Author

Topic: Reminder - *no one* knows what is going to happen with Bitcoins. (Read 1299 times)

legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1040
A Great Time to Start Something!
Historically, bitcoins have doubled in value roughly every 31 days. Keep this in mind. There's been 8 or 9 doublings so far since October, I believe.

OK, your predicting ~$54 within a month(?), and I say "trading range + we need to build the economy".
Let's see who is correct, OK?    Cheesy


I'm just looking at the data trend which has been a clear exponential increase, although rough. If people see the economy will really go somewhere, that could make the trading value jump from future speculation. Any number of factors could increase the value a lot. It could also stagnate for two or three months, and then suddenly shoot up 3x or 4x for some new reason.

Greed and fear are major factors in any market, and trading ranges are a part of human nature.
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 101
Historically, bitcoins have doubled in value roughly every 31 days. Keep this in mind. There's been 8 or 9 doublings so far since October, I believe.

OK, your predicting ~$54 within a month(?), and I say "trading range + we need to build the economy".
Let's see who is correct, OK?    Cheesy


I'm just looking at the data trend which has been a clear exponential increase, although rough. If people see the economy will really go somewhere, that could make the trading value jump from future speculation. Any number of factors could increase the value a lot. It could also stagnate for two or three months, and then suddenly shoot up 3x or 4x for some new reason.
legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1040
A Great Time to Start Something!
Historically, bitcoins have doubled in value roughly every 31 days. Keep this in mind. There's been 8 or 9 doublings so far since October, I believe.

OK, your predicting ~$54 within a month(?), and I say "trading range + we need to build the economy".
Let's see who is correct, OK?    Cheesy
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
people can say this or that, predict so and so...

but the fact remains no one in this world can see beyond 3 days what the long-term strategy, let alone the endgame, for Bitcoins is.

Bitcoin is a non-sentient currency, and has no strategy.  you speak as though there is some central, guiding hand.  there isn't.

you may have a strategy.  and your actions may have an effect on what happens to Bitcoin, if they are broad enough.

but that's pretty much it.
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 101
Historically, bitcoins have doubled in value roughly every 31 days. Keep this in mind. There's been 8 or 9 doublings so far since October, I believe.
legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1040
A Great Time to Start Something!
Bitcoin Project:
An exciting experiment: No one knows what is going to happen.

Bitcoin Value:
It is drop-dead simple to predict we have entered a trading-range. Don't expect $50/BTC without having some patience and building the economy a great deal more.
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
3 days?  I can't see past 3 minutes.  And even that runs me out of Mana pretty quickly.  You must be a pretty high level...
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 101
Endgame: I will hire gabriella for a night for only 0.5 BTC.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
People can see 3 days into the future?
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 252
member
Activity: 336
Merit: 10
people can say this or that, predict so and so...

but the fact remains no one in this world can see beyond 3 days what the long-term strategy, let alone the endgame, for Bitcoins is.
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