We have seen price charts rise slowly, btc prices around $ 10,500. Everyone knows that this price will increase again because it has become a hot potato.
i don't know what you have in mid when you say "hot potato" but bitcoin price is rising and will continue to rise because there is an increasing demand for bitcoin while the supply is fixed.
By 2018 this will be a 50/50 situation that tends to go up and maybe yesterday it happened again. what do you think of this?
not it is not a 50/50 chance and it has never been like that.
in long term there is a 99.99999% chance that price rises.
in short term the chance changing constantly. for example when price was $10k last month there was a small chance like 10% that it could drop lower than it but it did happen and as it reached $9k the chance for bigger drop was increased (90%) because panic was at its highest back then and it did drop more. the when it reached $6k level the chances for drop was low again (10%).
now that price has recovered and is showing signs of more rise the chance of rise is high and it is a lot higher than 50/50!
are your thoughts the same as I think btc will rise to $ 20,000 in March?
it is hard to say. that is a big rise for only 1-2 month and a rise like that needs a solid reason or a big hype and we have neither of those.
a slow rise like what we are seeing is more possible.
Experts say that 2018 there will still be an unexpected drop down.
many trolls consider themselves "experts" and make random guesses, don't take them seriously.