Author

Topic: Summary of my trading experience, Market readings and forecasts (Read 159 times)

newbie
Activity: 7
Merit: 0
if you accept BTC for your services or you are a freelancer and accept your payments by BTC then there is a relation.
Do you think politic has an effect on markets?
Corona virus, Ukraine war ..........

regards
Corona virus effect on the price was in the form of a V, and the price quickly rebounded to traditional levels. The Russian-Ukrainian war did not affect the price directly, but it did not cause an effect in itself, but rather because of its effect on supply and demand.
There are decisions that affected the price, such as the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates, and the reason for its effect is that it affected the aspects of supply and demand. Therefore, any event that affects supply and demand will affect the price, and this makes Bitcoin a little distant from correlation with global variables.

Thanks for reply

My approach is based on simple concepts
Cryptocurrencies take their share of financial transactions regarding buying and selling in real life
This share increases day after day
legendary
Activity: 1582
Merit: 1284
if you accept BTC for your services or you are a freelancer and accept your payments by BTC then there is a relation.
Do you think politic has an effect on markets?
Corona virus, Ukraine war ..........

regards
Corona virus effect on the price was in the form of a V, and the price quickly rebounded to traditional levels. The Russian-Ukrainian war did not affect the price directly, but it did not cause an effect in itself, but rather because of its effect on supply and demand.
There are decisions that affected the price, such as the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates, and the reason for its effect is that it affected the aspects of supply and demand. Therefore, any event that affects supply and demand will affect the price, and this makes Bitcoin a little distant from correlation with global variables.
newbie
Activity: 7
Merit: 0
There is no relationship between the cryptocurrency market, the global economy, and the price of Bitcoin, as each one refers to something that is not related to the other, and we cannot use it to predict the price of Bitcoin. Technical analysis of previous cycles remain the basis for predicting the price of Bitcoin, which tells us that the price will be at a maximum three times the previous peak, which is 210k and twice the previous peak, i.e. 140k, so the price will be between these two prices and it is unlikely to be above > 200k.

I think:
If you can buy a good with BTC and Altcoin then there is a relation.
If you can buy services or hire an employee and pay for him with BTC then there is a relation.
if you accept BTC for your services or you are a freelancer and accept your payments by BTC then there is a relation.
Do you think politic has an effect on markets?
Corona virus, Ukraine war ..........

regards
legendary
Activity: 1582
Merit: 1284
There is no relationship between the cryptocurrency market, the global economy, and the price of Bitcoin, as each one refers to something that is not related to the other, and we cannot use it to predict the price of Bitcoin. Technical analysis of previous cycles remain the basis for predicting the price of Bitcoin, which tells us that the price will be at a maximum three times the previous peak, which is 210k and twice the previous peak, i.e. 140k, so the price will be between these two prices and it is unlikely to be above > 200k.
newbie
Activity: 7
Merit: 0
Disclaimer

These are personal readings - do not base financial decisions on them until you have done your own research.

If you are a beginner in trading - this is not your place





Why we can see BTC Price > 200k $ ?

Size of the global economy:

World: $107,800,000,000,000

Cryptocurrency market share of the global economy:

As of November 14, 2023: The total cryptocurrency market share of the global economy is 0.8%.
As of November 14, 2023: Bitcoin's dominance of the cryptocurrency market is 42.5%.
With the increasing growth of the cryptocurrency market share of the global economy:

The price of Bitcoin is constantly doubling in a sequence. (Do not look at the unnatural jumps and spikes in the chart growth resulting from market manipulation - just read the price timeline on a yearly basis from 2011 to now.)
Therefore, I expect to see Bitcoin prices exceed $200,000 and double towards a number that is proportional to the cryptocurrency market share of the global economy.




Bitcoin Analysis: Important Questions and Answers     Date: 10/Mar/2024

Possible Correction: There is speculation that Bitcoin's price might see a correction, bringing it down from the $57,000 range to somewhere between $51,000 and $47,000. This would represent a drop of -20% to -30%.

Market Indicators: The text mentions a "weekly scraper" scenario that looks at Bitcoin's weekly closing price. If it falls below $58,800, it's seen as a sign that a correction is more likely.

Fast Move Expected: The timeframe for this correction is expected to be quick, hence the urgency for decisions today.


