Sports "trap of the day" , or is it?

Russlenat

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Quote from: Sanitough on February 02, 2025, 05:57:27 AM

Before that big loss, the Bucks also fell to Portland even though they were favored by -5.5 points. That game didn’t scream “trap” because the spread was so wide, but really, it’s the Spurs that look like they’re setting one up. We’ve seen some users rushing to bet on the Bucks, thinking they've found a golden opportunity, but they might just be walking into a well-laid trap.

That was the story, but a trap is something that makes you decide quickly and pick the wrong side. In that game, if a gambler sees the Bucks at just -2.5 against a non-playoff team, it's an automatic bet especially when you check that all the starters are on the floor. And look at the result: the Spurs absolutely dominated the Bucks by a huge margin. I'm sure that outcome was impossible to miss.

Sanitough

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Quote from: Jating on February 02, 2025, 04:31:32 AM

How about the Bucks vs Spurs a few days ago.

The Bucks is the big favorite in this game, but if you look the NBA betting thread, there are bettors who smell something is not right with that kind of line. And so some of them goes with the underdog Spurs and win.

And it was not even a close game, the Spurs really blew off the Bucks even though Giannis and Dame was playing and they are healthy that time.

At first glance, the line might seem like a trap, but there's more to it than just the numbers. The Bucks have been inconsistent lately, and since it was a road game, that doesn't help, they often struggle on the road, especially during long stretches of away games.

Before that big loss, the Bucks also fell to Portland even though they were favored by -5.5 points. That game didn’t scream “trap” because the spread was so wide, but really, it’s the Spurs that look like they’re setting one up. We’ve seen some users rushing to bet on the Bucks, thinking they've found a golden opportunity, but they might just be walking into a well-laid trap.

Jating

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How about the Bucks vs Spurs a few days ago.

The Bucks is the big favorite in this game, but if you look the NBA betting thread, there are bettors who smell something is not right with that kind of line. And so some of them goes with the underdog Spurs and win.

And it was not even a close game, the Spurs really blew off the Bucks even though Giannis and Dame was playing and they are healthy that time.

Agbamoni

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Fine by Time

OP, I won a bet two weeks ago by betting against everyone's favorite side to win. Lucky for me on that day the weaker side won the game. That was my first experience of winning like that, because I needed a good amount of money that day I decided to take the risk. Sometimes our favorite side to win does not always win. In my case, i can call that the trap of the day.

When we see games like this we should not always get into the trap. Yes, at times it is worthwhile other times we will fall for it. To be much safer we should always avoid falling into the trap unless we are in desperate need or our instincts tells us so.

KTChampions

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Quote from: AHOYBRAUSE on January 27, 2025, 01:53:25 AM

Making a new thread for sports bettors to post their trap of day games. What's a trap game you ask? A game where the odds literally make 0 sense and the odds are too good to be true.

Let's start off with this one from the Korean woman's basketball league today.

https://www.flashscore.com/match/nojsdJVH/#/match-summary
Hana Bank ( 5 - 16 ) vs Woori MON ( 15 -7 )

Woori is currently only a 2.5 points favorite with money line odds of 1.62. Hana lost the last 5 games while Woori won 5 of the last 6. Also, head to head Woori won the last 18 (!!) games against Hana Bank.
These 2 teams played against each other 12 days ago, also a home game for Hana Bank. The odds for Woori to win that one have been 1.25, compared to the 1.62 they have today that's HUGE.

So how on earth do we have these odds in here?? Injury wise there is no information to be found online by the way.

I don't know anything about this pair, maybe it's a matter of tournament situation/motivation? Sometimes the game doesn't matter much for the favorite and then bookmakers take this into account.
The only thing I can call a trap is today's game between Bayern and Holstein. Bayern is first in the standings and has the most goals scored, Holstein is second to last and has the most goals conceded. Bayern's chances of winning were estimated at 1.04-1.05... with a handicap the odds were not much higher. But in the end the game ended 4-3 and everyone who bet even on a modest handicap of -1 lost their bets.

wheelz1200

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I'll be honest i bet into "trap games" and it works out most of the time. For sports betting i set my own odds in my head and if they are favorable over amd above what the book has i bet it. Most of these look like trap bets but i look at them like good odds. With that being said i will try to post some up here in this thread as i see them pop up.

