Let's assume that Satoshi is (a) alive, (b) has all his keys, (c) is a rational individual that works for his enlightened self-interest. What could he do?
And herein lies the other thing I think many people fail to realize: Satoshi has more economic power than any of us.
I love this type of mental exercise. I come to similar conclusions as you, but you thought it out much more clearly. The way I look at it is this. Why did Satoshi create bitcoin? Is he satisfied with his creation? If not, will he still be trying to create a solution to the problem he long ago tried to solve? Basically, will he be driven to continue to try to solve the problem he started to solve long ago, or will he be satisfied with his half creation?
I think that Satoshi can be reasonably happy with his creation. It has done quite well for itself and in that way he can be quite satisfied. But how satisfied? Will he be happy with the flaws that have arisen and the direction that bitcoin is going? I think in someways bitcoin has become a system that in many aspects mirrors the system he hated so much in the first place. A system that drove him to make bitcoin. If you read his posts, he is constantly concerned with how things are running. He reminds me of a genius car mechanic that just keeps on modifying his car, addicted to making it run better in a way. He hated how the traditional system was running and I think we wouldn't be happy with how bitcoin is running today. I think it wants something that is 100% decentralized, 100% transparent, 100% safe, something that is very fast, very easy, and very efficient. Bitcoin isn't that. I think he loves what he has created, but the mechanic in him greatly wants to see it run better. To that extent, yes, if a better system comes along and he sees the potential and he wants to go all in, he has the will, the means, the drive and conviction to do so and realistically if he plans it well (and he is a planner) there isn't anything anybody can do about it except follow.
Satoshi among many things is an inventor at heart. Inventors don't stop inventing after they get one thing right one time. Sooner or later an inventor always moves on to the next big thing.
I had not thought about this either, but it is really fascinating. Since the idea of distributing a new altcoin on the basis of Bitcoin ownership has come out, Satoshi has the power to endorse whichever one/ones he thinks are worthy by acting to claim his share of the new altcoin. The instant he acted the new altcoin would explode in value. As you say, that is indeed a tremendous amount of power. I think almost everyone would trust Satoshi's judgment. He should just wait a few more years, then act, if it is necessary.