Author

Topic: Something to keep in mind while making your predictions about difficulty. (Read 1032 times)

legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1004
Who's to say all the avalon and BFL rigs are not online already -- just not shipped.

The network hash rate shows that's not even a slightly plausible notion.
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
Who's to say all the avalon and BFL rigs are not online already -- just not shipped.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
its crazy how the difficulty is going UP NOW yet asic vendors have only shipped "teasers"
sr. member
Activity: 490
Merit: 255
From what I've read, all the ASIC producers are promising about 1000 terahashes of hardware.  So, that means a 10x increase in hashing power, and a 10x increase in difficulty.

I bet it'll all be here by September.

I am projecting early November for 10x difficulty... it will be interesting to see what happens during this transition period.
full member
Activity: 281
Merit: 100
From what I've read, all the ASIC producers are promising about 1000 terahashes of hardware.  So, that means a 10x increase in hashing power, and a 10x increase in difficulty.

I bet it'll all be here by September.
full member
Activity: 239
Merit: 250
Hopefully you ran out a vagueness, enough misinformation gets spread already. 

Don't forget about all those Avalon chips coming. And the new players claiming to have products very soon.  I honestly don't see how half of them think they are going to make any money. They better hope BFL and Avalon fail hard. KNC probably has the best chance of not folding by the end of the year.
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1004
To increase the difficulty by 1,000,000, there needs to be an increase of 7.143 Th/s. That's corresponds to:

15 x BFL Minrigs
143 x BFL 50 Gh/s
286 x BFL 25 Gh/s
1,429 x BFL 5 Gh/s

86 x Avalon 4 Module 84 Gh/s
114 x Avalon 3 Module 63 Gh/s

21,259 x ASICMiner Block Erupter USB 336 Mh/s
715 x ASICMiner Block Erupter Blade 10 Gh/s

If 1 BFL Minirig comes online per day, that will cause difficulty to increase by 1 million.


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