EarnOnVictor

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Quote from: AHOYBRAUSE on January 30, 2025, 08:35:25 AM

Quote from: EarnOnVictor on January 30, 2025, 08:24:08 AM

Quote from: AHOYBRAUSE on January 27, 2025, 01:53:25 AM

-snip-
So how on earth do we have these odds in here?? Injury wise there is no information to be found online by the way.

The answer to this is not far-fetched, the little odds will always go for the better side or perceived better side and the high odds go to the weaker side or perceived side. However, this doesn't automatically tell about the outcome of matches and events in the matches but are often a reflection of the obvious having carefully considered all factors which are not limited to the current feat of the two teams, their history against each other, histories at home, injuries etc.

At times too, the odds could be a bait, which calls for extensive research before opting for sports options.

That's the most generic and AI sounding post I have seen today, honestly. Of course high odds go to the underdog and low odds go to the favorite? Was there really any need to explain this? Roll Eyes

-snip-

I see your first sentence as an affront. Do you want to check my list???

But wait a minute. Did you mean a better writer and a more constructive personality than you? Keep dreaming and continue to stay artificial/local (in the mind) while my like continue to develop ourselves in all ramifications to your amazement. Funny you!

Regardless, the gist has been rightly passed, it is left to you to believe the obvious or not, even as all those read responses to you are almost the same as mine. It is your choice to continue suspecting bookies on what's 50/50 on both parties, man or wake up to reality.

Japinat

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Quote from: Oluwa-btc on January 31, 2025, 03:26:39 AM

Traps of the day usually occur unknowingly especially when you have so much fate in the odds and sometimes a trap can happen in different ways too provided you're unsure of that particular game but you tend to give a try and then you end up knowing it's all a trap, it's sure fustrating and being manipulated into such traps results in you loosing your funds.

You can’t determine if it’s a trap unless you have a good feel for how trap lines work.
You also won’t know for sure if it was really a trap until the game is over, so it’s more of a gut feel based on the factors you’re seeing before the game.

But if you’re good at spotting trap lines and actually winning because of it then that’s probably one of the best strategies for long-term success.

I still believe that sports betting is a skill-based game, but even with skill it’s still tough to consistently win in the long run.

Oluwa-btc

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Quote from: EluguHcman on January 27, 2025, 06:00:55 AM

Instead of considering the odds, it is better and wise to consider the teams and weights your predictions based on their capacities because taking decisions based on the odds can be entrapping.

Traps of the day usually occur unknowingly especially when you have so much fate in the odds and sometimes a trap can happen in different ways too provided you're unsure of that particular game but you tend to give a try and then you end up knowing it's all a trap, it's sure fustrating and being manipulated into such traps results in you loosing your funds.

davis196

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Korean women's basketball? I would never bet money on a Korean woman's basketball game, even if the odds are really good.
Do you think that the bookies are deliberately creating such "traps" in order to legally steal the gambler's money. Grin

Do you have insider information about this particular game being fixed? There are some really suspicious odds in my country's football league, but the football league where I live is notorious with accusations of fixed games and corruption. There are no clear evidences about such "traps" and I don't want to speculate about this topic.

stompix

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Quote from: AHOYBRAUSE on January 27, 2025, 01:53:25 AM

Making a new thread for sports bettors to post their trap of day games. What's a trap game you ask? A game where the odds literally make 0 sense and the odds are too good to be true.

But why would this be a trap?
The favorite got way too good odds, it wasn't as much a trap as an opportunity, a trap would be one where the player is deceived into putting money because he thinks there is no way this will not happen, rather than a trap I actually smell something completely wrong with this, they started 2.7 and dropped to 2.1 in a matter of hours, that must have been a ton of money compared to the volume, I see on odds portal the 0.6 change in less than 4 hours.Somebody must have taken a serious gamble on them!

Su-asa

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Quote from: Perfectbaby on January 30, 2025, 08:46:44 AM

Quote from: EarnOnVictor on January 30, 2025, 08:24:08 AM

The answer to this is not far-fetched, the little odds will always go for the better side or perceived better side and the high odds go to the weaker side or perceived side.

You know most times when i comes across game like i do think twice before making my pick because sometimes the bookmaker themselves could twist up the whole thing were you can't be able to detects which is the team to win due to irregular odds rotation. When I see the winning team have less odds and seeing the losing team having a lesser odds, i don't mind going for research to know why such weak team was given a lesser odds, some could be that due to change in players or newly assigned player but if i don't find similar i often go with the team which i believed to win the game, what i mostly understand is that they often used odd probability to scare some gamblers to go pick the wrong option this is for those who are easily trigged by odds.

