Interesting thoughts zoolander. One thing I've learned from trading stocks is there is a bull and bear case for everything, and if you don't see both you aren't looking hard enough.
It most certainly is finely balanced at the moment and I wouldn't have been surprised by a steady rise in price today.
However if the sentiment in this forum is of any relevance I have found most of the bearish view to be more reasoned, more consistent, more analytical and more likely based on history than the bulls even if they seem to be equal in number. Hence I'm leaning that way as well.