I haven't posted on this board so far, so for those that don't know me, I'm a newbie, and as green as can be expected. I've been trying to learn as much as I can, watching videos, and reading anything I can get my hands on. As of late, I watched a video on short selling a gazillion times, but I just can't wrap my mind around it. It just doesn't make any sense to me.
So here's what I know (or I
think I know):
Short selling is betting that an asset is gonna go down in price.
You have the certainty a given asset is gonna drop, so you borrow that asset, sell it high, wait for it to drop, and then buy it back low and give it back. Great. Except it doesn't make any sense.
Let's see. For example, BTC is now scraping 45K. You got tipped that's gonna go down to 30K tomorrow. So...
Scenario #1
You borrow 1 BTC. Both the lender and the exchange charge you a fee for it. You do your thing, and you get a good chunk of money in return.
But what if BTC doesn't go down? You need to have enough money in your account, so as to pay the BTC back, plus the fees, plus some extra cash in case BTC goes up. If it gets yo the point that you're not gonna be able to cover your obligation, you'll get margin called.
Scenario #2
You do have the money already in your account, so you liquidate your BTC if you have it, and wait. When BTC does go down, you buy it cheap, and get the same profit you got on scenario #1, plus the fees you don't have to pay.
Scenario # 3
This is the only scenario that would make any sense to me:
The
lender agrees to share the risk (meaning he agrees to get
less money than he lent you, in case things go south). That's the only way I can see this would work (not for the lender, though), and only if the top price the borrower has to pay (including fees) is less than the value of the BTC he starts with.
So, how does it work? The way I see it, scenario #1 doesn't make any sense, scenario #2 is not short selling, and the only one that makes sense (to a point) is scenario #3. That is, if the lender is willing to share the risk with you (I personally wouldn't consider it).
Now, I'm pretty sure I'm missing something, and I'm pretty sure itś dangling right in front of my nose, and I'm gonna feel like an idiot when yoou guys tell me. But, How does it work?
Thank you all in advance.