.
- Business resumes...
- Withdrawls get enabled in a limited fashion.
- Slow recovery and build new trust.....
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
Ill go next  Grin

Turns out Gox was handed a subpoena based on claims of insider trading, market fraud, money laundering etc, this explains why he cant say anything in particular.

The government have seized their entire BTC stash, hence why its not lost but just unavailable.

Mark genuinely wants to sort out the mess but has no way to cover withdrawals which were increasing due to malleability fear and general gox incompetance...

For some reason he beleives that he can sell the business and get his users losses covered while the FED do their thing.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Ultranode
I'll go first: Mark has been manipulating trade data since at least last September.

He certainly had the incentive to do so. And we now know he is willing to do almost anything to save Gox, including mislead the public.
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