It's hard to know the actual games that will bring winning to you, that's why it's based on luck a gambler can win. Although winning games is fun but one won't be happen when losing, especially when on a losing streak. However, on gamble even appling a single strategy all the time might not give you a constant winning because odds changes. Life bets odds are not the same if the games haven't started.
Reason why a weaker team is giving the smaller odds is because the best player on the stronger team is injured and won't be playing the game. So the weaker team will be given the smaller odds while the stranger team will be given the bigger odds. Sometimes they both draw the games or any of the both team might win. The results of the games depends on the players.

Perfectbaby

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Quote from: EarnOnVictor on January 30, 2025, 08:24:08 AM

The answer to this is not far-fetched, the little odds will always go for the better side or perceived better side and the high odds go to the weaker side or perceived side.

You know most times when i comes across game like i do think twice before making my pick because sometimes the bookmaker themselves could twist up the whole thing were you can't be able to detects which is the team to win due to irregular odds rotation. When I see the winning team have less odds and seeing the losing team having a lesser odds, i don't mind going for research to know why such weak team was given a lesser odds, some could be that due to change in players or newly assigned player but if i don't find similar i often go with the team which i believed to win the game, what i mostly understand is that they often used odd probability to scare some gamblers to go pick the wrong option this is for those who are easily trigged by odds.

AHOYBRAUSE

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Quote from: EarnOnVictor on January 30, 2025, 08:24:08 AM

Quote from: AHOYBRAUSE on January 27, 2025, 01:53:25 AM

-snip-
So how on earth do we have these odds in here?? Injury wise there is no information to be found online by the way.

The answer to this is not far-fetched, the little odds will always go for the better side or perceived better side and the high odds go to the weaker side or perceived side. However, this doesn't automatically tell about the outcome of matches and events in the matches but are often a reflection of the obvious having carefully considered all factors which are not limited to the current feat of the two teams, their history against each other, histories at home, injuries etc.

At times too, the odds could be a bait, which calls for extensive research before opting for sports options.

That's the most generic and AI sounding post I have seen today, honestly. Of course high odds go to the underdog and low odds go to the favorite? Was there really any need to explain this? Roll Eyes

In this case the odds made no sense, no sense whatsoever. Also, after the game I checked the box score and the same players were on the court that played each other some days back when they faced off and the favorite had 1.25 odds. So the odds went from being a 8-10 points favorite in game 1 to being a 2 point favorite in game 2, with the exact some situation (players, home court, momentum, position in standings).

Too bad we also have some signature campaign spam here, as usual.
None spamming members, please feel free to post games yourself, it's nice to have a discussion about those games when they appear.

EarnOnVictor

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Quote from: AHOYBRAUSE on January 27, 2025, 01:53:25 AM

-snip-
So how on earth do we have these odds in here?? Injury wise there is no information to be found online by the way.

The answer to this is not far-fetched, the little odds will always go for the better side or perceived better side and the high odds go to the weaker side or perceived side. However, this doesn't automatically tell about the outcome of matches and events in the matches but are often a reflection of the obvious having carefully considered all factors which are not limited to the current feat of the two teams, their history against each other, histories at home, injuries etc.

At times too, the odds could be a bait, which calls for extensive research before opting for sports options.

Baofeng

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Quote from: joniboini on January 29, 2025, 08:36:36 PM

Quote from: Baofeng on January 27, 2025, 04:22:42 PM

The thing is, there are news that are not really out in the public until game time.

Is this common in popular games though? I mainly follow football news and their coverage is huge. Depending on who you ask, you can get some made-up rumors to accurate insider information. It's not hard to imagine these insiders also leaking the news to a bookmaker, especially on unpopular competitions. This made me recall a thread talking about betting on some obscure games on this board. I guess the lesson shared on that thread also applies to the case described by OP.

It's hard to say if this is common, but in basketball particularly in NBA, there could be teams that hold the news until near the game. It could be practice though specially if there is a high stakes game.

Quote from: joniboini on January 29, 2025, 08:36:36 PM

Btw OP, the odds shared on the game you mentioned seem to have changed before the game started, CMIIW. You can probably ask the bookmaker how they determine the odds if they share how their calculation works. Maybe injuries don't affect it as much as social media trends.

