Author

Topic: Short-term target? (Read 1209 times)

sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
May 02, 2013, 01:37:38 AM
#11
straight to zero, of course Roll Eyes

edit:
Currently, results look like normal distribution...

...centred roughly at the current price
with a bias to slightly lower values in the centre of weight,
but with a more developed tail on the up side

this is a really good model. the normal distribution is a probabilistic representation. i wonder how one would go about calculating the skew?

Skew = (mean - median ) / (standard deviation)

executing that on historical price data would be simple. the question is, is it a functioning indicator? is the height above the peak of the distribution indicative of deviation from a trendline? time-scale matters here as well.
legendary
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1028
Duelbits.com
May 02, 2013, 01:17:10 AM
#10
Don't have idea and nobody does. Act as it happens, that's the only way you can deal with bitcoins market, unless you're the one who can make things happen.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
May 02, 2013, 01:00:31 AM
#9
straight to zero, of course Roll Eyes

edit:
Currently, results look like normal distribution...

...centred roughly at the current price
with a bias to slightly lower values in the centre of weight,
but with a more developed tail on the up side

this is a really good model. the normal distribution is a probabilistic representation. i wonder how one would go about calculating the skew?

Skew = (mean - median ) / (standard deviation)
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
May 02, 2013, 12:48:17 AM
#8
straight to zero, of course Roll Eyes

edit:
Currently, results look like normal distribution...

...centred roughly at the current price
with a bias to slightly lower values in the centre of weight,
but with a more developed tail on the up side

this is a really good model. the normal distribution is a probabilistic representation. i wonder how one would go about calculating the skew?
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
May 01, 2013, 07:30:31 PM
#7
Currently, results look like normal distribution...

...centred roughly at the current price
with a bias to slightly lower values in the centre of weight,
but with a more developed tail on the up side
hero member
Activity: 628
Merit: 500
May 01, 2013, 05:23:23 PM
#6
Currently, results look like normal distribution...
hero member
Activity: 628
Merit: 500
May 01, 2013, 05:20:35 PM
#5
Depends on what you mean by "short term" (Weeks, days, hours, minutes?). I voted $80 and assumed we were talking about days.

OK, let's say 24h
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
daytrader/superhero
May 01, 2013, 05:17:16 PM
#4
Depends on what you mean by "short term" (Weeks, days, hours, minutes?). I voted $80 and assumed we were talking about days.
hero member
Activity: 628
Merit: 500
May 01, 2013, 04:58:28 PM
#3
You should add $180+ and $40- just for the sake of those who believe in either of the extremes.

Here, you have extremes now Cheesy
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
May 01, 2013, 04:56:49 PM
#2
You should add $180+ and $40- just for the sake of those who believe in either of the extremes.
hero member
Activity: 628
Merit: 500
May 01, 2013, 04:53:25 PM
#1
Please share your opinion  Smiley

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