According to supply and demand theorem, if the award is halved then the BTC price must be doubled.
That ignores the existing millions of coins as part of the "supply". I also have yet to see any cogent explanation of what constitutes Bitcoin "demand". The usual Supply and Demand stuff would be great, except I see no serious way to quantify either.
the majority of those coins are in holding mode, so they are freezed, useless for calculating demand and supply ratio, which was in favor of demand until few days ago, what i'm thinking when the price crush a bit is that the demand is decreased and not that the supply was more stronger...
if you can have enough data on all exchange, about how many coins are bought and how much are sold, you can have your estimation about exact number for supply and demand
According to supply and demand theorem, if the award is halved then the BTC price must be doubled.
this can be true after you compare the % of dumped coins from miners, with the % of the actual total dumped coins each day, and see how much is this % in comparison with the latter
and all this assuming that demand remain the same...