---------------------------- Archive --------------------------
Bitcoin Analysis: Important Questions and Answers     Date: 25/2/2024

1. Has the bull market started?

Yes, it has started since breaking the 25,000 level, which was a key resistance level that it has not broken since then. However, there is currently a correction happening in the middle of the bull market.

2. Do the technical predictions match the current movement?

I will constantly updating charts with different numbers to be as accurate as possible.

3. What is the current technical analysis?

The chart shows that Bitcoin broke through the 25,000 level and confirmed its strength by retesting it twice and maintaining it. This was an excellent support level that allowed Bitcoin to jump 110%.

https://imgur.com/gallery/tlacNhv

We also notice three horizontal channels that Bitcoin has respected. It must now maintain channel number 3 to avoid entering channel number 2. Currently, the support levels have risen between 42,000 and 38,000.

It is not a problem for Bitcoin to visit the bottom of the ascending channel between 36,000 and 34,000. The important thing is not to break the ascending channel, as this could significantly change the predictions.

4. What exceptional movement would change Bitcoin's behavior?

If it reaches the previous peak of 68,000, then there will be a different update.

5. Are there any strong signals to enter the market regardless of the support levels it will stop at?

Yes, I mentioned this before. There were two strong bearish candles with a small gap between them. The condition is that the percentage of each candle's drop should not be less than -15%. This is a scare tactic for a strong direct rise. However, if the drop is gradual, we stick to the numbers mentioned in answer 3.

Disclaimer:

This is not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.






For Alt Coins in 2024:

LTC     > 120 $

ETH   > 4000$, we are very close to see this target



PRTN > 0.4$      >>>> check PRTN here: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/proton-project
PRTN: A Blockchain Company Empowering AI Education, Careers, and Trust

Protona AI project https://t.me/protona_bot

"Unleash the power of PROTON, the groundbreaking project revolutionizing the digital landscape! With its innovative technology and dedicated team, PROTON paves the way for a decentralized future. Join the movement and witness the limitless possibilities of blockchain technology. Embrace the future of innovation and decentralization with PROTON! 🚀🌐 #PROTON #Innovation #Decentralization"


🎯 Target 1:  0.40 $   reach it first time 20/3/2024
🎯 Target 2: 0.6 $
🎯 Target 3: 5 $




GFI    > 1.75$      >>>> check GFI here:   https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/goldfinch

🎯 Target 1:  1.77$
🎯 Target 2: 2.8$
🎯 Target 3: 4.3$




Maverick Protocol $MAV

Maverick Protocol offers a new infrastructure for decentralized finance, built to facilitate the most liquid markets for traders, liquidity providers, DAO treasuries, and developers, powered by a revolutionary Automated Market Maker (AMM).
Contract    ERC20   0x7448c7456a97769f6cd04f1e83a4a23ccdc46abd


🎯 Target 1:  0.97$
🎯 Target 2: 1.7$
🎯 Target 3: 5$



NEAR is a Layer 1 blockchain built to be simple, secure and scalable.
Smart Contract Platform
Proof Of Stake (PoS)
Coins Alleged As Securities By SEC
Layer 1 (L1)
EigenLayer Ecosystem

Near Protocol Funding Insights
Coinbase Ventures
Pantera Capital
Multicoin Capital

Target 1:  4.6$
Target 2:  6.1$
Target 3:  12$


Reserve Rights RSR
A permissionless platform to launch and govern 1:1 asset-backed currencies.
Blockchains :  Ethereum , Energi , Base
Real World Assets (RWA)

RSR Protocol Funding Insights
Coinbase Ventures
Arrington XRP Capital

Target 1:  0.0045$
Target 2:  0.0076$
Target 3:  0.02$



Acala Network ACA
What is Acala?
Acala is the all-in-one DeFi hub of Polkadot. Acala is an Ethereum-compatible platform for financial applications to use smart contracts or built-in protocols with out-of-the-box cross-chain capabilities and robust security. The platform also offers a suite of financial applications including: a trustless staking derivative (liquid DOT), a multi-collateralized stablecoin backed by cross-chain assets (aUSD), and an AMM DEX – all with micro gas fees that can be paid in any token.

Staking
AMM
Decentralized Application (DApp)
Governance
Parachain
Layer 1 (L1)


ACA Protocol Funding Insights
Coinbase Ventures
Pantera Capital
The Spartan Group

Target 1:  0.17$
Target 2:  0.33$
Target 3:  0.6$


I will update my forecasts Weekly

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