Not much you can do if you will ask the sports bookies as they will be firmed on the listing. Injuries are a big deal specially if the person is what we call the franchise player, or the number 1 option to score. And we have a NBA thread and some of the best tipsters sometimes fall for this trap.

TravelMug

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Quote from: AHOYBRAUSE on January 30, 2025, 04:28:42 AM

Quote from: Julien_Olynpic on January 29, 2025, 09:19:49 PM

Personally, I find the concept of a “trap” a bit contradictory and confusing. But the expression “too good to be true” is funny. In general, I would go the classic way and stick to the vulue strategy. Our task is to determine the initial odds of the game as if we were unbiased bookmakers. Who take into account all available and relevant information, and all the rest of the change in odds occurs due to the change in the balance of bets between two or three outcomes of the game. And if you see an inflated odds, which is nevertheless probable in terms of winning, then it is worth considering as a working scenario.

Trap games are a common expression to be honest. So often in for example college basketball a on paper much better team, that also beat the same team by like 20-30 points 1 week prior, is playing against a team they should dominate again but the odds make it a 50/50 affair, which is very strange. Still, because of the situation on paper the masses bet on this team because it's the only logic bet when you get such high odds. And what do you know, the should be big underdog for whatever reason dominates and wins the game, as Vegas predicted. It's so strange sometimes.

Yeah, and it's so tricky that after the game, you really don't know what really happen and you can only conclude that the favorite really had a bad game, and it seems that the rim is getting smaller and smaller.

Or there could be what we call a sucker trap, for sure most roulette games players knows this. In a single 0 roulette, payout is 35:1, but in reality you have a 1/37 chance of wining and yet there are players who are "suckered" by this games.

AHOYBRAUSE

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Quote from: Julien_Olynpic on January 29, 2025, 09:19:49 PM

Personally, I find the concept of a “trap” a bit contradictory and confusing. But the expression “too good to be true” is funny. In general, I would go the classic way and stick to the vulue strategy. Our task is to determine the initial odds of the game as if we were unbiased bookmakers. Who take into account all available and relevant information, and all the rest of the change in odds occurs due to the change in the balance of bets between two or three outcomes of the game. And if you see an inflated odds, which is nevertheless probable in terms of winning, then it is worth considering as a working scenario.

Trap games are a common expression to be honest. So often in for example college basketball a on paper much better team, that also beat the same team by like 20-30 points 1 week prior, is playing against a team they should dominate again but the odds make it a 50/50 affair, which is very strange. Still, because of the situation on paper the masses bet on this team because it's the only logic bet when you get such high odds. And what do you know, the should be big underdog for whatever reason dominates and wins the game, as Vegas predicted. It's so strange sometimes.

cryptomaniac_xxx

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Quote from: joniboini on January 29, 2025, 08:36:36 PM

Quote from: Baofeng on January 27, 2025, 04:22:42 PM

The thing is, there are news that are not really out in the public until game time.

Is this common in popular games though? I mainly follow football news and their coverage is huge. Depending on who you ask, you can get some made-up rumors to accurate insider information. It's not hard to imagine these insiders also leaking the news to a bookmaker, especially on unpopular competitions. This made me recall a thread talking about betting on some obscure games on this board. I guess the lesson shared on that thread also applies to the case described by OP.

Btw OP, the odds shared on the game you mentioned seem to have changed before the game started, CMIIW. You can probably ask the bookmaker how they determine the odds if they share how their calculation works. Maybe injuries don't affect it as much as social media trends.

I think it will have consequences though if their is a last minute announcement in basketball (I assume he is talking about that game because he mentioned a basketball player), and so when the line is already open and you already put a bet assuming that there will be no injuries.

However, they announced it late as almost all the bettors have put their stakes already, for sure the line will change. And if you didn't notice it then you will be trap and obviously your bet will be a L already. This things usually happened in the NBA.

kotajikikox

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Quote from: freedomgo on January 27, 2025, 04:01:37 AM

When it comes to spotting traps, it really depends on the person analyzing them. I’ve been using the formula of betting against the public, but my intuition isn’t always correct. Even if it works most of the time, discipline is key, as without proper bankroll management, you won’t truly know if the method is effective in the long run.

There really is no fool proof strategy. There is at least 2% or 3% error margin for all of the bets you place in total. It does not specifically mean that it is a failure but you have to expect that no matter how much you win in a specific strategy, there would come a time where it would not work.

The most important thing though is that generally or most of the time the strategy works.

