Really..
Making Spreadsheet, everyone is welcome to view
Here for spreadsheet(Wonder who is so genius to play)
DONE!!!
......
Your calculations are correct, but satoshi-karoshi's house rate is not above normal.
eg the 5x14 game
After each click you have the option to 'take' or 'rebet', each time with a house rake of less than 3% (rake = 1 - 80%*nextMultipier/LastMultipier )
You say that a total 25% house rake is retarded, but keep in mind that you have bet 14 times your money after the 14th bet, meaning that you'll have payed rakes 14 times.
If you 'spin the circle' 14 times on satoshicircle.com, and each time you bet your (first bet + all winnings), you'll have lost (1.76% *14) on avarage = 24.64%.
Weird that no one replied to your assumptions!
That being said, I think the site has some potential, it looks nice, is fair, still some work to be done on the skin.
It only lacks working HTTPS (it says:ssl_error_rx_record_too_long), which is really a must for gambling sites. Anyone who sniffes the network can find the secret url, not possible with https.