Hello Guys,
I just see a thread to complain for T.A as it doesn't work, the OP says his indicator is using RSI. Well, I myself is new in crypto and still learning but some little experiences for forex and stock exchange help me to know TA with some indicators.
For me, analysis for whatever stuff is needed and at least it will be better rather than no analysis. So far, I notice that in crypto analysis shall be different compared to other stuff as the volume and community is much lesser. It seems need more adaptation to apply TA into crypto, then I think we need together who cares for crypto trading to start find out the modifying the perception of indicator from basic available indicators.
Just to remind especially who still new with trading, use at least 2 indicators for simple practice in trading as one to be confirmed by another. As for my experiences, time frame of the indicators usually needed to be considered.
Just to start, I take sample a chart of one new successful token during ICO but now they are dumped so hard. No other intention just to take sample of it, here is the last picture of the chart:
As can be seen above, there are 3 indicators used:
1. Bollinger Band
2. Ichimoku Cloud
3. Stochastic RSI
From the figure, the price now form a support let's say at 2055 (not exact number). The price is in Horizontal Bollinger Band and now is going up and has penetrated middle of the band then it will usually try to reach the upper part of Bollinger Band. This is confirmed by RSI chart to cross in below area to from in going up, even this line will form down again for next period to bring down the price on that period.
To see other indicator, ichimoku cloud, now the price is inside the cloud and need to see whether it is able to penetrate the cloud until placed above it.
For above perception of indicators, my conclusions:
1. For short term, the price will increase around 10% from current price. After that, it is necessary to see the latest chart for how will it be.
2. For middle term, it is necessary to wait the confirmation of ichimoku cloud whether the price is able to penetrate and place above it. If broken, the price will be higher around 30-40% of current price.
3. Even the possibility to go up seems higher for now, it is important to set cut loss or other risk management with 10% below current price as it is the lowest current support.
As I often heard from several TA traders, they will avoid to enter market or quickly out from the market if there will be big news to come. But for crypto, I think news or the indicators seems to be followed and need to forget TA for a while.
Other thing of my concern in this Crypto, the value of ICO price is interesting since if the project is feasible and have good fundamental profile then it will not be a loss to buy
since the price will go up just in the matter of time. This is for investors, then not to worry about TA or pump and dump since the waiting time is years at least 1 year. But for traders, it is necessary to get small profit by daily or perhaps weekly to compensate some loss that probably will occur.
So guys, please share your opinions on the TA presented above. Do you have different analysis with the indicators above or perhaps other indicators applied by you for such the sample?
What is your conclusion?