Re: gambers fallacy or real strategy

jambola2

legendary

Activity: 1120

Merit: 1038

Quote from: ?? on ??

Quote from: jambola2 on September 13, 2014, 09:23:55 AM

Quote from: Spodermen on September 13, 2014, 09:01:11 AM

What do you guys think of this streak, go for the big one or try to milk it for some more losses to guarantee the win (but risking ending the streak)

No, no, it won't work unless you buy my super ultra script that auto-bets for you and will make you win all the time !

Statistics is what I'm getting at here, the possibility of rolling another under 50 is extremely unlikely from this point onward.

That is what gambler's fallacy is.

THE NEXT ROLL DOES NOT DEPEND ON THE PREVIOUS ONES.

ttman

full member

Activity: 144

Merit: 100

Quote from: ?? on ??

Quote from: ttman on September 13, 2014, 10:21:54 PM

Quote from: ?? on ??

Quote from: B4RF on September 13, 2014, 11:36:49 AM

Quote from: Spodermen on September 13, 2014, 09:01:11 AM

The odds of this hitting 2-3 more losses is pretty low, hence why I think putting in a bit of cash to cover 3 more losses and going for the big win would be a smart thing to do, yet again, since when is gambling smart in the first place?

What do you guys think of this streak, go for the big one or try to milk it for some more losses to guarantee the win (but risking ending the streak)

Some guys don't get the math behind gambling Roll Eyes

There is no memory for the possibilities. If you bet another under 49.5 you will hit it with the pollibility of 49.5 %.

You can only say that the possibility of hitting 6 or whatever losses in a row is less possible if you haven't made one of those bets yet.

And the fact that there are larger losing streaks on dice sites than in real casinos is not true,
you just realize more large streaks on dice sites because you make much more bets on them in shorter time.

So what you're trying to say is that this streak could go on to 20, then 30, then 40 in a row? the problem with you guys and your gambler fallacy crap is that the odds defeat your arguments.
i've never seen over 15 streak on manual bet on PD hence why I say 3 more goes and I doubt it'll go under 49.5 again.

Besides, who said 49.5% was the chance I would use? since I hit a 49 just then, I would probably use 1.85-1.92x which is around 52.5% chance.

This my 25 streak in a row haha Grin

http://prntscr.com/4i8u84

Did you randomize after each bet?

So sorry i dont get u . i just continue playing till balance run out and deposit to continue . Cheesy

ttman

full member

Activity: 144

Merit: 100

Quote from: ?? on ??

Quote from: B4RF on September 13, 2014, 11:36:49 AM

Quote from: Spodermen on September 13, 2014, 09:01:11 AM

The odds of this hitting 2-3 more losses is pretty low, hence why I think putting in a bit of cash to cover 3 more losses and going for the big win would be a smart thing to do, yet again, since when is gambling smart in the first place?

What do you guys think of this streak, go for the big one or try to milk it for some more losses to guarantee the win (but risking ending the streak)

Some guys don't get the math behind gambling Roll Eyes

There is no memory for the possibilities. If you bet another under 49.5 you will hit it with the pollibility of 49.5 %.

You can only say that the possibility of hitting 6 or whatever losses in a row is less possible if you haven't made one of those bets yet.

And the fact that there are larger losing streaks on dice sites than in real casinos is not true,
you just realize more large streaks on dice sites because you make much more bets on them in shorter time.

So what you're trying to say is that this streak could go on to 20, then 30, then 40 in a row? the problem with you guys and your gambler fallacy crap is that the odds defeat your arguments.
i've never seen over 15 streak on manual bet on PD hence why I say 3 more goes and I doubt it'll go under 49.5 again.

Besides, who said 49.5% was the chance I would use? since I hit a 49 just then, I would probably use 1.85-1.92x which is around 52.5% chance.

This my 25 streak in a row haha Grin

http://prntscr.com/4i8u84

B4RF

hero member

Activity: 813

Merit: 507

Quote from: Spodermen on September 13, 2014, 09:01:11 AM

The odds of this hitting 2-3 more losses is pretty low, hence why I think putting in a bit of cash to cover 3 more losses and going for the big win would be a smart thing to do, yet again, since when is gambling smart in the first place?

What do you guys think of this streak, go for the big one or try to milk it for some more losses to guarantee the win (but risking ending the streak)

Some guys don't get the math behind gambling Roll Eyes

There is no memory for the possibilities. If you bet another under 49.5 you will hit it with the pollibility of 49.5 %.

You can only say that the possibility of hitting 6 or whatever losses in a row is less possible if you haven't made one of those bets yet.

And the fact that there are larger losing streaks on dice sites than in real casinos is not true,
you just realize more large streaks on dice sites because you make much more bets on them in shorter time.

FanEagle

legendary

Activity: 2884

Merit: 1117

then try it if statistically is hard to get, on the internet it's easier to get!

Bitcoinexp

hero member

Activity: 544

Merit: 500

Go for it! You either make it big or you lose it all. That's what i always say to myself when i feel an urge to gamble xD

Or if you're betting a large sum. Just do this:
1. Get a coin.
2. Gamble for heads, Don't gamble for tails or anyway you like it.
3. Before you flip it, cover it. Whatever you wish the coin to show. Follow it, because that's what your eally want. xD

jambola2

legendary

Activity: 1120

Merit: 1038

Quote from: Spodermen on September 13, 2014, 09:01:11 AM

What do you guys think of this streak, go for the big one or try to milk it for some more losses to guarantee the win (but risking ending the streak)

No, no, it won't work unless you buy my super ultra script that auto-bets for you and will make you win all the time !

Spodermen

newbie

Activity: 25

Merit: 0

streaks do not effect the result of the next roll.

Topic: Re: gambers fallacy or real strategy (Read 1272 times)