Quote

This doesn’t just happen in one specific league; I’ve seen it in the NBA and even in local basketball. There are lines that look like traps, and most of the time, my predictions are right. I think having a solid familiarity with the league really helps in spotting these traps accurately.

Being familiar with how the teams and how each athlete performs under different conditions will definitely help you identify traps.

Julien_Olynpic

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Personally, I find the concept of a “trap” a bit contradictory and confusing. But the expression “too good to be true” is funny. In general, I would go the classic way and stick to the vulue strategy. Our task is to determine the initial odds of the game as if we were unbiased bookmakers. Who take into account all available and relevant information, and all the rest of the change in odds occurs due to the change in the balance of bets between two or three outcomes of the game. And if you see an inflated odds, which is nevertheless probable in terms of winning, then it is worth considering as a working scenario.

joniboini

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Quote from: Baofeng on January 27, 2025, 04:22:42 PM

The thing is, there are news that are not really out in the public until game time.

Is this common in popular games though? I mainly follow football news and their coverage is huge. Depending on who you ask, you can get some made-up rumors to accurate insider information. It's not hard to imagine these insiders also leaking the news to a bookmaker, especially on unpopular competitions. This made me recall a thread talking about betting on some obscure games on this board. I guess the lesson shared on that thread also applies to the case described by OP.

Btw OP, the odds shared on the game you mentioned seem to have changed before the game started, CMIIW. You can probably ask the bookmaker how they determine the odds if they share how their calculation works. Maybe injuries don't affect it as much as social media trends.

Baofeng

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Quote from: Weawant on January 27, 2025, 09:04:16 AM

This is why it's always good to have some sort of information about teams before ever trying to bet on them because that will build you an edge to not fall for some kind of betting traps like you have mentioned, there are times you get to see certain odds and because you have vast knowledge about how such sport does work and some knowledge of the teams, you will not fall for it based on your analysis because you have sufficient information enough to help you make an informed choice so you don't depend on the casino perspective as projected in the odds.

The thing is, there are news that are not really out in the public until game time. And just like NBA bettors, I have been trapped as well like when the Bucks faces a team, I forgot about it, but suddenly for unknown reasons, Giannis didn't play.

Or the recent lost of the hometown team and the number 1 seed in the West which is the OKC against the Luka less Dallas Mavericks. OKC has been beating teams with double digits lead and mostly covering the handicap. Maybe it's not a trap but an upset, but still though, all sports bookies put them as the favorite.

mindrust

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Bookmakers might know something we don’t. I know these guys make mistakes sometimes but it is not like they do it all the time. If they weren’t calculating the odds right they’d go out of business real quick because there are many people like you who look for these kind of mistakes.

I have no insight about the game you are talking about btw but all I am saying is there is probably a reason for the odds of this game. You’ll know it when the game ends too probably.

Stepstowealth

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Quote from: AHOYBRAUSE on January 27, 2025, 01:53:25 AM

Making a new thread for sports bettors to post their trap of day games. What's a trap game you ask? A game where the odds literally make 0 sense and the odds are too good to be true.

If the odds for a game is simply too good to be true, how come gamblers find it difficult to just avoid it. The temptation to play these games is very high for sport bettors, very high that I can lead you into ignoring any sense of reasoning that the bookmakers maybe know something or have an access to an information we lack. One thing is sure for me about this games that we can call the trap of the day, I always try to avoid them.

bitbollo

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Each gambler must be aware that there are no "crazy odds". it's really hard to get an error odds.
I have seen just few on my entire gambling life (+20 years) and in some cases there was just a rigged match or wrong odds were "suspended".

The real question (at least to me ) is = why you need to gamble in an event where you don't have any clue on what they are playing, their current standing or even player on each team?
If you think you're doing good just betting looking for some "random numbers" (the odds) and "random words" (the name of the team).
NO you are doing good....

rachael9385

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Quote from: AHOYBRAUSE on January 27, 2025, 01:53:25 AM

Am not a good sport predictor, even if I bet on a game that too good to be true I won't notice unless I tried to bet on low odds but made a mistake to click the bigger odds. Well that's called a mistake and not a trap. Gamble can be fun most times, so even though you mistakenly played the odd you don't want to, you might be lucky to win. The only thing that looks like a trap to me is when the best player of the club didn't play based on injuries or something.

DPHOR

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Trap as we know is something very common in sports betting we can decide not to be against the public and later realized that we are losing it, most times we can see that betting against public can give us some winning but without knowing that there could be changes either injury from players or keepers that could cause some odds changes.
I can also see that most time the bookies usually gives lower odds to losing team and to those who are regularly judging by odds could be triggered to choose the lower odds without knowing that the bookies likely gives the odds to winning team, I do check my analysis through multiple sites to see if there is possible odds manipulations on the teams.

AHOYBRAUSE

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Quote from: Ziskinberg on January 27, 2025, 06:09:46 AM

Quote from: AbuBhakar on January 27, 2025, 05:04:42 AM

I believe this is related to certain player missing out the game either injury or out of the game due to personal reason.

That wouldn’t be "too good to be true," and it’s not necessarily a "trap." I’ve noticed these situations happen often, and just looking at the line can already give you a sense that the game might be a trap. The tricky part is figuring out which side is the right one.

A trap happens when the line feels off, making you question why it’s set that way. As a smart bettor, you’d typically go against the public's perception and choose the side that seems less likely to win in their eyes. That’s how you avoid falling into the trap, but it’s easier said than done!

Yeah NBA doesn't have any traps. All player injuries are well documented and every player that doesn't play mostly gets announced at least hours before the game. So you won't find odds in the NBA that are too good to be true. Sometimes you see it in the NCAA where some odds make absolutely no sense at all, but that's it for North America. Rest of the world is a different story.
I have stepped in several traps in my life to be honest, and mostly on some smaller leagues. One time I bought a +39.5 handicap in Denmark because it really seemed too high. The game went great, after 23min my team was down 3 points, so I am up 36 points with 17min to play. They lost by 41 points because of a 35:3 run that was the beginning of the end. One of my worst handicap losses ever.

Weawant

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This is why it's always good to have some sort of information about teams before ever trying to bet on them because that will build you an edge to not fall for some kind of betting traps like you have mentioned, there are times you get to see certain odds and because you have vast knowledge about how such sport does work and some knowledge of the teams, you will not fall for it based on your analysis because you have sufficient information enough to help you make an informed choice so you don't depend on the casino perspective as projected in the odds.

Ziskinberg

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Quote from: AbuBhakar on January 27, 2025, 06:23:06 AM

Quote from: Ziskinberg on January 27, 2025, 06:09:46 AM

Quote from: AbuBhakar on January 27, 2025, 05:04:42 AM

I believe this is related to certain player missing out the game either injury or out of the game due to personal reason.

That wouldn’t be "too good to be true," and it’s not necessarily a "trap." I’ve noticed these situations happen often, and just looking at the line can already give you a sense that the game might be a trap. The tricky part is figuring out which side is the right one.

A trap happens when the line feels off, making you question why it’s set that way. As a smart bettor, you’d typically go against the public's perception and choose the side that seems less likely to win in their eyes. That’s how you avoid falling into the trap, but it’s easier said than done!

This is the common problem for pregame bettor like me that doesn’t have time to watch the actual game before betting. I don’t read much news about player update only the injury reports which no one is listed that time.

It’s really not a trap per se but it’s considered as trap for those bettors that doesn’t do thorough analysis and just rely on stats from previous matches. Who would thought that a team on W7 will lose on lower rank team without any injury reports on team members.

Sometimes it’s not just about injuries or being out of the loop, it’s about spotting something off. A trap game can also hint at a possible fix. When you read the reports, the information might seem legit, but then the line doesn’t match what you’d expect based on that analysis. That’s the trap, when everything looks right on paper, but the line feels off. If you’ve done your homework and something still doesn’t add up, it’s a clear red flag to tread carefully.

Inwestour

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Quote from: freedomgo on January 27, 2025, 04:01:37 AM

When it comes to spotting traps, it really depends on the person analyzing them. I’ve been using the formula of betting against the public, but my intuition isn’t always correct. Even if it works most of the time, discipline is key, as without proper bankroll management, you won’t truly know if the method is effective in the long run.

This doesn’t just happen in one specific league; I’ve seen it in the NBA and even in local basketball. There are lines that look like traps, and most of the time, my predictions are right. I think having a solid familiarity with the league really helps in spotting these traps accurately.

Bookmakers' lines are very large now and it is not easy to do everything without mistakes, especially if it concerns other, less popular leagues. But it seems to me that it is quite possible to play without looking for traps, it will be enough to focus on one league, which you follow constantly and are aware of all the events on most teams. And in other leagues, or women's basketball, which I do not understand at all, it would be difficult for me to determine where the mistake is, especially since information about the teams is not so easy to find.

AbuBhakar

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🇵🇭

Quote from: Ziskinberg on January 27, 2025, 06:09:46 AM

Quote from: AbuBhakar on January 27, 2025, 05:04:42 AM

I believe this is related to certain player missing out the game either injury or out of the game due to personal reason.

That wouldn’t be "too good to be true," and it’s not necessarily a "trap." I’ve noticed these situations happen often, and just looking at the line can already give you a sense that the game might be a trap. The tricky part is figuring out which side is the right one.

A trap happens when the line feels off, making you question why it’s set that way. As a smart bettor, you’d typically go against the public's perception and choose the side that seems less likely to win in their eyes. That’s how you avoid falling into the trap, but it’s easier said than done!

This is the common problem for pregame bettor like me that doesn’t have time to watch the actual game before betting. I don’t read much news about player update only the injury reports which no one is listed that time.

It’s really not a trap per se but it’s considered as trap for those bettors that doesn’t do thorough analysis and just rely on stats from previous matches. Who would thought that a team on W7 will lose on lower rank team without any injury reports on team members.

Ziskinberg

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Quote from: AbuBhakar on January 27, 2025, 05:04:42 AM

I believe this is related to certain player missing out the game either injury or out of the game due to personal reason.

That wouldn’t be "too good to be true," and it’s not necessarily a "trap." I’ve noticed these situations happen often, and just looking at the line can already give you a sense that the game might be a trap. The tricky part is figuring out which side is the right one.

A trap happens when the line feels off, making you question why it’s set that way. As a smart bettor, you’d typically go against the public's perception and choose the side that seems less likely to win in their eyes. That’s how you avoid falling into the trap, but it’s easier said than done!

EluguHcman

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Quote from: AHOYBRAUSE on January 27, 2025, 01:53:25 AM

Making a new thread for sports bettors to post their trap of day games. What's a trap game you ask? A game where the odds literally make 0 sense and the odds are too good to be true.

This trap is only possible to be identified by experienced gamblers who does not only place their bets due to the attractions of the odds such as when it seems too good to stake on.

Instead of considering the odds, it is better and wise to consider the teams and weights your predictions based on their capacities because taking decisions based on the odds can be entrapping.
You would either be convinced to chase the high odd especially when an underdog has the highest odds and the other side you might have the thought that picking the lower odds would give you a lesser risk so just judging by the odds can really set you up to what you never thought about like you are being manipulated.

AbuBhakar

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🇵🇭

I believe this is related to certain player missing out the game either injury or out of the game due to personal reason.

I experienced trap like this when I bet on Rockets few days ago against Kings. They have high odds to win which I thought a steal since they are 2nd seed and winning 7 straight until I found out on the game that Fred VanVleet is out for the game due to personal reason.

Rockets lose in a close fight though.

freedomgo

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Playbet.io - Crypto Casino and Sportsbook

When it comes to spotting traps, it really depends on the person analyzing them. I’ve been using the formula of betting against the public, but my intuition isn’t always correct. Even if it works most of the time, discipline is key, as without proper bankroll management, you won’t truly know if the method is effective in the long run.

This doesn’t just happen in one specific league; I’ve seen it in the NBA and even in local basketball. There are lines that look like traps, and most of the time, my predictions are right. I think having a solid familiarity with the league really helps in spotting these traps accurately.

AHOYBRAUSE

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Wheel of Whales 🐳

Making a new thread for sports bettors to post their trap of day games. What's a trap game you ask? A game where the odds literally make 0 sense and the odds are too good to be true.

Let's start off with this one from the Korean woman's basketball league today.

https://www.flashscore.com/match/nojsdJVH/#/match-summary
Hana Bank ( 5 - 16 ) vs Woori MON ( 15 -7 )

Woori is currently only a 2.5 points favorite with money line odds of 1.62. Hana lost the last 5 games while Woori won 5 of the last 6. Also, head to head Woori won the last 18 (!!) games against Hana Bank.
These 2 teams played against each other 12 days ago, also a home game for Hana Bank. The odds for Woori to win that one have been 1.25, compared to the 1.62 they have today that's HUGE.

So how on earth do we have these odds in here?? Injury wise there is no information to be found online by the way.

Topic: Sports "trap of the day" , or is it? (Read 310 times)